Polydata
Data is 5 days old — refreshing in background...
dumbfuqLIQUIDITYprovider

@dumbfuqLIQUIDITYprovider

#2,97294

0x048215305cbcf7cc790735bf00119551d75c6b0a

65d· 562 markets · 4016 tradesVol: $3,965,4222026-05-16T05:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

94
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 96%20/20
Profit Factor 102.46x15/15
Sharpe 0.4939/15
Sortino 252.50410/10
EV $+4.24010/10
HHI 11810/10
Profit Days 93%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

DumbfuqLIQUIDITYprovider is a highly active trader on Polymarket with a full year of consistent engagement, completing over 4,000 trades across 286 markets. Currently ranked #2972 globally by net profit and holding an elite Smart Score of 94, they have realized a net PnL of $47,685.69 on nearly $4 million in trading volume. Their portfolio value remains stable at $21,545.64, reflecting disciplined capital management.

This trader exhibits a balanced but moderately conservative strategy, favoring a diverse range of markets with no exposure to weather-related outcomes. With an 80.6% win rate and a profit factor above 4.5, dumbfuqLIQUIDITYprovider appears to prioritize high-probability trades and steady gains. Their sell percentage of 37% suggests a willingness to lock in profits rather than holding positions for long-term swings. The Sharpe ratio of 0.49 indicates moderate risk-adjusted returns, and their trading style blends manual decisions with semi-automated processes, as indicated by a bot score of 40.

Strengths for dumbfuqLIQUIDITYprovider include high consistency, strong profitability, and low drawdown durations, beneficial traits for navigating Polymarket’s dynamic environment. However, the relatively flat equity trend and moderate Sharpe ratio suggest limited upside volatility, which could cap potential gains. Also, partial reliance on automated tools introduces some operational risk. Overall, their disciplined approach and solid track record make them a notable presence among Polymarket traders.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 96%
Profitable
PnL $+47,686
Lottery Player
46% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
76% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 8.8 entries/market
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
Whale
$310,657
Consistent
43/46 days
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#5,271$5,833Vol: $2,344,027
💰 FINANCE#126$26,871Vol: $896,585
💻 TECH#164$10,260Vol: $284,309
📈 ECONOMICS#6,061$257Vol: $202,080
🎭 CULTURE#3,462$1,521Vol: $106,163
📢 MENTIONS#1,083$1,158Vol: $37,835
CRYPTO#27,197$1,023Vol: $36,491
SPORTS#39,689$746Vol: $33,319
🌤️ WEATHER#4,455$165Vol: $1,379

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$47,686
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,965,422
Total Redeem
$16,658
Portfolio
$21,546
Predictions
562
total markets
Trades
2525B / 1491S
Daily Volume
$849
Account Age
65d
since Mar 16, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-736
Vol: $27,313
Week
$5,374
Vol: $535,353
Month
$6,004
Vol: $1,356,858
All Time
$47,686
Vol: $3,965,422

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
96%
153W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$78,686
Win Rate
81%
174W / 42L
Profit Factor
4.55x
Avg Win
$359
Avg Loss
$-327

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,622 (19.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$3,654
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2$3,194
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10$2,774
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at lea$2,691
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2$2,163
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$1,947
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1,893
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?$1,678
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?$1,512
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$1,450

Top Losers

Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?$-3,096
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?$-1,266
Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?$-997
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on Apr$-994
ChatGPT Outage by April 10?$-651
ChatGPT Outage by April 24?$-643
Claude 4.7 released by April 30?$-551
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 20$-518
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March $-491
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store $-420

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.493
Sortino
252.504
HHI
118
Diversified
EV per $1
$4.240
Kelly %
51.5%
Half-Kelly
25.8%
Top-1 market
3.7%
Top-5 markets
14.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
68.7
Very active
Markets / Day
4.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
23.1m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 140s — typical for humanSize CV 2.09 — diverse, typical for human15% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.07 — human randomness69 trades/day — mass trading

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.8
Active DCA
<=1
60 entries
<=2
94 entries
<=5
170 entries
<=10
220 entries
<=20
254 entries
<=50
281 entries
>50
5 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)45.8%
Mid (20-55c)33.4%
High (>55c)20.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 77.5%

Other$48,666
Hong Kong$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.7
Events covered
170

Single bracket

<=1
103 brackets
<=2
139 brackets
<=3
157 brackets
<=4
167 brackets
<=5
169 brackets
<=8
170 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/18/2026, 5:19:55 PM1 trades$40 min
3/18/2026, 6:14:03 PM1 trades$10 min
3/18/2026, 10:02:05 PM2 trades$301 min
3/18/2026, 10:38:33 PM1 trades$4910 min
3/19/2026, 12:16:07 AM2 trades$864 min
3/19/2026, 12:53:51 AM1 trades$60 min
3/19/2026, 2:10:11 AM1 trades$10 min
3/19/2026, 3:27:09 AM1 trades$10 min
3/19/2026, 1:45:45 PM1 trades$500 min
3/19/2026, 3:18:53 PM1 trades$270 min
3/19/2026, 7:05:07 PM1 trades$20 min
3/19/2026, 7:19:33 PM1 trades$80 min
3/19/2026, 11:07:35 PM1 trades$2000 min
3/19/2026, 11:13:25 PM1 trades$2030 min
3/20/2026, 5:26:13 PM1 trades$320 min
3/20/2026, 8:05:49 PM1 trades$2830 min
3/20/2026, 9:06:23 PM1 trades$260 min
3/21/2026, 12:19:13 PM3 trades$2024 min
3/21/2026, 1:02:53 PM4 trades$2351 min
3/21/2026, 8:14:47 PM7 trades$5491 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
03-22
04-03
04-14
04-22
05-16
09-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.3% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.7 br/event