Polydata

@e22ad3eb

#88932

0xe22ad3eb4f3581dfe78cb71579f858e4a3cf2703

~10d· 8 markets · 2784 tradesVol: $5,572,4902026-06-24T16:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

32
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 50%10/20
Profit Factor 1.17x5/15
Sharpe 0.0571/15
Sortino 0.1331/10
EV $+0.1698/10
HHI 17304/10
Profit Days 40%3/10
DD/Peak 540%0/10

Summary

Trader e22ad3eb is an active participant on Polymarket, with 2,784 trades executed over 11 days. Ranked #889 on the global PnL leaderboard, e22ad3eb has generated a net profit of $206,816.92 from a total volume exceeding $5.5 million. Despite a below-average Smart Score of 32/100, their portfolio shows a consistent upward equity trend, although the current portfolio value is zero, indicating full liquidation or closed positions.

The trading style of e22ad3eb appears focused on a limited number of markets—only eight—with no exposure to weather markets. Their win rate sits at an even 50%, but a strong profit factor of 6.41 suggests that winning trades are considerably more profitable than losing ones. The trader employs a semi-automated approach, reflected in a Bot Score of 45/100, and exhibits contrarian tendencies and dollar-cost averaging strategies. The zero sell percentage implies a preference for holding positions rather than quick turnarounds, supported by badges like Diamond Hands and DCA Master.

Strengths of e22ad3eb include a high profit factor and a disciplined equity growth pattern, which highlight effective risk-reward management. However, the low Sharpe Ratio of 0.06 and below-average Smart Score point to potential volatility and suboptimal timing in trades. Their concentrated market focus and zero sell activity could also expose them to risks if market conditions shift abruptly. Overall, e22ad3eb demonstrates profitable but somewhat cautious trading behavior on Polymarket.

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+206,817
Contrarian
70% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 348.0 entries/market
Whale
$2,385,168
High Roller
$215,188/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#386$206,817Vol: $5,572,490

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$206,817
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,572,490
Total Redeem
$2,317,288
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
8
total markets
Trades
2784B / 0S
Daily Volume
$215,188
Account Age
~10d

Periods

#2
Today
$597,077
Vol: $1,000,000
Week
$1,217,388
Vol: $2,317,288
Month
$206,817
Vol: $5,572,490
All Time
$206,817
Vol: $5,572,490

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
50%
4W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$1,427,388
Win Rate
50%
2W / 2L
Profit Factor
6.41x
Avg Win
$609,320
Avg Loss
$-95,000

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,218,640 (118.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: Portugal (-2.5)$622,173
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$596,467

Top Losers

Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5$-96,000
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$-94,000

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.057
Sortino
0.133
HHI
1730
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.169
Kelly %
4.9%
Half-Kelly
2.5%
Top-1 market
25.1%
Top-5 markets
86.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
251.2
Very active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
9s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
11.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
45
Avg Duration
19 min
Avg Trades / Session
61.9

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
52% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 11.86 — diverse, typical for human12% at night — normal sleep pattern20/24 hours — extended daySession CV 1.18 — human randomness251 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
348
Heavy DCA
<=1
2 entries
<=2
2 entries
<=5
3 entries
<=10
3 entries
<=20
3 entries
<=50
3 entries
>50
5 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)100%
High (>55c)0%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 100%

Other$1,028,640

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
8

Single bracket

<=1
8 brackets
<=2
8 brackets
<=3
8 brackets
<=4
8 brackets
<=5
8 brackets
<=8
8 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
6/12/2026, 10:09:21 PM1 trades$94,0000 min
6/14/2026, 7:44:33 PM1 trades$48,0000 min
6/14/2026, 7:50:00 PM3 trades$292,0005 min
6/15/2026, 11:45:24 AM74 trades$5,86612 min
6/15/2026, 12:02:19 PM556 trades$117,91163 min
6/15/2026, 1:11:16 PM66 trades$2,28794 min
6/15/2026, 2:51:54 PM1 trades$170 min
6/15/2026, 3:00:58 PM197 trades$11,621167 min
6/15/2026, 5:53:18 PM103 trades$4,38223 min
6/15/2026, 8:43:42 PM634 trades$468,48928 min
6/19/2026, 3:06:40 AM214 trades$66,05849 min
6/19/2026, 4:05:10 AM24 trades$7,5971 min
6/19/2026, 4:33:35 AM2 trades$73 min
6/19/2026, 4:41:59 AM3 trades$150 min
6/19/2026, 4:51:10 AM3 trades$727 min
6/19/2026, 5:14:46 AM1 trades$30 min
6/19/2026, 5:22:47 AM1 trades$2000 min
6/19/2026, 5:28:17 AM1 trades$50 min
6/19/2026, 5:34:58 AM4 trades$1573 min
6/19/2026, 5:44:25 AM1 trades$30 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-13
06-14
06-15
06-19
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 348/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event