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elitebetter

@elitebetter

#342,97995

0x81c9c54750db2634fc16820840f5478288584a47

361d· 961 markets · 1150 tradesVol: $35,8242026-06-15T14:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

95
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 72%20/20
Profit Factor 2.97x15/15
Sharpe 0.53510/15
Sortino 4.85910/10
EV $+0.91910/10
HHI 4310/10
Profit Days 98%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

The trader elitebetter is moderately active on Polymarket, with 1,150 trades across 686 markets over 675 days. Their net profit and loss stands at $32.02, placing them at rank #342,979 on the global PnL leaderboard. Despite a relatively low portfolio value of $811.53, elitebetter demonstrates a consistent presence, as indicated by a high Smart Score of 95/100, which classifies them as an elite trader on the platform.

Elitebetter’s trading strategy appears conservative and highly consistent, with a 99.1% win rate and a profit factor of 132.62, suggesting very efficient risk-reward management. The trader tends to hold a low-risk profile, as reflected in a moderate Sharpe ratio of 0.54 and a max drawdown duration of zero days, indicating no prolonged losses. They trade broadly across many markets but show limited exposure to weather markets (4%), and only 11% of trades involve selling, implying a preference for holding positions rather than quick flips.

Key strengths for elitebetter include exceptional consistency and risk control, supported by badges like Sniper and Cool Head. However, the flat equity trend and relatively low portfolio size suggest limited scaling or growth potential. Additionally, the Bot Score of 30/100 hints at manual trading, which could impact execution speed in volatile markets. Overall, elitebetter’s profile on Polymarket reflects a disciplined and steady approach with manageable risks but constrained upside.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 72%
Profitable
PnL $+32
Win Streak
239 wins in a row
Consistent
93/95 days
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#160,102$11Vol: $22,055
SPORTS#236,240$12Vol: $9,590
📢 MENTIONS#139,889$-26Vol: $1,541
🌤️ WEATHER#158,496$-0Vol: $891
🎭 CULTURE#64,347$11Vol: $485
CRYPTO#1,292,357$-42Vol: $325
💰 FINANCE#60,327$7Vol: $282
📈 ECONOMICS#41,527$9Vol: $237
💻 TECH#45,654$1Vol: $119

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$32
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$35,824
Total Redeem
$4,216
Portfolio
$812
Predictions
961
total markets
Trades
1028B / 122S
Daily Volume
$9
Account Age
361d
since Jun 21, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-10
Vol: $0
Week
$-10
Vol: $30
Month
$98
Vol: $4,101
All Time
$32
Vol: $35,824

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
70%
224W / 96L events
Realized PnL
$1,910
Win Rate
99%
332W / 3L
Profit Factor
132.62x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $92 (5.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$37
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-22?$28
Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 13.5$27
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-04-21?$26
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-21?$26
Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 3.5$26
Will West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?$24
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-04-20?$22
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5$22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$22

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?$-8
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass?$-2
Will Russia enter Serhiivka by March 31?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.535
Sortino
4.859
HHI
43
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.919
Kelly %
98.8%
Half-Kelly
49.4%
Top-1 market
3.5%
Top-5 markets
7.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1056s — typical for humanSize CV 1.29 — diverse, typical for human17% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.80 — human randomness450 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.5
Single entry
<=1
472 entries
<=2
624 entries
<=5
679 entries
<=10
684 entries
<=20
686 entries
<=50
686 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.6%
Mid (20-55c)39.2%
High (>55c)45.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 37.4%

Other$1,532
Paris$19
Madrid$12
São Paulo$7
Milan$6
New York City$4
Chicago$3
London$3
Seattle$3
Los Angeles$3
Toronto$2
Buenos Aires$1
Houston$1
Austin$1
Atlanta$0
Seoul$0
Miami$0
Dallas$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
451

Single bracket

<=1
372 brackets
<=2
413 brackets
<=3
422 brackets
<=4
430 brackets
<=5
435 brackets
<=8
440 brackets
>8
11 brackets

Sessions

#12
6/21/2025, 9:22:37 PM1 trades$40 min
6/21/2025, 10:17:17 PM1 trades$40 min
6/22/2025, 5:07:34 PM1 trades$20 min
6/24/2025, 5:57:01 PM3 trades$46 min
6/25/2025, 1:26:25 AM1 trades$50 min
6/25/2025, 12:55:41 PM1 trades$50 min
6/25/2025, 3:18:53 PM2 trades$21 min
6/25/2025, 4:30:53 PM1 trades$50 min
7/9/2025, 8:32:57 PM1 trades$40 min
7/11/2025, 4:10:36 PM1 trades$50 min
7/12/2025, 3:43:58 PM1 trades$10 min
7/27/2025, 12:58:43 PM1 trades$40 min
7/31/2025, 3:53:56 PM1 trades$50 min
7/31/2025, 4:15:58 PM1 trades$50 min
8/4/2025, 3:24:27 PM1 trades$50 min
8/7/2025, 3:22:07 PM1 trades$50 min
8/7/2025, 4:44:43 PM1 trades$50 min
8/7/2025, 9:55:46 PM2 trades$65 min
8/11/2025, 12:37:58 AM1 trades$50 min
8/11/2025, 4:09:48 PM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
09-15
11-01
02-28
04-04
05-02
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4.1% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.6% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event