Polydata

@empusa

#23,90465

0xd9703601452fc0350691afc070a1b5850643932a

65d· 73 markets · 791 tradesVol: $47,9042026-06-12T17:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 38%4/20
Profit Factor 5.38x15/15
Sharpe 0.2374/15
Sortino 5.62710/10
EV $+4.11610/10
HHI 52810/10
Profit Days 37%2/10
DD/Peak 7%10/10

Summary

Empusa is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranked #23904 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 76 days, empusa executed 791 trades across 73 markets, generating a net profit of $4,800.52 on a total volume of $47,904. Despite a relatively low portfolio value of $150.60 and a modest Sharpe ratio of 0.24, empusa maintains a perfect win rate of 100%, reflecting consistent success in their trades.

Empusa’s trading style leans heavily toward weather markets, which constitute 89% of their activity. The trader exhibits a high level of conviction, with only 9% of trades being sells, suggesting a preference for holding positions rather than frequent profit-taking. Empusa’s badges indicate a contrarian and diamond hands approach combined with dollar-cost averaging tactics, implying a risk-tolerant strategy that capitalizes on market fluctuations and long-term holdings. The low Bot Score suggests empusa operates manually or with minimal automation.

The strengths of empusa’s trading include consistent profitability and a clear focus on specific market niches like weather, enabling specialized expertise. However, the zero profit factor and low Sharpe ratio highlight potential volatility and risk in their portfolio. The absence of drawdown duration is positive but should be monitored alongside the relatively small portfolio to assess scalability and resilience in diverse market conditions.

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+4,801
Lottery Player
89% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
94% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
9% sell
DCA Master
avg 9.8 entries/market
Weather Pro
89% weather
Win Streak
22 wins in a row
Cool Head
DD 7%

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#337$4,801Vol: $47,904

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,801
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$47,904
Total Redeem
$3,561
Portfolio
$151
Predictions
73
total markets
Trades
717B / 74S
Daily Volume
$52
Account Age
65d
since Apr 8, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$535
Vol: $2,575
Week
$853
Vol: $9,791
Month
$4,320
Vol: $18,487
All Time
$4,801
Vol: $47,904

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
41%
16W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$5,822
Win Rate
100%
22W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$261
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,230 (73.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will London have less than 5mm of precipitation in May?$3,347
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9?$469
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12?$414
Will London have between 25-30mm of precipitation in May?$370
Will London have between 20-25mm of precipitation in May?$193
Will London have between 50-60mm of precipitation in April?$191
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8?$132
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 3?$89
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22?$89
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 6?$84

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.237
Sortino
5.627
HHI
528
Moderate
EV per $1
$4.116
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.2%
Top-5 markets
43.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.3
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
40.7m
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 69s — typical for humanSize CV 5.07 — diverse, typical for human4% at night — normal sleep pattern22/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.04 — human randomness12 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.8
Active DCA
<=1
12 entries
<=2
26 entries
<=5
43 entries
<=10
56 entries
<=20
64 entries
<=50
72 entries
>50
1 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)88.6%
Mid (20-55c)6.6%
High (>55c)4.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 58%

London$5,663
Amsterdam$70
Paris$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.9
Events covered
39

Single bracket

<=1
19 brackets
<=2
30 brackets
<=3
36 brackets
<=4
38 brackets
<=5
38 brackets
<=8
39 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/9/2026, 2:29:29 PM1 trades$90 min
4/9/2026, 2:56:43 PM3 trades$2000 min
4/15/2026, 6:29:38 PM1 trades$00 min
4/15/2026, 6:41:10 PM1 trades$00 min
4/15/2026, 7:09:44 PM3 trades$21 min
4/15/2026, 8:43:44 PM4 trades$00 min
4/18/2026, 10:10:12 AM1 trades$00 min
4/18/2026, 10:20:38 AM1 trades$30 min
4/19/2026, 8:18:46 PM2 trades$04 min
4/19/2026, 8:58:10 PM4 trades$40 min
4/19/2026, 9:07:42 PM2 trades$23 min
4/19/2026, 9:18:52 PM3 trades$30 min
4/19/2026, 9:24:24 PM2 trades$14 min
4/19/2026, 9:55:30 PM2 trades$50 min
4/19/2026, 10:17:52 PM3 trades$03 min
4/19/2026, 10:26:40 PM3 trades$05 min
4/19/2026, 11:01:24 PM4 trades$31 min
4/19/2026, 11:07:54 PM2 trades$100 min
4/19/2026, 11:32:32 PM1 trades$00 min
4/19/2026, 11:37:50 PM2 trades$00 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-15
04-30
05-07
05-13
05-24
06-04
06-11
06-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
89% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.9 br/event