@ergosium
#11,962650x84c322daf117acb36c5483c25707153253286efe
~114d· 283 markets · 4618 tradesVol: $3,745,2852026-08-01 08:04:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
25% (69/274)0/20
2.07x (win $177,914 / loss $85,946)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.09415/15
Sortino 11.40910/10
$+0.2520 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1442 (274 markets)5.3/10
21/71 profitable days (30%)0/10
Max DD 17% of peak ($18,414 / $110,382)10/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+12,451
Lottery Player
72% entries < $0.20
Whale
$365,011 invested
High Roller
$1,834/day
Cool Head
Max DD 17%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
4🏛️ POLITICS#1,769$26,376Vol: $2,884,259
⚽ SPORTS#1,874,509$-6,721Vol: $487,963
🎭 CULTURE#802,521$-398Vol: $268,382
₿ CRYPTO#1,665,740$-6,637Vol: $103,618
Overview
#1Net PnL
$12,451
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,745,285
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
283
total markets
Trades
2078B / 2540S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~114d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$12,451
Vol: $3,745,285
PnL Analysis
#3Win Rate (events)
25%
69W / 205L events
Realized PnL
$12,451
Win Rate
25%
69W / 205L
Profit Factor
2.07x
Avg Win
$2,578
Avg Loss
$-425
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $149,385 (11.998271560912215% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$123,284
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$19,224
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$6,877
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-28?$5,548
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$3,466
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$3,328
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$2,721
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$2,428
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 7, 2026?$1,527
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$1,253
Top Losers
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-18,255
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$-15,624
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$-7,974
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-7,246
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$-4,276
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,764
Will Molde FK win on 2026-04-06?$-2,070
Spread: Spain (-2.5)$-1,892
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?$-1,700
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$-1,405
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.109
Sortino
0.519
HHI
1391
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.266
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
27.3%
Top-5 markets
62.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
23.2
Active
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
36.6
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 88s — normal for humanCV 5.69 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock23 trades/day — high frequency1.4 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 22:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
15.78
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)71.6%
Mid (20-55c)15%
High (>55c)13.4%
Sessions
#126/14/2026, 10:27:18 PM56 trades$60,1163 min
4/7/2026, 12:09:59 PM22 trades$34,1430 min
4/7/2026, 10:14:31 AM12 trades$33,0601 min
6/15/2026, 3:48:46 PM13 trades$24,5195 min
6/19/2026, 11:38:56 PM6 trades$23,6290 min
4/6/2026, 8:40:13 PM39 trades$22,2978 min
4/7/2026, 10:09:41 PM139 trades$17,8118 min
6/14/2026, 2:49:42 PM100 trades$16,79410 min
6/15/2026, 5:45:15 PM43 trades$14,29913 min
6/13/2026, 1:23:15 PM11 trades$13,3660 min
7/6/2026, 9:11:22 PM63 trades$12,8910 min
6/15/2026, 1:05:28 PM55 trades$12,6593 min
4/5/2026, 8:56:39 PM17 trades$12,5420 min
6/14/2026, 10:42:36 PM5 trades$12,0760 min
4/6/2026, 3:02:35 PM2 trades$11,1870 min
6/19/2026, 11:15:35 PM2 trades$10,9050 min
4/5/2026, 1:38:15 PM53 trades$10,3959 min
4/7/2026, 10:24:53 PM19 trades$9,4780 min
4/7/2026, 8:04:01 PM24 trades$9,1081 min
6/12/2026, 9:00:16 AM96 trades$8,8883 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-28
02-06
02-18
03-14
05-09
05-21
06-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 15 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.78/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L71.6 / M15 / H13.4