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@everydaymortgage

#2,944,88122

0x91eee6b7cea1916214daebec3b92b7513079c5b8

104d· 33 markets · 3369 tradesVol: $40,901,4582026-06-30T00:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 50%10/20
Profit Factor 0.68x0/15
HHI 6269/10
Profit Days 40%3/10

Summary

Everydaymortgage is a relatively new but highly active trader on Polymarket, with 3,369 trades executed over 24 days. Despite a substantial total volume of over $40.9 million, the trader currently holds a negative net PnL of approximately $-3.74 million, ranking #2,944,881 globally. Their Smart Score is 22/100, indicating below-average predictive skill, and the portfolio value stands at zero, reflecting recent losses.

The trader favors a high-frequency, high-volume approach, engaging in 32 different markets with an 82.3% win rate and a profit factor of 8.31, suggesting many small wins against fewer but larger losses. Everydaymortgage appears to have a semi-automated strategy, combining bot and manual trading with a Bot Score of 40/100. The absence of weather-related markets and a 0% sell rate indicate a potential buy-and-hold or accumulation style, reinforced by badges like Diamond Hands and DCA Master, pointing to a risk-tolerant, long-term mindset.

Everydaymortgage’s strengths include strong trade volume and impressive win streaks, highlighting resilience and discipline within Polymarket’s environment. However, the significant net losses, negative Sharpe ratio, and downward equity trend raise concerns about risk management and capital preservation. The trader’s heavy exposure and declining portfolio value suggest volatility that could undermine long-term profitability.

Badges

5
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 105.3 entries/market
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
Whale
$21,397,142
High Roller
$891,548/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,774,646$-3,743,478Vol: $40,901,458

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,743,478
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$40,901,458
Total Redeem
$17,342,422
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
33
total markets
Trades
3369B / 0S
Daily Volume
$891,548
Account Age
104d
since Apr 7, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
50%
14W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$7,446,110
Win Rate
82%
14W / 3L
Profit Factor
8.31x
Avg Win
$535,667
Avg Loss
$-300,697

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,767,758 (57.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$1,585,834
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?$1,301,240
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-09?$880,685
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-16?$805,715
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-12?$721,821
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?$607,085
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5$473,223
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?$372,864
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-13?$264,470
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovic$177,530

Top Losers

Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?$-488,456
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-03?$-236,450
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-03?$-177,185

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.229
Sortino
-0.289
HHI
626
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.335
Kelly %
61.5%
Half-Kelly
30.8%
Top-1 market
12.4%
Top-5 markets
46.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
152.4
Very active
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
7s
between trades
Avg Gap
5.6m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.41
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
49.4

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
55% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 3.41 — diverse, typical for human0% at night — normal sleep pattern12/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.32 — human randomness152 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
105.3
Heavy DCA
<=1
1 entries
<=2
1 entries
<=5
1 entries
<=10
2 entries
<=20
3 entries
<=50
14 entries
>50
18 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)59.5%
High (>55c)40.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 69.2%

Other$5,243,343
Milan$880,685
Madrid$473,223

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
28

Single bracket

<=1
24 brackets
<=2
28 brackets
<=3
28 brackets
<=4
28 brackets
<=5
28 brackets
<=8
28 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/30/2026, 3:46:48 PM12 trades$191,48212 min
4/30/2026, 4:51:06 PM3 trades$3034 min
4/30/2026, 5:03:14 PM5 trades$1413 min
4/30/2026, 5:20:52 PM3 trades$1,4028 min
4/30/2026, 5:42:12 PM2 trades$120 min
4/30/2026, 5:56:28 PM12 trades$145,51015 min
4/30/2026, 6:16:16 PM1 trades$1,4500 min
4/30/2026, 6:28:12 PM4 trades$37,7004 min
4/30/2026, 6:46:36 PM17 trades$2,8019 min
5/1/2026, 6:12:36 PM1 trades$3,5700 min
5/1/2026, 6:19:26 PM1 trades$5420 min
5/1/2026, 6:30:50 PM25 trades$1,34827 min
5/3/2026, 10:03:22 AM2 trades$1,2271 min
5/3/2026, 10:14:30 AM5 trades$18,9082 min
5/3/2026, 10:51:24 AM1 trades$4,2650 min
5/3/2026, 11:14:38 AM6 trades$112,04411 min
5/3/2026, 11:58:26 AM102 trades$713,86333 min
5/3/2026, 12:37:00 PM1 trades$36,0000 min
5/3/2026, 12:43:32 PM1 trades$9,1500 min
5/3/2026, 12:49:04 PM254 trades$2,365,49386 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-30
05-03
05-06
05-09
05-12
05-16
05-18
05-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 105.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event