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@everydaymortgage

#2,716,09727

0x91eee6b7cea1916214daebec3b92b7513079c5b8

41d· 25 markets · 2940 tradesVol: $24,747,2102026-05-13T21:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 52%11/20
Profit Factor 0.73x0/15
HHI 8168/10
Profit Days 62%8/10

Summary

Everydaymortgage is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, participating in 2,940 trades across 25 markets over 18 days. Despite a substantial total volume of nearly $25 million, they rank low at #2,716,097 globally, with a net PnL of approximately negative $1.8 million. Their portfolio value stands at about $1.15 million, while their smart score is 27/100, indicating below-average overall performance.

The trading style of everydaymortgage is characterized by a highly consistent win rate of 100%, yet their profit factor is 0.00, suggesting that wins may be small or offset by large losses. They show no evidence of sell activity, implying a buy-and-hold or dollar-cost averaging approach, supported by their badges such as "DCA Master" and "Diamond Hands." Their Sharpe ratio is slightly negative (-0.14), reflecting some risk without commensurate returns. Everydaymortgage does not engage in weather markets and displays a semi-automated trading style, combining bot and manual inputs.

Strengths for everydaymortgage include a clear commitment to consistency and an upward equity trend, which may appeal to long-term investors. However, the significant negative net PnL, low smart score, and zero profit factor raise concerns about profitability and risk management. The absence of sell trades might contribute to large unrealized losses, highlighting potential vulnerabilities in adapting to changing market conditions on Polymarket.

Badges

6
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 117.6 entries/market
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
Whale
$13,284,507
Consistent
8/13 days
High Roller
$738,028/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,642,867$-1,795,143Vol: $24,747,210

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,795,143
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$24,747,210
Total Redeem
$10,391,937
Portfolio
$1,155,303
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
2940B / 0S
Daily Volume
$738,028
Account Age
41d
since Apr 7, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$636,827
Vol: $1,155,881
Week
$1,537,296
Vol: $8,230,209
Month
$-1,371,325
Vol: $23,725,468
All Time
$-1,795,143
Vol: $24,747,210

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
57%
12W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$4,329,078
Win Rate
100%
11W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$393,718
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,903,746 (67% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?$1,301,240
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-09?$880,685
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-12?$721,821
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5$473,223
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-03?$321,598
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovic$177,530
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-03?$145,929
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Liudmila Samsonova vs Anastasia Pota$125,013
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?$104,608
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ugo Humbert vs Dino Prizmic$45,254

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.137
Sortino
-0.119
HHI
816
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.247
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.7%
Top-5 markets
56.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
225.3
Very active
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
6s
between trades
Avg Gap
4.9m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
54.2

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
59% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 3.39 — diverse, typical for human0% at night — normal sleep pattern12/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.33 — human randomness225 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
117.6
Heavy DCA
<=1
1 entries
<=2
1 entries
<=5
1 entries
<=10
1 entries
<=20
1 entries
<=50
11 entries
>50
14 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)59.5%
High (>55c)40.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 60.1%

Other$2,976,994
Milan$880,685
Madrid$473,223

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
21

Single bracket

<=1
17 brackets
<=2
21 brackets
<=3
21 brackets
<=4
21 brackets
<=5
21 brackets
<=8
21 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/30/2026, 3:46:48 PM12 trades$191,48212 min
4/30/2026, 4:51:06 PM3 trades$3034 min
4/30/2026, 5:03:14 PM5 trades$1413 min
4/30/2026, 5:20:52 PM3 trades$1,4028 min
4/30/2026, 5:42:12 PM2 trades$120 min
4/30/2026, 5:56:28 PM12 trades$145,51015 min
4/30/2026, 6:16:16 PM1 trades$1,4500 min
4/30/2026, 6:28:12 PM4 trades$37,7004 min
4/30/2026, 6:46:36 PM17 trades$2,8019 min
5/1/2026, 6:12:36 PM1 trades$3,5700 min
5/1/2026, 6:19:26 PM1 trades$5420 min
5/1/2026, 6:30:50 PM25 trades$1,34827 min
5/3/2026, 10:03:22 AM2 trades$1,2271 min
5/3/2026, 10:14:30 AM5 trades$18,9082 min
5/3/2026, 10:51:24 AM1 trades$4,2650 min
5/3/2026, 11:14:38 AM6 trades$112,04411 min
5/3/2026, 11:58:26 AM102 trades$713,86333 min
5/3/2026, 12:37:00 PM1 trades$36,0000 min
5/3/2026, 12:43:32 PM1 trades$9,1500 min
5/3/2026, 12:49:04 PM254 trades$2,365,49386 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-30
05-03
05-06
05-09
05-12
05-16
05-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 117.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event