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evytd

@evytd

#269,681100

0xb8b115ec8d8e235194c101021ae176935448513a

131d· 1356 markets · 1264 tradesVol: $13,4722026-05-14T11:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 82%20/20
Profit Factor 65.47x15/15
Sharpe 1.08915/15
Sortino 22.20410/10
EV $+0.73310/10
HHI 3410/10
Profit Days 97%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Evytd is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked #269,681 globally by net profit and holding an elite Smart Score of 100. Over 144 days, evytd executed 1,264 trades across 825 markets, generating a net PnL of $55.91 on a total volume of $13,472. Despite a modest portfolio value of $37.15, evytd has maintained a stable equity trend with minimal drawdown, reflecting consistent performance.

Evytd’s trading strategy is characterized by a preference for weather-related markets, comprising 96% of their activity. The trader exhibits an aggressive risk profile with a remarkable 99.1% win rate and a profit factor of 65.47, suggesting highly efficient trades. Evytd’s low sell percentage of 6% and a Sharpe ratio of 1.09 indicate a tendency to hold positions longer, aligning with the “Diamond Hands” badge. Their activity pattern combines both manual and semi-automated approaches, reflected in a moderate bot score of 50.

The strengths of evytd include exceptional precision and profitability, as evidenced by elite ratings and high win rate, making them a reliable presence on Polymarket. However, the trader’s concentrated focus on weather markets could pose risks if these markets experience volatility or reduced liquidity. Additionally, a flat equity trend suggests limited portfolio growth potential, which may affect scalability in the long term.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 82%
Profitable
PnL $+56
Lottery Player
34% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
79% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
6% sell
Weather Pro
96% weather
Win Streak
92 wins in a row
Consistent
63/65 days
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

6
🌤️ WEATHER#9,670$39Vol: $12,343
🎭 CULTURE#96,427$4Vol: $636
SPORTS#263,232$7Vol: $298
🏛️ POLITICS#184,591$7Vol: $182
📢 MENTIONS#43,528$0Vol: $10
CRYPTO#802,356$-1Vol: $4

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$56
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,472
Total Redeem
$1,927
Portfolio
$37
Predictions
1356
total markets
Trades
1184B / 80S
Daily Volume
$14
Account Age
131d
since Jan 9, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $11
Week
$14
Vol: $828
Month
$-24
Vol: $2,180
All Time
$56
Vol: $13,472

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
94%
244W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$1,127
Win Rate
99%
315W / 3L
Profit Factor
65.47x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $53 (5.7% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on March 28?$26
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on$15
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F $12
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 4?$12
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on March 31?$11
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C or higher on April$10
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 16?$10
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 16?$10
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on April 16?$10
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on April 16?$10

Top Losers

Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Leylah Fernandez vs Zeynep Sonmez$-8
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on April 5?$-6
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on April 25?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.089
Sortino
22.204
HHI
34
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.733
Kelly %
98.6%
Half-Kelly
49.3%
Top-1 market
3.3%
Top-5 markets
6.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
25.5
Active
Markets / Day
16.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
57.8m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 380s — typical for humanSize CV 1.49 — diverse, typical for human12% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.84 — human randomness26 trades/day — suspiciously high17 markets/day — mass coverage313 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.5
Single entry
<=1
558 entries
<=2
750 entries
<=5
810 entries
<=10
816 entries
<=20
816 entries
<=50
816 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)34.1%
Mid (20-55c)48.3%
High (>55c)17.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 71.5%

London$102
Madrid$64
Istanbul$63
Buenos Aires$58
Sao Paulo$47
Warsaw$44
Milan$42
Munich$38
New York City$38
Amsterdam$37
Paris$33
San Francisco$32
Los Angeles$30
Atlanta$26
Toronto$25
Ankara$25
Other$24
Mexico City$23

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.7
Events covered
484

Single bracket

<=1
210 brackets
<=2
424 brackets
<=3
479 brackets
<=4
483 brackets
<=5
483 brackets
<=8
484 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/25/2026, 1:27:05 PM1 trades$590 min
3/25/2026, 2:25:53 PM1 trades$590 min
3/25/2026, 2:34:45 PM1 trades$60 min
3/25/2026, 2:43:39 PM3 trades$113 min
3/25/2026, 3:43:17 PM2 trades$90 min
3/25/2026, 5:50:05 PM1 trades$60 min
3/25/2026, 7:12:05 PM1 trades$90 min
3/25/2026, 7:57:01 PM1 trades$50 min
3/25/2026, 10:44:13 PM1 trades$70 min
3/26/2026, 12:31:17 PM1 trades$10 min
3/26/2026, 1:05:49 PM1 trades$60 min
3/26/2026, 1:23:55 PM1 trades$10 min
3/26/2026, 1:30:55 PM3 trades$188 min
3/26/2026, 1:58:11 PM1 trades$10 min
3/26/2026, 2:08:51 PM1 trades$10 min
3/26/2026, 2:35:05 PM1 trades$50 min
3/26/2026, 2:45:21 PM4 trades$134 min
3/26/2026, 2:56:33 PM1 trades$70 min
3/26/2026, 3:51:01 PM1 trades$70 min
3/27/2026, 1:58:59 AM1 trades$00 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-28
03-17
03-30
04-11
04-21
05-01
05-13
05-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
96.2% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
6.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.7 br/event