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@f705fa04

#6659

0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7

~457d· 1815 markets · 13484 tradesVol: $77,944,6282026-06-25T15:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 89%20/20
Profit Factor 78.51x15/15
EV $+5.76210/10
HHI 8510/10
Profit Days 45%4/10

Summary

Trader f705fa04 is a highly active participant on Polymarket, ranking 66th globally by net profit and boasting a net PnL of over $2 million. With 13,484 trades across 318 markets and nearly $78 million in total volume, f705fa04 demonstrates consistent engagement over 457 days. The trader holds a portfolio value of approximately $730,000 and maintains a Smart Score of 59, indicating generally good trading performance.

The trading style of f705fa04 appears to be aggressive and high-volume, as evidenced by the large number of trades and total volume. Despite a win rate under 40%, the trader persists with a semi-automated approach, reflected by a bot score of 55. The preference for a 32% sell rate suggests a strategic mix of holding and exiting positions. f705fa04 does not focus on weather markets, indicating a more diversified or speculative portfolio. The negative Sharpe ratio and low profit factor imply a high-risk profile with significant volatility in returns.

Key strengths for f705fa04 include a strong track record of profitability and high trading frequency, earning badges such as Sniper and Whale. However, the downward equity trend and a negative Sharpe ratio highlight potential concerns about sustainability and risk management. While the max drawdown duration is zero, suggesting effective drawdown limits, the overall portfolio value decline warrants caution for long-term stability.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 89%
Profitable
PnL $+2,054,901
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
Whale
$10,169,102
High Roller
$22,252/day

Categories

1
₿ CRYPTO#2$2,054,901Vol: $77,943,084

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,054,901
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$77,944,628
Total Redeem
$585,559
Portfolio
$731,725
Predictions
1815
total markets
Trades
9127B / 4357S
Daily Volume
$22,252
Account Age
~457d

Periods

#2
Today
$73,494
Vol: $225,841
Week
$104,369
Vol: $1,306,995
Month
$206,733
Vol: $5,374,699
All Time
$2,054,901
Vol: $77,944,628

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
98%
117W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$3,541,831
Win Rate
38%
82W / 135L
Profit Factor
0.09x
Avg Win
$5,302
Avg Loss
$-36,468

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 23?$52,814
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 5?$49,272
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?$25,768
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 30?$21,800
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?$21,328
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5?$20,023
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 6?$16,527
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?$13,450
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 2?$12,632
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 2?$12,603

Top Losers

Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?$-170,168
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in April?$-158,339
Will Solana dip to $90 in January?$-138,547
Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?$-135,173
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?$-127,997
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in March?$-127,523
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?$-115,005
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$-112,333
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in February?$-109,230
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$-108,396

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.484
Sortino
-0.409
HHI
85
Diversified
EV per $1
$5.762
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.5%
Top-5 markets
9.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
50.9
Very active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
30.1m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 176s — typical for humanSize CV 1.74 — diverse, typical for human17% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.11 — human randomness51 trades/day — mass trading346 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
28.7
Heavy DCA
<=1
18 entries
<=2
31 entries
<=5
73 entries
<=10
102 entries
<=20
165 entries
<=50
265 entries
>50
53 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.3%
Mid (20-55c)20.1%
High (>55c)52.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 34.8%

Other$-4,488,363

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
3.2
Events covered
98

Multi-bracket hedger

<=1
40 brackets
<=2
58 brackets
<=3
70 brackets
<=4
78 brackets
<=5
82 brackets
<=8
89 brackets
>8
9 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/3/2025, 12:32:16 PM1 trades$6120 min
10/3/2025, 3:53:14 PM1 trades$1210 min
10/3/2025, 6:08:02 PM1 trades$3510 min
10/3/2025, 6:21:34 PM1 trades$1250 min
10/4/2025, 3:31:56 PM2 trades$3,8050 min
10/5/2025, 2:34:28 AM1 trades$2260 min
10/5/2025, 6:12:05 PM1 trades$6100 min
10/5/2025, 6:34:53 PM1 trades$3190 min
10/5/2025, 7:24:41 PM1 trades$1790 min
10/5/2025, 10:21:59 PM1 trades$1,6770 min
10/5/2025, 11:08:31 PM1 trades$1,4760 min
10/6/2025, 2:32:31 AM2 trades$2223 min
10/6/2025, 7:34:53 AM1 trades$1040 min
10/6/2025, 1:11:41 PM1 trades$2850 min
10/6/2025, 11:23:16 PM1 trades$2290 min
10/7/2025, 8:06:36 AM1 trades$180 min
10/7/2025, 1:42:38 PM1 trades$340 min
10/7/2025, 2:08:24 PM1 trades$130 min
10/7/2025, 5:57:32 PM1 trades$3000 min
10/9/2025, 7:59:15 PM1 trades$4270 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-01
01-09
02-20
05-01
06-04
06-15
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 28.7/mkt
Hedging
MULTI
avg 3.2 br/event