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@f705fa04

#5558

0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7

~457d· 1606 markets · 14052 tradesVol: $69,688,9562026-05-13T22:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

58
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 91%20/20
Profit Factor 203.52x15/15
EV $+5.17310/10
HHI 7610/10
Profit Days 41%3/10

Summary

Trader f705fa04 is a highly active participant on Polymarket, ranked 55th on the global profit and loss leaderboard. With over 14,000 trades across nearly 400 markets and a net PnL exceeding $1.8 million, this trader demonstrates substantial engagement and capital deployment. Despite a large total volume of nearly $70 million, f705fa04’s portfolio value currently stands at approximately $650,000, reflecting some recent declines.

The trading style of f705fa04 appears to be a mix of semi-automated bot and manual strategies, as indicated by the bot score of 55/100. This trader focuses on a broad range of markets but avoids weather-related ones entirely. The win rate is relatively low at 34.7%, coupled with a profit factor of 0.06, which suggests many trades may be break-even or small losses offset by larger wins. Their sell percentage of 31% implies a willingness to lock in profits or cut losses moderately. The Sharpe ratio of -0.44 signals negative risk-adjusted returns, and the equity trend is currently downward.

Key strengths for f705fa04 include high trading volume and experience, indicated by badges like Sniper and Profitable, which suggest skill in timing entries. However, the low profit factor and negative Sharpe ratio highlight risks of inconsistent profitability and potential exposure to drawdowns. The short max drawdown duration is positive, but the overall equity decline signals the need for strategic adjustments to maintain long-term performance on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 91%
Profitable
PnL $+1,869,316
Hedger
avg 4.0 brackets/event
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
Whale
$10,930,767
High Roller
$23,919/day

Categories

1
CRYPTO#2$1,869,316Vol: $69,688,956

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,869,316
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$69,688,956
Total Redeem
$1,153,338
Portfolio
$651,414
Predictions
1606
total markets
Trades
9644B / 4408S
Daily Volume
$23,919
Account Age
~457d

Periods

#2
Today
$6,226
Vol: $127,100
Week
$-2,472
Vol: $406,218
Month
$35,428
Vol: $2,026,444
All Time
$1,869,316
Vol: $69,688,956

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
95%
105W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$3,292,225
Win Rate
35%
92W / 173L
Profit Factor
0.06x
Avg Win
$3,371
Avg Loss
$-28,139

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 23?$52,814
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?$23,805
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 1?$22,352
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 30?$21,800
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 6?$16,527
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?$12,686
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 2?$12,632
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 2?$12,603
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 30?$12,073
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17?$10,701

Top Losers

Will Solana dip to $90 in January?$-138,547
Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?$-135,173
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?$-127,997
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in March?$-127,523
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?$-115,005
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?$-113,565
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$-112,333
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in February?$-109,230
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$-108,396
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 by December 31, 2026?$-107,903

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.443
Sortino
-0.367
HHI
76
Diversified
EV per $1
$5.173
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
8.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
63.2
Very active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
24.8m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 170s — typical for humanSize CV 1.76 — diverse, typical for human16% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.09 — human randomness63 trades/day — mass trading316 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
24.4
Heavy DCA
<=1
49 entries
<=2
72 entries
<=5
122 entries
<=10
170 entries
<=20
235 entries
<=50
344 entries
>50
51 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29.4%
Mid (20-55c)19.1%
High (>55c)51.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 33.9%

Other$-4,557,839

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
4
Events covered
100

Multi-bracket hedger

<=1
31 brackets
<=2
46 brackets
<=3
60 brackets
<=4
64 brackets
<=5
75 brackets
<=8
87 brackets
>8
13 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/3/2025, 12:32:16 PM1 trades$6120 min
10/3/2025, 3:53:14 PM1 trades$1210 min
10/3/2025, 6:08:02 PM1 trades$3510 min
10/3/2025, 6:21:34 PM1 trades$1250 min
10/4/2025, 3:31:56 PM2 trades$3,8050 min
10/5/2025, 2:34:28 AM1 trades$2260 min
10/5/2025, 6:12:05 PM1 trades$6100 min
10/5/2025, 6:34:53 PM1 trades$3190 min
10/5/2025, 7:24:41 PM1 trades$1790 min
10/5/2025, 10:21:59 PM1 trades$1,6770 min
10/5/2025, 11:08:31 PM1 trades$1,4760 min
10/6/2025, 2:32:31 AM2 trades$2223 min
10/6/2025, 7:34:53 AM1 trades$1040 min
10/6/2025, 1:11:41 PM1 trades$2850 min
10/6/2025, 11:23:16 PM1 trades$2290 min
10/7/2025, 8:06:36 AM1 trades$180 min
10/7/2025, 1:42:38 PM1 trades$340 min
10/7/2025, 2:08:24 PM1 trades$130 min
10/7/2025, 5:57:32 PM1 trades$3000 min
10/9/2025, 7:59:15 PM1 trades$4270 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-14
01-01
02-13
04-05
04-17
04-28
05-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 24.4/mkt
Hedging
MULTI
avg 4 br/event