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garenisfreelo

@garenisfreelo

#2,822,65940

0xc09071555dd2e44171f516d0fd3de9a0fdc0e1ef

140d· 4899 markets · 1996 tradesVol: $41,6222026-07-16T15:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 99%20/20
Profit Factor 0.69x0/15
HHI 5310/10
Profit Days 77%10/10
DD/Peak 20011%0/10

Summary

Garenisfreelo is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having completed nearly 2,000 trades across more than 1,100 markets within 99 days. Ranked #2,822,659 on the global PnL leaderboard, the trader currently holds a net loss of $557.08 despite an upward equity trend. Their overall Smart Score of 40/100 indicates below-average performance, and their portfolio value is currently zero.

The trading style of garenisfreelo appears to be high volume with a preference for diverse markets, including a notable 12% focus on weather-related events. Their win rate is strong at 80.8%, suggesting consistent success in individual trades. However, the profit factor of 0.69 and a negative Sharpe ratio of -0.12 imply that gains may not be sufficient to cover losses and risk exposure. The very low sell percentage of 1% and badges like Diamond Hands suggest a tendency to hold positions rather than exit quickly, indicating a risk profile that may favor longer-term or less reactive strategies.

Garenisfreelo’s key strengths include high consistency and a strong win streak, as reflected in their badges and win rate. Their semi-automated trading approach (Bot Score 55/100) may help maintain discipline. On the downside, the negative profit factor and net loss highlight potential issues with trade sizing or risk management. The zero portfolio value despite high trading volume raises questions about capital efficiency and sustainability of their current strategy on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

4
Sniper
Win Rate 99%
Diamond Hands
1% sell
Win Streak
522 wins in a row
Consistent
46/60 days

Categories

8
CRYPTO#1,470,015$-121Vol: $17,434
🌤️ WEATHER#282,381$-124Vol: $16,167
SPORTS#1,745,016$-304Vol: $7,092
🏛️ POLITICS#1,145,520$-5Vol: $824
🎭 CULTURE#143,788$1Vol: $70
📢 MENTIONS#104,896$-4Vol: $15
💻 TECH#174,011$-1Vol: $12
📈 ECONOMICS#217,535$0Vol: $8

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-557
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$41,622
Total Redeem
$3,719
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4899
total markets
Trades
1983B / 13S
Daily Volume
$57
Account Age
140d
since Mar 5, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-5
Vol: $45
Week
$13
Vol: $172
Month
$-276
Vol: $3,877
All Time
$-557
Vol: $41,622

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
250W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$1,149
Win Rate
81%
703W / 167L
Profit Factor
0.69x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-8

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$13

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 4?$-116
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$-71
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$-65
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on May $-43
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May$-42
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on May 8?$-38
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 8?$-37
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 14?$-31
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 14?$-31
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 7?$-28

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.123
Sortino
-0.103
HHI
53
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.094
Kelly %
37.1%
Half-Kelly
18.6%
Top-1 market
3.6%
Top-5 markets
10.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.4
Active
Markets / Day
12.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
39.7m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 486s — typical for humanSize CV 1.93 — diverse, typical for human28% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.17 — human randomness20 trades/day — suspiciously high12 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.7
Single entry
<=1
1020 entries
<=2
1055 entries
<=5
1130 entries
<=10
1169 entries
<=20
1176 entries
<=50
1182 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.8%
Mid (20-55c)39.9%
High (>55c)56.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 31.7%

Taipei$6
Guangzhou$5
Jeddah$4
Sao Paulo$1
Busan$1
Ankara$1
Toronto$1
Lucknow$1
Cape Town$1
Beijing$1
Shenzhen$1
Panama City$0
London$0
Karachi$0
Wuhan$0
Paris$0
Tokyo$0
Amsterdam$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
1154

Single bracket

<=1
1128 brackets
<=2
1152 brackets
<=3
1154 brackets
<=4
1154 brackets
<=5
1154 brackets
<=8
1154 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/9/2026, 2:14:51 PM1 trades$10 min
4/9/2026, 7:21:31 PM1 trades$10 min
4/10/2026, 7:28:19 AM1 trades$740 min
4/11/2026, 5:15:37 AM1 trades$790 min
4/20/2026, 9:59:58 AM1 trades$710 min
4/20/2026, 12:44:54 PM1 trades$250 min
4/20/2026, 4:54:52 PM1 trades$250 min
4/20/2026, 6:34:54 PM1 trades$250 min
4/20/2026, 7:04:58 PM1 trades$250 min
4/20/2026, 7:29:54 PM1 trades$250 min
4/20/2026, 8:44:58 PM1 trades$250 min
4/21/2026, 12:20:02 AM1 trades$250 min
4/21/2026, 12:39:52 AM1 trades$240 min
4/21/2026, 1:24:52 AM1 trades$250 min
4/21/2026, 1:45:04 AM1 trades$240 min
4/21/2026, 3:09:50 AM1 trades$250 min
4/21/2026, 4:04:52 AM1 trades$250 min
4/21/2026, 5:54:54 AM1 trades$250 min
4/21/2026, 2:29:58 PM1 trades$240 min
4/21/2026, 6:14:54 PM1 trades$250 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-11
05-18
05-28
06-07
06-17
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
11.6% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event