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@gmpm

#3530

0x14964aefa2cd7caff7878b3820a690a03c5aa429

298d· 845 markets · 20132 tradesVol: $85,100,1312026-06-27T07:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.14x0/15
HHI 11110/10
Profit Days 21%0/10

Summary

Trader gmpm is a moderately active participant on Polymarket, with 20,132 trades executed across 292 different markets over 250 days. Ranked #35 on the global PnL leaderboard, gmpm has generated a substantial net profit of approximately $3.53 million from a total trading volume exceeding $85 million. Despite the impressive gross profit, the trader’s overall Smart Score is below average at 30/100, reflecting some inconsistencies in performance metrics. The current portfolio value is zero, indicating no open positions at the moment.

Gmpm’s trading style appears to be high-frequency with a strong contrarian bent, as suggested by the low win rate of 13.8% but a high volume of trades. The trader rarely sells (only 4%), indicating a preference for holding positions, consistent with the “Diamond Hands” badge. The Sharpe ratio of -0.42 and a profit factor of 0.14 reveal a risk profile that involves significant volatility and drawdowns. The semi-automated bot/manual hybrid approach (bot score 45/100) suggests some level of algorithmic assistance in timing and execution.

The main strength of gmpm lies in an upward equity trend and the ability to maintain profitable streaks despite a low win rate, showing resilience and strategic risk-taking. However, the negative Sharpe ratio and poor profit factor signal potential exposure to large losses, and the absence of open positions may indicate cautious capital deployment. Overall, gmpm’s performance on Polymarket reflects a high-risk, high-reward contrarian strategy that requires ongoing risk management attention.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+3,530,848
Contrarian
53% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
4% sell
Win Streak
34 wins in a row
Whale
$23,372,861
High Roller
$93,480/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#23$3,549,767Vol: $85,056,131

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,530,848
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$85,100,131
Total Redeem
$5,165,871
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
845
total markets
Trades
19242B / 890S
Daily Volume
$93,480
Account Age
298d
since Sep 12, 2025

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
201W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$14,288,084
Win Rate
14%
36W / 225L
Profit Factor
0.14x
Avg Win
$73,735
Avg Loss
$-86,021

Top Winners

Seahawks vs. Patriots$1,996,637
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)$157,585
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)$95,580
Knicks vs. Hawks$74,307
Celtics vs. 76ers$36,387
Thunder vs. Suns$33,603
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5$21,838
Magic vs. Pistons$21,830
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)$20,368
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?$16,800

Top Losers

Spread: Patriots (-3.5)$-920,369
Miami vs. Ole Miss$-567,230
Rams vs. Bears$-543,841
Chargers vs. Cowboys$-517,965
Miami vs. Indiana$-463,963
Patriots vs. Broncos$-410,204
Vikings vs. Seahawks$-383,104
Spread: Rams (-7.5)$-371,141
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$-362,140
Cowboys vs. Lions$-360,230

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.418
Sortino
-0.487
HHI
111
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.737
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.9%
Top-5 markets
14.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
80.5
Very active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
16s
between trades
Avg Gap
7.6m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.5

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 16s — typical for humanSize CV 6.92 — diverse, typical for human20% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.09 — human randomness81 trades/day — mass trading

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
65.9
Heavy DCA
<=1
46 entries
<=2
67 entries
<=5
115 entries
<=10
139 entries
<=20
171 entries
<=50
221 entries
>50
71 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.6%
Mid (20-55c)71.6%
High (>55c)27.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 69.6%

Chicago$15,078
Los Angeles$0
Atlanta$0
Houston$-48,633
Miami$-1,109,591
Other$-15,557,167

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
239

Single bracket

<=1
192 brackets
<=2
234 brackets
<=3
238 brackets
<=4
239 brackets
<=5
239 brackets
<=8
239 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
9/12/2025, 8:54:51 PM3 trades$1,8575 min
9/12/2025, 9:05:27 PM3 trades$3,6285 min
9/12/2025, 9:23:09 PM3 trades$156 min
9/12/2025, 9:48:13 PM7 trades$11,43717 min
9/12/2025, 10:18:23 PM2 trades$7,6030 min
9/12/2025, 10:26:31 PM1 trades$70 min
9/12/2025, 10:35:05 PM5 trades$30,96111 min
9/12/2025, 10:54:39 PM1 trades$360 min
9/12/2025, 11:03:31 PM5 trades$7989 min
9/12/2025, 11:24:09 PM9 trades$10,57416 min
9/12/2025, 11:49:29 PM3 trades$28,0855 min
9/13/2025, 6:42:40 PM7 trades$13,8439 min
9/13/2025, 6:59:30 PM44 trades$29,86261 min
9/13/2025, 8:05:30 PM2 trades$444 min
9/13/2025, 8:15:10 PM5 trades$2,9916 min
9/13/2025, 9:35:04 PM11 trades$19,76017 min
9/14/2025, 12:35:42 AM41 trades$12,69233 min
9/14/2025, 1:14:22 AM302 trades$154,616199 min
9/14/2025, 8:01:36 PM7 trades$49,9802 min
9/21/2025, 2:12:54 PM1 trades$70,0000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-15
10-27
11-18
12-19
01-11
02-15
05-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 65.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event