Polydata

@gobblewobble

#31088

0x0fe40e887acbd0022f89d996acce26ab428501b7

171d· 1408 markets · 18299 tradesVol: $28,802,7772026-05-29T19:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

88
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 53%11/20
Profit Factor 7.01x15/15
Sharpe 0.60011/15
Sortino 6.11310/10
EV $+3.31010/10
HHI 21210/10
Profit Days 76%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Gobblewobble is an elite-ranked trader on Polymarket, positioned at #310 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of approximately $498,631. Over 164 active days, they executed 18,299 trades across 352 markets, maintaining a total volume near $28.8 million. Their smart score of 88/100 reflects strong performance, and their portfolio value stands at roughly $370,000. Despite a modest Sharpe ratio of 0.60 and a low profit factor of 0.16, gobblewobble’s equity trend is steadily upward, indicating consistent growth.

Gobblewobble’s trading style is characterized by a contrarian, lottery-player approach, supported by badges such as "Diamond Hands" and "DCA Master." They prefer a wide range of markets without any exposure to weather-related categories. Their win rate hovers just above 51%, with a notably low sell percentage of 4%, suggesting a long-term holding bias and possible dollar-cost averaging tactics. The blend of semi-automated trading, as indicated by a bot score of 60/100, allows for a mix of manual oversight with algorithmic support.

The main strengths of gobblewobble include their high volume and active participation, which provide ample data for informed decision-making, alongside a resilient equity growth and minimal drawdown duration. However, the relatively low profit factor and moderate Sharpe ratio imply potential vulnerability to market volatility and risk management challenges. Additionally, their contrarian style and low sell rate could expose them to prolonged downturns if market conditions shift unfavorably.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

10
Profitable
PnL $+498,631
Lottery Player
31% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
62% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
4% sell
DCA Master
avg 50.1 entries/market
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Whale
$2,640,142
Consistent
101/133 days
High Roller
$16,098/day
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

1
CRYPTO#35$498,631Vol: $28,802,777

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$498,631
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$28,802,777
Total Redeem
$771,904
Portfolio
$369,890
Predictions
1408
total markets
Trades
17623B / 676S
Daily Volume
$16,098
Account Age
171d
since Dec 10, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$25,922
Vol: $287,952
Week
$87,375
Vol: $1,188,843
Month
$106,233
Vol: $4,178,942
All Time
$498,631
Vol: $28,802,777

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
66%
209W / 108L events
Realized PnL
$2,413,948
Win Rate
51%
24W / 23L
Profit Factor
0.16x
Avg Win
$4,220
Avg Loss
$-26,991

Top Winners

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?$29,671
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29?$10,644
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$8,613
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 28?$8,221
Ethereum Up or Down on May 29?$7,696
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26?$7,630
Ethereum Up or Down on May 26?$4,985
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?$4,442
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?$3,046
Ethereum Up or Down on May 28?$2,776

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$-133,256
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?$-89,389
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6?$-64,451
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$-52,719
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$-43,258
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?$-41,413
Ethereum Up or Down on February 6?$-38,366
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 26?$-34,022
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?$-25,248
Ethereum Up or Down on May 18?$-23,715

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.600
Sortino
6.113
HHI
212
Diversified
EV per $1
$3.310
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.7%
Top-5 markets
23.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
113.0
Very active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
58s
between trades
Avg Gap
11.3m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 58s — typical for humanSize CV 2.96 — diverse, typical for human18% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.11 — human randomness113 trades/day — automation575 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
50.1
Heavy DCA
<=1
45 entries
<=2
60 entries
<=5
97 entries
<=10
144 entries
<=20
199 entries
<=50
253 entries
>50
99 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)31.3%
Mid (20-55c)34%
High (>55c)34.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 32.1%

Up or Down$-89,055
Other$-430,467

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.7
Events covered
206

Single bracket

<=1
127 brackets
<=2
166 brackets
<=3
194 brackets
<=4
201 brackets
<=5
201 brackets
<=8
205 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/18/2025, 8:19:55 PM28 trades$1,04720 min
12/18/2025, 8:46:53 PM1 trades$200 min
12/18/2025, 8:56:11 PM19 trades$1,12812 min
12/18/2025, 9:13:57 PM1 trades$360 min
12/18/2025, 9:19:55 PM2 trades$1211 min
12/18/2025, 9:28:03 PM21 trades$1,33421 min
12/18/2025, 9:54:21 PM3 trades$1575 min
12/18/2025, 10:04:15 PM1 trades$860 min
12/18/2025, 10:10:21 PM11 trades$67421 min
12/18/2025, 10:39:59 PM4 trades$381 min
12/18/2025, 11:23:13 PM1 trades$870 min
12/18/2025, 11:28:41 PM2 trades$1753 min
12/18/2025, 11:40:51 PM1 trades$870 min
12/18/2025, 11:48:31 PM6 trades$2196 min
12/19/2025, 12:00:01 AM5 trades$1666 min
12/19/2025, 12:23:53 AM2 trades$1610 min
12/19/2025, 12:29:53 AM1 trades$890 min
12/19/2025, 12:51:31 AM1 trades$790 min
12/19/2025, 12:57:31 AM2 trades$1005 min
12/19/2025, 1:09:41 AM1 trades$890 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-19
02-06
02-28
03-23
04-14
05-08
05-30
06-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
3.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 50.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.7 br/event