Polydata
gopfan2

@gopfan2

#7568

0xf2f6af4f27ec2dcf4072095ab804016e14cd5817

637d· 1995 markets · 25111 tradesVol: $64,976,919 @r_gopfan2026-05-18T00:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 37%4/20
Profit Factor 2.15x15/15
Sharpe 0.1944/15
Sortino 0.95410/10
EV $+0.95010/10
HHI 6810/10
Profit Days 56%6/10
DD/Peak 15%10/10

Summary

Trader gopfan2 is a highly active participant on Polymarket, ranking 75th on the global profit and loss leaderboard. Over 862 days, they have executed 25,111 trades across 629 markets, generating a net PnL of over $1.5 million on a total volume nearing $65 million. Their portfolio value remains stable at around $640,000, reflecting consistent performance with a smart score of 68 out of 100.

gopfan2’s trading style shows a preference for a diverse range of markets, avoiding weather-related ones entirely. With a very high win rate of 91.3% and a profit factor exceeding 71, their approach suggests low-risk, high-probability trades. The relatively low sell percentage (12%) and a semi-bot score of 55 indicate a blend of automated and manual decision-making. Despite a modest Sharpe ratio of 0.19, gopfan2 maintains a zero-day max drawdown duration, implying strong risk management and timing discipline.

The main strengths of gopfan2 lie in their consistent profitability, contrarian insights, and disciplined dollar-cost averaging strategy. However, the flat equity trend and low Sharpe ratio suggest limited upside volatility and potential vulnerability to market regime changes. Overall, gopfan2 demonstrates a reliable and stable approach on Polymarket, balancing steady returns with controlled risk exposure.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+1,528,272
Lottery Player
57% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
82% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 35.9 entries/market
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
Whale
$3,966,337
High Roller
$4,601/day
Cool Head
DD 15%

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#30$1,079,812Vol: $32,983,834
SPORTS#1,651,465$-232,294Vol: $13,220,158
CRYPTO#120$198,335Vol: $7,458,282
🌤️ WEATHER#1$349,402Vol: $4,588,342
🎭 CULTURE#115$55,141Vol: $3,562,810
📈 ECONOMICS#139$40,221Vol: $1,408,875
💰 FINANCE#212$18,474Vol: $961,870
💻 TECH#254$6,332Vol: $529,581
📢 MENTIONS#131$14,937Vol: $112,185

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,528,272
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$64,976,919
Total Redeem
$184,008
Portfolio
$640,062
Predictions
1995
total markets
Trades
22048B / 3063S
Daily Volume
$4,601
Account Age
637d
since Aug 21, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-1,734
Vol: $3,666
Week
$-13,457
Vol: $3,666
Month
$-6,139
Vol: $519,179
All Time
$1,528,272
Vol: $64,976,919

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
43%
278W / 366L events
Realized PnL
$5,288,533
Win Rate
91%
21W / 2L
Profit Factor
71.84x
Avg Win
$3,959
Avg Loss
$-579

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $38,942 (47.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungar$15,653
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in t$12,275
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?$11,013
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)$10,069
Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?$7,625
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$6,067
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championsh$4,890
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential elect$4,557
Will FK Zenit win on 2026-04-22?$2,272
Will FK Zenit win on 2026-05-02?$2,150

Top Losers

Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hung$-869
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary $-288

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.194
Sortino
0.954
HHI
68
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.950
Kelly %
86.9%
Half-Kelly
43.4%
Top-1 market
3.2%
Top-5 markets
12%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
58.5
Very active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
21.1m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 96s — typical for humanSize CV 5.92 — diverse, typical for human23% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.02 — human randomness59 trades/day — mass trading905 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
35.9
Heavy DCA
<=1
125 entries
<=2
181 entries
<=5
264 entries
<=10
338 entries
<=20
426 entries
<=50
529 entries
>50
86 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)56.9%
Mid (20-55c)29.4%
High (>55c)13.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 51%

Other$70,964
Paris$11,013
New York City$0
Madrid$0
Miami$0
Los Angeles$0
Charnvirakul$0
Denver$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
449

Single bracket

<=1
353 brackets
<=2
406 brackets
<=3
428 brackets
<=4
436 brackets
<=5
443 brackets
<=8
449 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/14/2025, 3:36:43 PM1 trades$150 min
5/14/2025, 11:06:38 PM1 trades$2720 min
5/15/2025, 7:55:20 AM1 trades$1920 min
5/17/2025, 5:42:17 AM1 trades$4,3360 min
5/19/2025, 4:52:20 PM2 trades$61 min
5/19/2025, 5:04:42 PM3 trades$660 min
5/19/2025, 7:29:52 PM1 trades$30 min
5/19/2025, 10:32:38 PM3 trades$14 min
5/20/2025, 8:48:44 AM1 trades$3060 min
5/20/2025, 9:47:30 AM2 trades$10 min
5/20/2025, 1:00:38 PM3 trades$10 min
5/20/2025, 3:49:00 PM1 trades$2,6840 min
5/21/2025, 6:31:32 PM2 trades$20 min
5/22/2025, 4:22:12 AM1 trades$00 min
5/24/2025, 2:31:17 PM1 trades$1,3800 min
5/31/2025, 3:13:30 PM1 trades$4300 min
6/2/2025, 10:34:43 PM1 trades$1,2690 min
6/2/2025, 10:51:27 PM1 trades$20 min
6/3/2025, 12:40:44 AM1 trades$2530 min
6/3/2025, 8:00:24 AM1 trades$300 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
06-20
10-05
12-05
02-11
04-03
01-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
12.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 35.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event