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gopfan2

@gopfan2

#9266

0xf2f6af4f27ec2dcf4072095ab804016e14cd5817

682d· 2015 markets · 25063 tradesVol: $68,625,224 @r_gopfan2026-06-30T17:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 36%3/20
Profit Factor 2.03x15/15
Sharpe 0.1853/15
Sortino 0.8909/10
EV $+0.91210/10
HHI 5910/10
Profit Days 54%6/10
DD/Peak 16%10/10

Summary

Gopfan2 is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked #92 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net PnL exceeding $1.5 million. Over 862 days, they executed more than 25,000 trades across 627 markets, accumulating a total volume of over $68 million. Their portfolio value currently stands at $523,000, supported by a strong win rate of 93.1% and a profit factor of 16.10, reflecting consistent profitability and effective trade management.

Gopfan2 appears to employ a semi-automated trading approach, combining bot signals with manual decisions, as indicated by their bot score of 55/100. Their trading style leans toward a contrarian and dollar-cost averaging (DCA) strategy, with a low sell percentage of 11%. They avoid weather-related markets entirely and maintain a relatively low risk profile, evidenced by a zero-day maximum drawdown duration and a stable equity trend. The trader’s Sharpe ratio of 0.19 suggests modest risk-adjusted returns, consistent with their steady but cautious execution.

The key strengths of gopfan2 include their disciplined approach, high win rate, and ability to maintain profitability with minimal drawdowns. Their extensive experience and diversified market coverage reduce exposure to singular market shocks. However, the low Sharpe ratio and flat equity trend may indicate limited upside volatility, and reliance on semi-bot strategies could pose risks if market conditions shift rapidly. Overall, gopfan2 demonstrates robust performance with a balanced approach on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+1,547,010
Lottery Player
53% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
81% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 36.2 entries/market
Win Streak
19 wins in a row
Whale
$4,065,587
High Roller
$4,716/day
Cool Head
DD 16%

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#31$1,071,081Vol: $33,205,016
SPORTS#1,777,647$-204,310Vol: $16,167,378
CRYPTO#117$215,942Vol: $7,576,055
🌤️ WEATHER#1$356,251Vol: $4,606,643
🎭 CULTURE#113$55,141Vol: $3,562,810
📈 ECONOMICS#151$40,221Vol: $1,408,875
💰 FINANCE#243$18,474Vol: $961,870
💻 TECH#273$6,332Vol: $529,581
📢 MENTIONS#135$14,937Vol: $112,185

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,547,010
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$68,625,224
Total Redeem
$463,074
Portfolio
$523,056
Predictions
2015
total markets
Trades
22205B / 2858S
Daily Volume
$4,716
Account Age
682d
since Aug 21, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-3,412
Vol: $0
Week
$-11,527
Vol: $2,540
Month
$52,435
Vol: $1,407,442
All Time
$1,547,010
Vol: $68,625,224

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
42%
269W / 376L events
Realized PnL
$5,303,299
Win Rate
93%
27W / 2L
Profit Factor
16.1x
Avg Win
$6,222
Avg Loss
$-5,218

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $64,992 (41.2% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$29,592
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)$18,000
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5$17,400
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$16,003
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in t$12,275
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)$10,069
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$9,300
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$8,816
Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?$7,625
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$5,932

Top Losers

Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher wo$-8,128
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$-2,309

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.185
Sortino
0.890
HHI
59
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.912
Kelly %
84.0%
Half-Kelly
42.0%
Top-1 market
2.8%
Top-5 markets
10.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
53.1
Very active
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
22.4m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 78s — typical for humanSize CV 6.61 — diverse, typical for human22% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.04 — human randomness53 trades/day — mass trading900 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
36.2
Heavy DCA
<=1
130 entries
<=2
185 entries
<=5
259 entries
<=10
336 entries
<=20
424 entries
<=50
525 entries
>50
88 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)53.4%
Mid (20-55c)32.9%
High (>55c)13.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 54.9%

Other$157,570
New York City$0
Madrid$0
Paris$0
Miami$0
Los Angeles$0
Charnvirakul$0
Denver$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
456

Single bracket

<=1
363 brackets
<=2
415 brackets
<=3
436 brackets
<=4
444 brackets
<=5
451 brackets
<=8
456 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/14/2025, 3:36:43 PM1 trades$150 min
5/14/2025, 11:06:38 PM1 trades$2720 min
5/15/2025, 7:55:20 AM1 trades$1920 min
5/17/2025, 5:42:17 AM1 trades$4,3360 min
5/19/2025, 4:52:20 PM2 trades$61 min
5/19/2025, 5:04:42 PM3 trades$660 min
5/19/2025, 7:29:52 PM1 trades$30 min
5/19/2025, 10:32:38 PM3 trades$14 min
5/20/2025, 8:48:44 AM1 trades$3060 min
5/20/2025, 9:47:30 AM2 trades$10 min
5/20/2025, 1:00:38 PM3 trades$10 min
5/20/2025, 3:49:00 PM1 trades$2,6840 min
5/21/2025, 6:31:32 PM2 trades$20 min
5/22/2025, 4:22:12 AM1 trades$00 min
5/24/2025, 2:31:17 PM1 trades$1,3800 min
5/31/2025, 3:13:30 PM1 trades$4300 min
6/2/2025, 10:34:43 PM1 trades$1,2690 min
6/2/2025, 10:51:27 PM1 trades$20 min
6/3/2025, 12:40:44 AM1 trades$2530 min
6/3/2025, 8:00:24 AM1 trades$300 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
06-24
10-10
12-06
02-12
04-04
01-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
11.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 36.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event