Polydata
hack-vc

@hack-vc

#6,11892

0xdb1b125189913bf03405e74cbf47273b4466efb5

~193d· 431 markets · 4710 tradesVol: $1,734,901 @a16zSec2026-07-31 15:25:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

71% (277/392)20/20
3.25x (win $119,797 / loss $36,835)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.68215/15
Sortino 20.12610/10
$+0.1129 per $1 invested5.6/10
HHI 685 (392 markets)9.1/10
73/122 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 11% of peak ($9,325 / $82,962)10/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 71%
Profitable
PnL $+26,769
DCA Master
Avg 10.8 entries/market
Whale
$734,951 invested
High Roller
$2,410/day
Cool Head
Max DD 11%
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
CRYPTO#1,509$28,444Vol: $721,609
📈 ECONOMICS#679,553$-1,017Vol: $314,441
🏛️ POLITICS#24,833$586Vol: $215,681
🎭 CULTURE#814,176$-3,271Vol: $180,920
💰 FINANCE#1,846$2,738Vol: $141,524
💻 TECH#3,747$220Vol: $16,034
SPORTS#115,575$110Vol: $7,261
📢 MENTIONS#169,584$-234Vol: $7,028
🌤️ WEATHER#294,139$-459Vol: $4,864

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$26,601
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,734,901
Total Redeem
$172
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
431
total markets
Trades
3171B / 1539S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~193d

Periods

#2
Today
$-546
Vol: $22,490
Week
$7,329
Vol: $116,909
Month
$-1,279
Vol: $313,048
All Time
$26,601
Vol: $1,734,901

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
71%
277W / 115L events
Realized PnL
$26,769
Win Rate
71%
277W / 115L
Profit Factor
3.25x
Avg Win
$432
Avg Loss
$-326

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $65,266 (2.4380935019059304% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$50,861
Will the government shutdown end November 13?$8,590
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$5,814
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?$5,652
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?$4,160
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$4,014
Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?$3,868
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$2,820
Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?$2,689
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$2,363

Top Losers

Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?$-4,103
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?$-2,324
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?$-1,736
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?$-1,692
Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?$-1,612
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?$-1,586
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?$-1,434
Will Trump visit China by March 31?$-1,292
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?$-1,099
Iran strike on US military by February 28?$-1,046

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.140
Sortino
0.835
HHI
832
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.123
Kelly %
14.2%
Half-Kelly
7.1%
Top-1 market
28%
Top-5 markets
35.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.4
Active
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
49.4m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.4

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 102s — normal for humanCV 5.49 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock15 trades/day — very active1.4 markets/day — normal63% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.84
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.1%
Mid (20-55c)15.4%
High (>55c)66.5%

Sessions

#12
7/22/2026, 2:56:03 PM1 trades$55,1740 min
7/14/2026, 12:25:55 PM54 trades$43,30913 min
7/26/2026, 4:50:55 PM1 trades$29,1200 min
10/29/2025, 8:52:03 PM10 trades$22,22618 min
7/14/2026, 1:06:25 PM9 trades$16,0401 min
7/2/2026, 12:57:11 PM8 trades$15,8433 min
1/30/2026, 12:23:20 PM12 trades$12,07413 min
7/10/2026, 3:51:44 PM7 trades$11,7600 min
10/24/2025, 11:09:55 PM8 trades$11,3605 min
2/28/2026, 7:24:53 AM8 trades$10,9384 min
7/22/2026, 5:59:45 PM6 trades$10,6267 min
11/18/2025, 6:12:17 AM28 trades$9,81719 min
6/17/2026, 6:22:43 PM5 trades$9,5610 min
1/24/2026, 4:41:22 AM5 trades$9,4455 min
7/31/2026, 1:05:02 PM8 trades$9,4370 min
11/18/2025, 6:55:11 AM2 trades$9,1950 min
6/17/2026, 6:48:01 PM2 trades$8,5000 min
7/29/2026, 5:49:24 PM14 trades$8,3724 min
7/22/2026, 3:20:10 PM1 trades$7,7000 min
7/31/2026, 12:21:57 AM2 trades$7,6870 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-02
11-30
01-01
01-28
02-24
03-24
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 67 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.84/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.1 / M15.4 / H66.5