Polydata

@hfncj

#3,031,48676

0xdbc5a029c30c6285931fad909848a0bb80ac9c30

~38d· 30 markets · 833 tradesVol: $1,196,6352026-07-31 16:35:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

76
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (13/24)12.1/20
8.46x (win $25,633 / loss $3,029)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.51815/15
Sortino 55.95810/10
$+0.0418 per $1 invested2.1/10
HHI 1048 (24 markets)7.3/10
11/23 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 7% of peak ($1,487 / $22,604)10/10

Badges

6
DCA Master
Avg 21.4 entries/market
Whale
$541,290 invested
High Roller
$2,974/day
Cool Head
Max DD 7%
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
71% maker orders

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,627,662$-2,731Vol: $699,927
SPORTS#1,808,862$-682Vol: $214,039
🌤️ WEATHER#268,445$-32Vol: $128,434
📈 ECONOMICS#676,387$-756Vol: $121,378

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,201
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,196,635
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
30
total markets
Trades
301B / 532S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d

Periods

#2
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-651
Vol: $67,069
All Time
$-4,201
Vol: $1,196,635

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
54%
13W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-4,201
Win Rate
54%
13W / 11L
Profit Factor
8.46x
Avg Win
$1,972
Avg Loss
$-275

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $18,620 (4.432579575454743% of PnL)

Top Winners

Capitals vs. Penguins$11,099
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$3,846
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,675
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2,053
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?$1,807
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?$1,420
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?$677
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$461
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$314
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?$248

Top Losers

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-1,487
Netanyahu out by March 31?$-425
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$-256
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-233
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$-176
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$-162
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?$-79
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-72
US government shutdown Saturday?$-71
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-57

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.385
Sortino
2.346
HHI
582
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.059
Kelly %
12.1%
Half-Kelly
6.0%
Top-1 market
15.2%
Top-5 markets
47%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
14s
between trades
Avg Gap
23.3m
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.8

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 14s — suspiciously fastCV 2.33 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal71% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
21.42
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2%
Mid (20-55c)3%
High (>55c)95%

Sessions

#12
5/31/2026, 3:00:40 PM5 trades$49,7780 min
5/14/2026, 11:33:03 AM18 trades$38,8491 min
4/11/2026, 4:24:33 PM54 trades$37,4314 min
6/16/2026, 8:45:33 AM30 trades$34,5920 min
5/29/2026, 3:00:25 PM2 trades$31,8490 min
4/28/2026, 6:34:52 PM3 trades$26,0640 min
5/11/2026, 10:16:48 PM4 trades$25,6271 min
5/17/2026, 3:14:56 AM28 trades$24,8360 min
3/17/2026, 10:11:37 AM11 trades$22,5732 min
5/7/2026, 11:33:18 PM62 trades$20,28720 min
2/26/2026, 8:30:28 AM16 trades$19,1419 min
5/29/2026, 2:51:40 PM5 trades$18,0520 min
5/17/2026, 2:37:24 AM4 trades$17,4971 min
5/26/2026, 4:49:33 AM1 trades$17,3640 min
5/26/2026, 5:11:41 AM3 trades$17,3541 min
5/23/2026, 2:01:22 PM1 trades$17,2040 min
7/7/2026, 10:06:28 PM16 trades$16,2665 min
6/9/2026, 2:40:01 PM1 trades$15,5250 min
4/28/2026, 6:25:16 PM5 trades$15,5000 min
6/9/2026, 10:23:42 PM1 trades$15,1960 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-24
01-28
02-26
03-07
04-24
05-26
06-09
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 21.42/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2 / M3 / H95