Polydata

@hightemptation

#3,797100

0x6011655c4afb76f36dd1b08a137a1ba73466b31e

139d· 1388 markets · 1150 tradesVol: $1,050,8342026-07-19T21:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 103.45x15/15
Sharpe 1.16215/15
Sortino 618227.12210/10
EV $+91.14310/10
HHI 5910/10
Profit Days 98%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Hightemptation is a highly active trader on Polymarket, with 1,150 trades across 254 markets over 58 days. Ranked #3797 on the global PnL leaderboard, this trader has achieved a net profit of $45,607.51 on a total volume exceeding $1 million. Their Smart Score of 100/100 indicates elite performance, supported by a win rate of 97.6% and a strong profit factor of 20.37. Despite the robust profitability, the portfolio value currently stands at zero, suggesting recent cashing out or withdrawal.

Hightemptation specializes exclusively in weather markets, demonstrating a focused trading strategy. Their approach appears to be high-frequency and risk-managed, with a 70% sell rate indicating active position management. The trader’s Sharpe ratio of 1.16 reflects moderate risk-adjusted returns, and the absence of drawdown duration points to disciplined timing and effective loss control. The combination of a sniper badge and weather pro badge signals precision and expertise in niche markets.

Key strengths for hightemptation include consistent profitability, strong risk management, and market specialization that leverages deep domain knowledge. However, reliance on a single market category may expose them to sector-specific volatility. Additionally, the Bot Score suggests a human trader using a fast interface, which may limit scalability compared to fully automated systems. Overall, hightemptation’s data-driven approach positions them well within Polymarket’s competitive environment.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+45,608
Weather Pro
100% weather
Win Streak
80 wins in a row
Whale
$175,425
Consistent
57/58 days
High Roller
$3,025/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#24$45,618Vol: $1,050,805
CRYPTO#1,144,814$-10Vol: $30

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$45,608
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,050,834
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1388
total markets
Trades
341B / 809S
Daily Volume
$3,025
Account Age
139d
since Mar 3, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$1,698
Vol: $15,241
Week
$4,468
Vol: $15,241
Month
$17,272
Vol: $386,820
All Time
$45,608
Vol: $1,050,834

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
215W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$36,168
Win Rate
98%
242W / 6L
Profit Factor
20.37x
Avg Win
$143
Avg Loss
$-284

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,123 (6.4% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 8?$728
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 19?$727
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 23?$668
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on Jun$602
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on$582
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 21?$578
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 15?$535
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 9?$524
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 9?$503
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 8?$493

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 25?$-739
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 13?$-319
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 19?$-276
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 16?$-148
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on Ju$-130
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 6$-90

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.162
Sortino
inf
HHI
59
Diversified
EV per $1
$91.143
Kelly %
94.9%
Half-Kelly
47.5%
Top-1 market
1.3%
Top-5 markets
5.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
19.8
Active
Markets / Day
4.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 82s — typical for humanSize CV 0.96 — diverse, typical for human25% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.98 — human randomness20 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.3
Single entry
<=1
228 entries
<=2
238 entries
<=5
247 entries
<=10
252 entries
<=20
254 entries
<=50
254 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.8%
Mid (20-55c)8.5%
High (>55c)89.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 7.5%

Taipei$4,100
Kuala Lumpur$3,219
Panama City$2,406
Los Angeles$2,268
Madrid$1,804
Karachi$1,801
Sao Paulo$1,583
New York City$1,311
Paris$1,187
Manila$1,095
Lucknow$987
Cape Town$980
Miami$930
Chicago$911
Tel Aviv$765
Jeddah$726
Atlanta$684
Denver$678

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
217

Single bracket

<=1
188 brackets
<=2
210 brackets
<=3
216 brackets
<=4
217 brackets
<=5
217 brackets
<=8
217 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/22/2026, 7:20:38 PM1 trades$780 min
5/22/2026, 7:28:20 PM1 trades$1580 min
5/23/2026, 6:02:03 PM1 trades$980 min
5/23/2026, 6:08:40 PM1 trades$1670 min
5/24/2026, 4:01:24 AM1 trades$1470 min
5/24/2026, 4:09:35 AM5 trades$4411 min
5/24/2026, 4:29:15 AM5 trades$5089 min
5/24/2026, 5:29:06 AM1 trades$50 min
5/24/2026, 5:43:09 AM1 trades$20 min
5/24/2026, 7:18:39 PM1 trades$1960 min
5/24/2026, 7:27:28 PM1 trades$2720 min
5/25/2026, 10:22:37 AM1 trades$2450 min
5/25/2026, 10:56:39 AM2 trades$5414 min
5/25/2026, 11:06:52 AM1 trades$3510 min
5/25/2026, 12:31:06 PM1 trades$2450 min
5/25/2026, 12:38:15 PM1 trades$3220 min
5/26/2026, 5:00:50 AM1 trades$2940 min
5/26/2026, 5:14:29 AM1 trades$3430 min
5/26/2026, 6:00:36 AM2 trades$5882 min
5/26/2026, 6:11:41 AM2 trades$7593 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-22
05-31
06-10
06-19
06-28
07-07
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
70.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event