Polydata

@iammlucky

#2,078,57510

0x0b1739c86ef82b5a79d0ea999d6ccaedd26ffecc

49d· 81 markets · 179 tradesVol: $105,819 @LakahmanV375332026-05-18T09:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 24%0/20
Profit Factor 0.11x0/15
HHI 50910/10
Profit Days 15%0/10

Summary

Iammlucky is a relatively low-ranked trader on Polymarket, positioned at #2,078,575 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 334 days, they have made 179 trades across 80 different markets, accumulating a total volume of $105,819. Despite this activity, iammlucky has a net PnL of -$42.96 and a portfolio value of just $17.84, reflecting substantial losses. Their Smart Score of 10/100 and Profit Factor of 0.11 further indicate limited trading success.

Iammlucky appears to adopt a contrarian and lottery player style, as suggested by their badges, favoring high-risk bets with low win rates—winning only 18.7% of trades. They do not focus on weather markets and maintain a nearly balanced sell percentage at 46%. The trader’s Sharpe Ratio of -0.77 and downward equity trend imply poor risk-adjusted returns and consistent losses over time. Their trading cadence shows no significant drawdown duration, indicating frequent but unsuccessful engagement without long-term capital preservation.

The key strength of iammlucky lies in their willingness to trade across a broad range of markets, possibly seeking uncorrelated opportunities. However, the data reveals several risks: a beginner-level Smart Score, declining portfolio value, and a negative profit factor highlight ineffective strategy execution. Without improvements in discipline or market selection, iammlucky’s current approach on Polymarket is unlikely to yield sustainable profits.

Badges

3
Lottery Player
62% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
64% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
7 wins in a row

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,290,183$-18Vol: $49,530
🎭 CULTURE#649,872$-9Vol: $22,542
💰 FINANCE#503,520$-5Vol: $12,742
CRYPTO#987,050$-6Vol: $11,006
📈 ECONOMICS#529,975$-5Vol: $9,000
📢 MENTIONS#79,275$-1Vol: $1,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-43
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$105,819
Total Redeem
$45
Portfolio
$18
Predictions
81
total markets
Trades
97B / 82S
Daily Volume
$1
Account Age
49d
since Apr 1, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $3,510
Week
$-2
Vol: $22,626
Month
$-27
Vol: $55,068
All Time
$-43
Vol: $105,819

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
18%
9W / 41L events
Realized PnL
$-38
Win Rate
19%
14W / 49L
Profit Factor
0.11x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-1

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$2
GTA VI released before June 2026?$1
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$0
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$0
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$0
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$0
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$0

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-4
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 7.0% and 8.0$-4
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?$-3
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-3
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$-3
Will Won Hee-ryong win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial E$-2
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?$-2
Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$-2
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?$-2
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.768
Sortino
-0.842
HHI
509
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.174
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14%
Top-5 markets
43%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
33.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.2h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1980s — typical for humanSize CV 1.71 — diverse, typical for human17% at night — different timezone?22/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.65 — semi-mechanical

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.2
Single entry
<=1
72 entries
<=2
77 entries
<=5
79 entries
<=10
80 entries
<=20
80 entries
<=50
80 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)61.9%
Mid (20-55c)3.1%
High (>55c)35.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 84.3%

Other$-38

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
56

Single bracket

<=1
38 brackets
<=2
51 brackets
<=3
55 brackets
<=4
56 brackets
<=5
56 brackets
<=8
56 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/1/2026, 1:03:07 PM1 trades$10 min
4/1/2026, 1:52:45 PM1 trades$10 min
4/1/2026, 2:34:21 PM1 trades$00 min
4/1/2026, 3:52:31 PM1 trades$00 min
4/1/2026, 4:06:51 PM1 trades$00 min
4/1/2026, 4:14:47 PM2 trades$04 min
4/1/2026, 4:24:57 PM1 trades$00 min
4/1/2026, 5:22:43 PM1 trades$00 min
4/1/2026, 7:49:35 PM1 trades$00 min
4/1/2026, 10:37:01 PM1 trades$00 min
4/2/2026, 7:30:39 AM1 trades$10 min
4/2/2026, 2:05:31 PM1 trades$00 min
4/2/2026, 4:01:45 PM4 trades$54 min
4/2/2026, 4:12:13 PM1 trades$10 min
4/3/2026, 9:05:03 AM1 trades$10 min
4/3/2026, 3:39:51 PM1 trades$10 min
4/3/2026, 5:41:21 PM2 trades$21 min
4/3/2026, 5:58:29 PM2 trades$21 min
4/4/2026, 6:27:29 AM1 trades$10 min
4/6/2026, 1:52:45 PM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-31
04-21
05-01
05-11
05-18
06-03
12-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event