Polydata

@iammlucky

#2,263,11812

0x0b1739c86ef82b5a79d0ea999d6ccaedd26ffecc

93d· 141 markets · 340 tradesVol: $271,461 @LakahmanV375332026-07-03T09:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 32%1/20
Profit Factor 0.69x0/15
HHI 31010/10
Profit Days 34%1/10
DD/Peak 215%0/10

Summary

Iammlucky is a relatively inactive trader on Polymarket with a global PnL leaderboard rank of #2,263,118. Over 454 days, they have completed 340 trades across 141 markets, resulting in a net PnL loss of $47.02. Their total trading volume is $271,460, but their portfolio value currently stands at $0.01. The trader’s smart score of 12/100 indicates beginner-level experience, and their Sharpe ratio of -0.11 reflects poor risk-adjusted returns.

Iammlucky tends to take a contrarian approach, as suggested by their badges and low win rate of 30%. They do not specialize in weather markets and have a moderate sell percentage of 42%. Their profit factor of 0.69 and downward equity trend imply that losses outweigh gains. The trader appears to engage in relatively high-frequency trading without consistently timing market movements effectively, and the max drawdown duration of zero days suggests quick reaction to losses.

The key strength of iammlucky lies in a willingness to diversify across many markets, which could provide learning opportunities on Polymarket. However, their persistent negative performance, low win rate, and beginner status pose significant risks for sustained profitability. Without improving strategy or risk management, the current trajectory indicates continuing losses.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

3
Lottery Player
48% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
54% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
7 wins in a row

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,452,189$-56Vol: $135,551
💰 FINANCE#581,957$-20Vol: $42,054
SPORTS#1,376,493$-15Vol: $29,012
🎭 CULTURE#26,299$65Vol: $23,298
📈 ECONOMICS#593,729$-11Vol: $22,336
CRYPTO#1,054,630$-7Vol: $15,010
🌤️ WEATHER#196,782$-2Vol: $3,200
📢 MENTIONS#81,180$-1Vol: $1,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-47
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$271,461
Total Redeem
$295
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
141
total markets
Trades
198B / 142S
Daily Volume
$2
Account Age
93d
since Apr 1, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $1
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-47
Vol: $271,461

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
27%
23W / 61L events
Realized PnL
$-46
Win Rate
30%
42W / 84L
Profit Factor
0.69x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-2

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$34
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$23
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$21
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$14
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$2
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1
GTA VI released before June 2026?$1
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$1
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$1
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?$1

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$-14
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-9
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$-8
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential electi$-6
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential elec$-6
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-6
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 202$-5
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$-5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-4
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by mark$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.105
Sortino
-0.147
HHI
310
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.062
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.7%
Top-5 markets
31.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
38.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.6h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2292s — typical for humanSize CV 1.47 — diverse, typical for human22% at night — different timezone?23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.68 — semi-mechanical

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.4
Single entry
<=1
115 entries
<=2
134 entries
<=5
138 entries
<=10
140 entries
<=20
141 entries
<=50
141 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)48.5%
Mid (20-55c)6.1%
High (>55c)45.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 69.1%

Other$-46

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
91

Single bracket

<=1
56 brackets
<=2
80 brackets
<=3
87 brackets
<=4
91 brackets
<=5
91 brackets
<=8
91 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/1/2026, 1:03:07 PM1 trades$10 min
4/1/2026, 1:52:45 PM1 trades$10 min
4/1/2026, 2:34:21 PM1 trades$00 min
4/1/2026, 3:52:31 PM1 trades$00 min
4/1/2026, 4:06:51 PM1 trades$00 min
4/1/2026, 4:14:47 PM2 trades$04 min
4/1/2026, 4:24:57 PM1 trades$00 min
4/1/2026, 5:22:43 PM1 trades$00 min
4/1/2026, 7:49:35 PM1 trades$00 min
4/1/2026, 10:37:01 PM1 trades$00 min
4/2/2026, 7:30:39 AM1 trades$10 min
4/2/2026, 2:05:31 PM1 trades$00 min
4/2/2026, 4:01:45 PM4 trades$54 min
4/2/2026, 4:12:13 PM1 trades$10 min
4/3/2026, 9:05:03 AM1 trades$10 min
4/3/2026, 3:39:51 PM1 trades$10 min
4/3/2026, 5:41:21 PM2 trades$21 min
4/3/2026, 5:58:29 PM2 trades$21 min
4/4/2026, 6:27:29 AM1 trades$10 min
4/6/2026, 1:52:45 PM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-31
04-30
05-15
05-26
06-06
06-26
07-03
10-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event