@influenz.eth

#13839

0xe8dd7741ccb12350957ec71e9ee332e0d1e6ec86

~390d· 14537 markets · 4067954 tradesVol: $264,367,198 @influenzEth2026-08-01 13:35:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

87% (12077/13941)20/20
0.94x (win $269,758 / loss $286,528)1.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6520/15
Sortino -0.7730/10
$-0.0039 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 7 (13941 markets)10/10
232/388 profitable days (60%)7.4/10
Max DD 687% of peak ($21,305 / $3,099)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 87%
Profitable
PnL $+1,250,376
Diamond Hands
0% sells
DCA Master
Avg 5.5 entries/market
Whale
$4,338,064 invested
High Roller
$9,019/day
Win Streak
61 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#135$389,879Vol: $73,180,569
SPORTS#452$213,701Vol: $69,007,068
🎭 CULTURE#61$99,139Vol: $56,609,223
📈 ECONOMICS#15$285,673Vol: $29,351,116
💰 FINANCE#12$237,128Vol: $21,614,891
CRYPTO#6,358$7,773Vol: $5,438,023
🌤️ WEATHER#564$3,567Vol: $2,948,143
💻 TECH#793$2,140Vol: $2,449,619
📢 MENTIONS#135,165$-14Vol: $9,601

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,250,392
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$264,367,198
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
14537
total markets
Trades
75902B / 5248S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~390d

Periods

#2
Today
$-180
Vol: $0
Week
$-1,207
Vol: $0
Month
$-180
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,250,392
Vol: $264,367,198

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
86%
32993W / 5474L events
Realized PnL
$1,250,376
Win Rate
86%
32993W / 5474L
Profit Factor
0.94x
Avg Win
$22
Avg Loss
$-182

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $13,479 (0.010780149675942267% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$4,751
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$4,365
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$4,363
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$4,223
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$4,130
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$3,652
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$3,344
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$3,141
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$3,021
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$2,947

Top Losers

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-14,380
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-8,077
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$-6,375
Will the government shutdown end November 13?$-5,573
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$-4,626
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$-4,243
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-3,839
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-3,629
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$-3,597
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$-3,496

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.034
Sortino
-0.029
HHI
6
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.004
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.5%
Top-5 markets
2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8457.3
Very active
Markets / Day
30.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
8.6m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.18
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
21 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.6

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 198s — normal for humanCV 2.18 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock8457 trades/day — automation30 markets/day — mass coverage0% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.53
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.2%
Mid (20-55c)4.9%
High (>55c)92%

Sessions

#12
12/11/2025, 12:40:47 AM1 trades$27,7810 min
12/12/2025, 6:07:08 PM49 trades$7,38033 min
1/17/2026, 1:47:28 AM16 trades$5,98624 min
1/21/2026, 11:16:58 AM86 trades$5,63478 min
11/5/2025, 2:15:51 AM4 trades$5,4036 min
1/20/2026, 4:53:20 PM76 trades$4,86993 min
12/14/2025, 5:43:55 AM3 trades$3,9832 min
1/30/2026, 2:49:54 AM8 trades$3,9234 min
12/10/2025, 6:39:10 PM11 trades$3,69513 min
1/30/2026, 8:18:08 AM42 trades$3,66748 min
11/16/2025, 9:47:53 PM2 trades$3,4930 min
2/4/2026, 4:38:59 PM7 trades$3,3608 min
1/30/2026, 10:34:04 AM18 trades$3,33722 min
12/29/2025, 8:36:49 AM50 trades$3,32533 min
11/4/2025, 2:43:23 AM4 trades$3,2381 min
1/4/2026, 3:13:23 PM19 trades$3,22723 min
12/4/2025, 11:15:03 AM1 trades$3,2190 min
1/31/2026, 2:26:20 PM20 trades$3,2147 min
1/13/2026, 9:25:52 PM47 trades$3,19846 min
11/4/2025, 4:20:01 AM3 trades$3,1532 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-02
04-13
06-16
10-29
01-01
03-06
05-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 378 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.53/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.2 / M4.9 / H92