Polydata

@jgppu

#940

0xf02a80858970b6fbf90d737c8a8a636fb63c4f4b

343d· 1860 markets · 2500 tradesVol: $353,0872026-06-20T01:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 88%20/20
Profit Factor 0.35x0/15
HHI 1810/10
Profit Days 71%10/10

Summary

Jgppu is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked 9th on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of over $71.9 million. Over 334 days, jgppu executed 2,500 trades across 1,354 markets, generating a total volume of $353,087. Despite an impressive win rate of 89.5%, the trader’s profit factor is low at 0.35, and the Sharpe ratio is negative, indicating volatility in returns. Their portfolio value currently stands at zero, suggesting complete liquidation or fund withdrawal.

Jgppu’s trading style appears focused on a high-frequency, high-win-rate approach with minimal selling (only 2% sell percentage). They avoid weather markets altogether and seem to prefer quick, decisive trades as indicated by the “Sniper” badge and zero-day max drawdown duration. The upward equity trend and badges like “Win Streak” and “Diamond Hands” imply strong conviction and consistent gains, though the relatively low Smart Score and Bot Score suggest a human trader who may not always optimize risk.

The main strengths of jgppu lie in their consistent winning trades and strong market presence on Polymarket, enabling steady upward growth. However, the low profit factor and negative Sharpe ratio highlight potential risks in managing drawdowns and return volatility. Jgppu’s zero portfolio value could also signal exposure to liquidity or timing risks, warranting close monitoring of future activity.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 88%
Profitable
PnL $+71,924,886
Diamond Hands
2% sell
Win Streak
365 wins in a row
Whale
$174,238
Consistent
68/96 days

Categories

8
CRYPTO#2$70,196,887Vol: $263,698
🏛️ POLITICS#1,552,291$-398Vol: $33,040
SPORTS#261$328,748Vol: $23,060
📈 ECONOMICS#6$1,399,603Vol: $17,833
🎭 CULTURE#39,072$30Vol: $6,806
💰 FINANCE#49,352$12Vol: $6,103
💻 TECH#25,492$4Vol: $2,410
🌤️ WEATHER#161,625$-0Vol: $30

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$71,924,886
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$353,087
Total Redeem
$138,496
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1860
total markets
Trades
2462B / 38S
Daily Volume
$522
Account Age
343d
since Jul 13, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$71,926,888
Vol: $600
Month
$71,924,835
Vol: $27,676
All Time
$71,924,886
Vol: $353,087

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
86%
215W / 35L events
Realized PnL
$71,935,802
Win Rate
90%
1085W / 127L
Profit Factor
0.35x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-245

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10PM ET$107
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12AM ET$71
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?$68
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2AM ET$64
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 5AM ET$63
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 5AM ET$59
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4AM ET$59
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11PM ET$59
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5AM ET$58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11PM ET$56

Top Losers

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $116K on July 26 a$-1,469
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $115K on July 28?$-1,449
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $121K on July 28?$-1,420
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $117K on July 28?$-1,296
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $119K and $121K on July 28?$-1,073
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $114K on July 26 at 5PM ET$-1,014
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $115K on July 26 a$-986
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $114K on July 30?$-964
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $120K on July 27 at 5PM$-930
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $116K on July 30?$-915

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.229
Sortino
-0.149
HHI
18
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.126
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.8%
Top-5 markets
3.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
4.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 464s — typical for humanSize CV 1.16 — diverse, typical for human33% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.98 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.8
Single entry
<=1
738 entries
<=2
1110 entries
<=5
1325 entries
<=10
1349 entries
<=20
1354 entries
<=50
1354 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.5%
Mid (20-55c)0.8%
High (>55c)97.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 45.3%

Up or Down$0
New York City$-127
Los Angeles$-200
Other$-19,965

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
1325

Single bracket

<=1
1316 brackets
<=2
1316 brackets
<=3
1317 brackets
<=4
1322 brackets
<=5
1325 brackets
<=8
1325 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
7/18/2025, 3:14:20 PM1 trades$320 min
7/21/2025, 11:34:26 AM2 trades$42 min
7/22/2025, 3:56:06 AM1 trades$10 min
7/22/2025, 4:15:54 AM1 trades$20 min
7/22/2025, 4:31:52 AM2 trades$20 min
7/22/2025, 5:03:38 AM2 trades$130 min
7/22/2025, 5:26:44 AM1 trades$20 min
7/22/2025, 5:35:08 AM2 trades$10 min
7/22/2025, 6:24:06 AM1 trades$70 min
7/22/2025, 11:02:20 AM1 trades$40 min
7/22/2025, 11:46:22 AM2 trades$50 min
7/22/2025, 12:00:16 PM1 trades$10 min
7/22/2025, 12:05:26 PM1 trades$30 min
7/22/2025, 3:28:56 PM1 trades$50 min
7/22/2025, 3:34:18 PM1 trades$1200 min
7/22/2025, 4:02:16 PM3 trades$1224 min
7/22/2025, 5:41:54 PM1 trades$740 min
7/23/2025, 2:43:07 AM1 trades$720 min
7/24/2025, 3:26:12 AM3 trades$161 min
7/24/2025, 3:37:44 AM1 trades$90 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-24
02-10
03-02
04-17
05-06
05-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event