Polydata

@joloseaturtle

#3,060,1834

0x2fb1200d06810ee535949d8eaa414a5ead21fb84

~120d· 197 markets · 1625 tradesVol: $2,173,3472026-07-31 20:30:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (61/186)1.4/20
0.30x (win $16,865 / loss $56,815)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.2680/15
Sortino -5.1700/10
$-0.2060 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1991 (186 markets)2.5/10
23/79 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($39,951 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
53% entries < $0.55
Whale
$193,904 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
📈 ECONOMICS#680,671$-4,207Vol: $1,342,922
🏛️ POLITICS#1,626,730$-2,898Vol: $278,147
CRYPTO#1,660,730$-4,318Vol: $253,092
💰 FINANCE#652,926$-1,105Vol: $229,969
SPORTS#1,832,889$-1,160Vol: $23,660
💻 TECH#257,571$-3,479Vol: $19,769
🎭 CULTURE#801,919$-360Vol: $19,157
🌤️ WEATHER#209,300$-2Vol: $520

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-17,498
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,173,347
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
197
total markets
Trades
742B / 883S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~120d

Periods

#2
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-2,954
Vol: $65,769
All Time
$-17,498
Vol: $2,173,347

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
33%
61W / 125L events
Realized PnL
$-17,498
Win Rate
33%
61W / 125L
Profit Factor
0.3x
Avg Win
$276
Avg Loss
$-458

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,805 (0.2746080795253806% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$2,563
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$1,243
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$999
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?$893
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$871
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$836
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$652
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$652
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$591
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?$504

Top Losers

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-11,637
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?$-8,765
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$-4,911
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$-3,303
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?$-1,292
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$-1,224
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$-1,151
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$-1,127
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$-1,053
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 5PM ET$-888

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.274
Sortino
-0.244
HHI
314
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.220
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.5%
Top-5 markets
29.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 167s — normal for humanCV 1.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.87
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.7%
Mid (20-55c)36%
High (>55c)47.3%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 10:26:55 AM5 trades$134,9181 min
6/8/2026, 11:16:30 AM28 trades$126,7240 min
6/25/2026, 8:24:14 AM23 trades$18,1260 min
7/7/2026, 12:53:46 PM12 trades$16,4574 min
6/24/2026, 8:18:23 PM16 trades$14,3080 min
6/24/2026, 9:52:49 AM13 trades$13,9060 min
6/15/2026, 9:05:21 PM2 trades$10,0000 min
6/16/2026, 12:43:45 AM2 trades$7,8880 min
6/25/2026, 8:29:17 AM19 trades$6,8160 min
1/27/2026, 7:20:09 PM61 trades$6,02432 min
6/15/2026, 6:53:13 PM24 trades$6,0081 min
1/27/2026, 10:31:07 PM14 trades$5,87523 min
3/3/2026, 8:14:03 PM3 trades$5,5475 min
7/3/2026, 8:56:07 PM24 trades$5,4832 min
6/26/2026, 10:27:28 PM10 trades$5,2613 min
6/14/2026, 7:46:24 PM19 trades$5,1763 min
6/28/2026, 7:49:29 AM19 trades$4,46811 min
7/3/2026, 2:08:32 PM9 trades$4,4395 min
7/2/2026, 8:39:52 PM4 trades$4,3000 min
1/20/2026, 4:52:54 PM4 trades$4,1367 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-05
10-07
12-31
01-26
02-09
03-19
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.87/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.7 / M36 / H47.3