Polydata

@kch123

#4100

0x6a72f61820b26b1fe4d956e17b6dc2a1ea3033ee

381d· 2614 markets · 19604 tradesVol: $293,707,5792026-07-05T04:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 87%20/20
Profit Factor 31.92x15/15
Sharpe 0.82715/15
Sortino 3.06210/10
EV $+30.92310/10
HHI 7410/10
Profit Days 84%10/10
DD/Peak 2%10/10

Summary

Trader kch123 is a highly active and successful participant on Polymarket, currently ranked #4 on the global profit and loss leaderboard. With nearly 19,604 trades executed across 267 markets, kch123 has amassed an impressive net PnL of over $11.3 million. Their smart score of 100/100 places them in the elite category, reflecting consistent performance over 289 days of activity. Despite a portfolio value of zero, their total trading volume exceeds $293 million, indicating significant market engagement.

kch123 favors a high-frequency trading style with a focus on short-term, high-risk positions, evidenced by a low win rate of 10.9% but a very high volume of trades. The trader appears to avoid selling positions, as indicated by a 0% sell rate, and has a moderate bot score, suggesting a mix of automated and manual strategies. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.83 points to reasonable risk-adjusted returns, while the flat equity trend suggests a stable but cautious approach to capital deployment in Polymarket’s diverse markets.

The main strength of kch123 lies in their elite ranking and ability to generate substantial profits through consistent high-volume trading, supported by badges like Sniper and Diamond Hands. However, their low profit factor (0.01) and win rate may suggest vulnerability to large losses or reliance on rare big wins. The absence of drawdown duration is positive, yet their zero portfolio value could imply full capital withdrawal or reinvestment strategies that warrant further monitoring. Overall, kch123 demonstrates exceptional skill but with inherent risks tied to their aggressive trading profile.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 87%
Profitable
PnL $+11,386,691
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
Whale
$37,302,571
Consistent
109/129 days
High Roller
$129,075/day
Cool Head
DD 2%

Categories

2
SPORTS#2$11,485,086Vol: $292,709,168
🏛️ POLITICS#1,617,086$-62,250Vol: $864,540

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$11,386,691
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$293,707,579
Total Redeem
$775,918
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2614
total markets
Trades
19568B / 36S
Daily Volume
$129,075
Account Age
381d
since Jun 18, 2025

Periods

#2
Week
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$11,386,691
Vol: $293,707,579

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
88%
239W / 33L events
Realized PnL
$46,474,921
Win Rate
11%
25W / 204L
Profit Factor
0.01x
Avg Win
$11,525
Avg Loss
$-172,033

Top Winners

Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-18?$107,845
Spread: North Alabama Lions (-2.5)$52,241
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights$46,594
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5$22,428
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights$16,465
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes$12,996
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes$10,629
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens$9,901
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$5,660
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes$2,407

Top Losers

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?$-1,051,698
Miami vs. Indiana$-729,629
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)$-720,843
Maple Leafs vs. Islanders$-681,008
Islanders vs. Sabres$-606,330
Texans vs. Patriots$-575,995
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$-496,013
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-01-16?$-496,000
Eagles vs. Commanders$-483,502
Capitals vs. Blackhawks$-470,034

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.827
Sortino
3.062
HHI
74
Diversified
EV per $1
$30.923
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.8%
Top-5 markets
10.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
95.2
Very active
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
12s
between trades
Avg Gap
9.2m
between trades
Night Trading
42%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
8.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.8

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 12s — suspiciously fastSize CV 8.47 — diverse, typical for human42% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.25 — human randomness95 trades/day — mass trading

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
73.3
Heavy DCA
<=1
92 entries
<=2
109 entries
<=5
136 entries
<=10
149 entries
<=20
168 entries
<=50
192 entries
>50
75 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.8%
Mid (20-55c)58.8%
High (>55c)36.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 38.4%

Toronto$3
Dallas$0
Los Angeles$0
Austin$-128,181
Houston$-138,002
Paris$-420,000
Seattle$-568,013
Miami$-729,629
Other$-32,822,805

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
244

Single bracket

<=1
228 brackets
<=2
242 brackets
<=3
243 brackets
<=4
243 brackets
<=5
243 brackets
<=8
244 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/5/2025, 11:58:33 PM1 trades$236,0000 min
12/6/2025, 4:31:33 PM2 trades$53 min
12/7/2025, 6:41:41 AM1 trades$112,8000 min
12/7/2025, 3:52:09 PM21 trades$24,7630 min
12/7/2025, 4:23:41 PM1 trades$138,0000 min
12/7/2025, 6:07:37 PM1 trades$1,6760 min
12/7/2025, 6:13:53 PM3 trades$4,1000 min
12/7/2025, 6:25:47 PM14 trades$7,75212 min
12/7/2025, 6:53:21 PM2 trades$4864 min
12/7/2025, 9:17:05 PM2 trades$67,5304 min
12/8/2025, 1:34:35 AM7 trades$1,2642 min
12/8/2025, 1:44:19 AM16 trades$8,3331 min
12/8/2025, 1:53:13 AM16 trades$15,8463 min
12/8/2025, 2:01:13 AM12 trades$10,7663 min
12/8/2025, 2:15:13 AM53 trades$27,9613 min
12/8/2025, 2:25:15 AM15 trades$14,6282 min
12/8/2025, 2:33:07 AM16 trades$16,6743 min
12/8/2025, 2:48:45 AM47 trades$8,10112 min
12/8/2025, 3:11:23 AM9 trades$5,1001 min
12/8/2025, 3:18:13 AM30 trades$30,5042 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-15
12-05
12-28
01-19
03-11
04-14
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 73.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event