Polydata

@kch123

#3100

0x6a72f61820b26b1fe4d956e17b6dc2a1ea3033ee

336d· 2570 markets · 20893 tradesVol: $290,382,2512026-05-18T11:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 92%20/20
Profit Factor 119.65x15/15
Sharpe 0.93615/15
Sortino 10.32010/10
EV $+88.12110/10
HHI 6510/10
Profit Days 93%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Trader kch123 is one of the most active and successful participants on Polymarket, holding the #3 position on the global PnL leaderboard. With nearly 21,000 trades across 289 markets, kch123 has generated an impressive net profit of over $12.5 million on a total trading volume exceeding $290 million. Their elite Smart Score of 100/100 reflects consistent high performance, while a portfolio value around $204,000 shows substantial capital deployment over 289 days active.

kch123’s trading style appears to be high-frequency with a broad market focus, covering a wide range of 289 markets without a preference for weather-related events. The trader maintains a low win rate of 14.2% but achieves profitability through large volume and disciplined position sizing, indicated by a profit factor of 0.02 and a Sharpe ratio just under 1. The zero sell percentage and badges like Diamond Hands suggest a long-hold approach, possibly leveraging semi-automated strategies given their Bot Score of 65/100.

The main strength of kch123 lies in their consistent equity stability and strong risk management, as shown by a max drawdown duration of zero days and a flat equity trend. However, the low win rate combined with a low profit factor could indicate vulnerability to sudden market shifts. While kch123 excels in volume and precision timing, reliance on semi-bot trading and low diversification in sell strategies may pose risks in volatile environments.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 92%
Profitable
PnL $+12,583,911
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
Whale
$41,231,504
Consistent
111/119 days
High Roller
$142,670/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

2
SPORTS#1$12,682,306Vol: $289,383,840
🏛️ POLITICS#1,546,607$-62,250Vol: $864,540

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$12,583,911
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$290,382,251
Total Redeem
$2,886,792
Portfolio
$204,237
Predictions
2570
total markets
Trades
20857B / 36S
Daily Volume
$142,670
Account Age
336d
since Jun 18, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$211
Vol: $0
Week
$211
Vol: $45,597
Month
$538,437
Vol: $2,720,375
All Time
$12,583,911
Vol: $290,382,251

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
93%
241W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$46,474,921
Win Rate
14%
37W / 224L
Profit Factor
0.02x
Avg Win
$25,331
Avg Loss
$-170,005

Top Winners

Spread: Thunder (-15.5)$138,596
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)$136,732
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-18?$107,845
Canadiens vs. Sabres$53,281
Spread: North Alabama Lions (-2.5)$52,241
Hurricanes vs. Flyers$48,798
Golden Knights vs. Ducks$45,232
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$37,734
Ducks vs. Golden Knights$37,726
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)$35,314

Top Losers

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?$-1,051,698
Miami vs. Indiana$-729,629
Maple Leafs vs. Islanders$-681,008
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)$-628,918
Islanders vs. Sabres$-606,330
Texans vs. Patriots$-575,995
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$-496,013
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-01-16?$-496,000
Eagles vs. Commanders$-483,502
Capitals vs. Blackhawks$-470,034

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.936
Sortino
10.320
HHI
65
Diversified
EV per $1
$88.121
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
119.8
Very active
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
11s
between trades
Avg Gap
9.3m
between trades
Night Trading
45%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
8.26
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.9

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 11s — suspiciously fastSize CV 8.26 — diverse, typical for human45% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.25 — human randomness120 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
72.2
Heavy DCA
<=1
81 entries
<=2
97 entries
<=5
127 entries
<=10
141 entries
<=20
164 entries
<=50
198 entries
>50
91 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.6%
Mid (20-55c)60.2%
High (>55c)35.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 36.9%

Dallas$0
Austin$-128,181
Houston$-138,002
Paris$-420,000
Seattle$-568,013
Miami$-729,629
Other$-35,160,110

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
265

Single bracket

<=1
252 brackets
<=2
263 brackets
<=3
264 brackets
<=4
264 brackets
<=5
264 brackets
<=8
264 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/23/2025, 5:28:03 PM84 trades$384,2302 min
11/23/2025, 6:14:21 PM5 trades$8130 min
11/23/2025, 6:22:21 PM39 trades$2,1088 min
11/23/2025, 6:38:43 PM6 trades$2,0422 min
11/23/2025, 6:50:05 PM2 trades$1,0931 min
11/23/2025, 6:57:35 PM1 trades$170 min
11/23/2025, 7:04:45 PM1 trades$470 min
11/23/2025, 7:36:19 PM10 trades$1,3298 min
11/23/2025, 7:50:31 PM1 trades$3120 min
11/23/2025, 8:06:41 PM2 trades$8,4000 min
11/23/2025, 8:25:25 PM8 trades$16,8631 min
11/23/2025, 9:06:29 PM7 trades$721 min
11/30/2025, 1:19:23 AM2 trades$116,8872 min
11/30/2025, 3:04:22 PM1 trades$17,9260 min
11/30/2025, 3:52:26 PM1 trades$1,5190 min
11/30/2025, 3:57:30 PM1 trades$130 min
11/30/2025, 4:07:20 PM10 trades$3,21815 min
11/30/2025, 4:49:08 PM1 trades$40 min
11/30/2025, 5:01:14 PM3 trades$1334 min
11/30/2025, 5:10:04 PM1 trades$6300 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-15
12-02
12-22
01-13
02-08
04-02
05-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 72.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event