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@kingofcoinflips

#15799

0xe9c6312464b52aa3eff13d822b003282075995c9

274d· 3300 markets · 14830 tradesVol: $41,191,7782026-05-17T20:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

99
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 67%19/20
Profit Factor 19.64x15/15
Sharpe 0.96715/15
Sortino 2.72010/10
EV $+23.63610/10
HHI 19010/10
Profit Days 89%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Kingofcoinflips is an elite trader on Polymarket, ranked #157 globally with a strong Smart Score of 99/100. Over 271 active days, they have executed 14,830 trades across 283 markets, generating a net profit of $851,268.69 on a total volume exceeding $41 million. Despite this substantial activity, their current portfolio value remains modest at $1,912.07, reflecting a steady but cautious capital deployment. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.97 indicates balanced risk-adjusted returns, and their max drawdown duration is zero days, signifying effective risk management.

The trading strategy of kingofcoinflips appears to focus on high-volume, contrarian positions with a low win rate of 26.7%, suggesting a preference for less conventional bets that pay off significantly when correct. Their profit factor of 0.01 and 0% sell percentage imply a buy-and-hold approach, consistent with their Diamond Hands badge. They do not trade weather markets and maintain a flat equity trend, indicating stable exposure without aggressive scaling. The semi-bot score of 55/100 suggests a hybrid method combining automated signals with manual discretion.

Kingofcoinflips’s key strength lies in disciplined risk control and the ability to sustain profitability despite a low hit rate, supported by their sniper-style precision and win streak achievements. However, the low profit factor and flat portfolio growth highlight potential concerns about capital efficiency and scaling. Additionally, reliance on contrarian bets carries inherent volatility risks, which could impact long-term consistency on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 67%
Profitable
PnL $+851,269
Contrarian
52% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Whale
$2,664,433
Consistent
169/190 days
High Roller
$9,832/day
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

2
CRYPTO#16$779,326Vol: $40,792,016
SPORTS#828$71,943Vol: $399,762

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$851,269
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$41,191,778
Total Redeem
$162,828
Portfolio
$1,912
Predictions
3300
total markets
Trades
14830B / 0S
Daily Volume
$9,832
Account Age
274d
since Aug 19, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$428
Vol: $9,021
Week
$5,953
Vol: $9,021
Month
$25,836
Vol: $1,365,331
All Time
$851,269
Vol: $41,191,778

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
77%
246W / 72L events
Realized PnL
$2,435,955
Win Rate
27%
32W / 88L
Profit Factor
0.01x
Avg Win
$689
Avg Loss
$-23,664

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?$6,274
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?$4,768
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?$4,293
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?$2,138
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?$1,419
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 11?$1,372
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?$557
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 8?$490
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 13?$244
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?$244

Top Losers

Warriors vs. Knicks$-176,000
Warriors vs. Hawks$-151,818
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 28?$-76,229
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 18?$-70,488
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 10?$-62,194
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?$-58,754
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 7?$-57,465
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 9?$-51,359
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 1?$-49,515
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 16?$-49,282

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.968
Sortino
2.720
HHI
190
Diversified
EV per $1
$23.636
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.6%
Top-5 markets
20.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
96.9
Very active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
49s
between trades
Avg Gap
14.3m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
9.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 49s — typical for humanSize CV 9.66 — diverse, typical for human21% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.13 — human randomness97 trades/day — mass trading433 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
52.4
Heavy DCA
<=1
38 entries
<=2
58 entries
<=5
88 entries
<=10
110 entries
<=20
161 entries
<=50
202 entries
>50
81 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.9%
Mid (20-55c)31.4%
High (>55c)41.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 79.3%

Up or Down$-165,423
Other$-1,894,937

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.6
Events covered
177

Single bracket

<=1
111 brackets
<=2
149 brackets
<=3
165 brackets
<=4
177 brackets
<=5
177 brackets
<=8
177 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/15/2025, 7:47:05 PM2 trades$1600 min
12/16/2025, 7:09:49 AM1 trades$00 min
12/16/2025, 3:51:57 PM1 trades$2440 min
12/16/2025, 9:25:25 PM1 trades$00 min
12/17/2025, 2:16:11 AM1 trades$00 min
12/17/2025, 4:43:39 AM1 trades$50 min
12/17/2025, 7:37:56 AM1 trades$10 min
12/17/2025, 2:46:34 PM1 trades$10 min
12/17/2025, 3:00:06 PM1 trades$60 min
12/17/2025, 3:07:06 PM1 trades$00 min
12/17/2025, 3:49:46 PM3 trades$73 min
12/17/2025, 4:00:16 PM1 trades$10 min
12/17/2025, 7:23:01 PM1 trades$340 min
12/18/2025, 8:53:00 AM1 trades$00 min
12/18/2025, 9:33:48 AM1 trades$1170 min
12/18/2025, 1:13:42 PM1 trades$40 min
12/18/2025, 1:31:00 PM1 trades$1640 min
12/18/2025, 1:54:46 PM1 trades$00 min
12/18/2025, 5:06:39 PM5 trades$63 min
12/18/2025, 5:15:21 PM2 trades$73 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-25
10-17
11-24
01-03
02-16
04-05
05-20
05-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 52.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.6 br/event