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@kingofcoinflips

#160100

0xe9c6312464b52aa3eff13d822b003282075995c9

311d· 3475 markets · 26750 tradesVol: $43,275,8972026-06-12T12:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 86%20/20
Profit Factor 66.04x15/15
Sharpe 1.14015/15
Sortino 1.80810/10
EV $+43.92610/10
HHI 8110/10
Profit Days 96%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Kingofcoinflips is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranking #160 on the global PnL leaderboard with an elite Smart Score of 100/100. Over 297 days, they executed 26,750 trades across 286 markets, generating a net profit of $865,671.55 on a total volume exceeding $43 million. Their portfolio value remains stable at around $17,270, reflecting consistent engagement with minimal equity fluctuations.

The trading style of kingofcoinflips is characterized by a high-frequency, low-win-rate approach, as evidenced by an 11.2% win rate and a profit factor of 0.01. This suggests they place many small, high-risk trades rather than relying on large, infrequent wins. They do not participate in weather markets and maintain a zero sell percentage, indicating a focus on buy-side positions without exiting through traditional sell orders. The moderate Sharpe ratio of 1.14 points to balanced risk-adjusted returns, supported by a max drawdown duration of zero days, showing effective risk management.

Kingofcoinflips benefits from a strong combination of volume, consistency, and risk control, supported by their Sniper and Whale badges that highlight precision and capital deployment. However, the very low profit factor and win rate imply reliance on a volume-driven strategy that could be vulnerable to market shifts or liquidity changes. Their semi-bot trading style suggests a hybrid approach but also raises questions about adaptability in fast-moving markets. Overall, kingofcoinflips demonstrates robust performance with manageable risks in Polymarket’s competitive environment.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 86%
Profitable
PnL $+865,672
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Whale
$6,490,181
Consistent
175/182 days
High Roller
$21,852/day
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

2
CRYPTO#17$793,729Vol: $42,876,135
SPORTS#785$71,943Vol: $399,762

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$865,672
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$43,275,897
Total Redeem
$252,550
Portfolio
$17,270
Predictions
3475
total markets
Trades
26750B / 0S
Daily Volume
$21,852
Account Age
311d
since Aug 19, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$596
Vol: $8,625
Week
$7,133
Vol: $405,276
Month
$-8,581
Vol: $1,358,556
All Time
$865,672
Vol: $43,275,897

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
89%
246W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$2,515,457
Win Rate
11%
27W / 215L
Profit Factor
0.01x
Avg Win
$1,110
Avg Loss
$-27,505

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9?$13,971
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 5?$9,523
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 6?$1,087
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 11?$1,069
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 10?$802
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10?$672
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 9?$646
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 10?$629
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 7?$309
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11?$293

Top Losers

Warriors vs. Knicks$-176,000
Warriors vs. Hawks$-151,818
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 22?$-143,085
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 27?$-129,351
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 18?$-123,597
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 13?$-96,770
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 14?$-96,198
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 28?$-76,229
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 24?$-74,098
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 18?$-70,488

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.139
Sortino
1.808
HHI
81
Diversified
EV per $1
$43.926
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.7%
Top-5 markets
11.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
112.5
Very active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
13.7m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 71s — typical for humanSize CV 5.82 — diverse, typical for human22% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.11 — human randomness113 trades/day — automation323 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
93.5
Heavy DCA
<=1
11 entries
<=2
19 entries
<=5
34 entries
<=10
59 entries
<=20
76 entries
<=50
115 entries
>50
171 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18%
Mid (20-55c)33.1%
High (>55c)48.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 58.2%

Up or Down$-934,313
Other$-4,949,253

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
219

Single bracket

<=1
172 brackets
<=2
199 brackets
<=3
219 brackets
<=4
219 brackets
<=5
219 brackets
<=8
219 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/17/2025, 5:41:16 PM1 trades$150 min
10/17/2025, 6:55:08 PM4 trades$2241 min
10/17/2025, 7:02:30 PM1 trades$570 min
10/17/2025, 8:32:16 PM1 trades$590 min
10/17/2025, 9:45:16 PM1 trades$610 min
10/18/2025, 8:08:30 AM1 trades$20 min
10/18/2025, 10:06:52 AM4 trades$1578 min
10/19/2025, 8:19:51 AM1 trades$610 min
10/19/2025, 8:28:03 AM2 trades$1140 min
10/19/2025, 9:41:31 AM1 trades$1,2460 min
10/19/2025, 9:49:07 AM2 trades$660 min
10/19/2025, 6:40:57 PM1 trades$150 min
10/19/2025, 7:20:25 PM2 trades$110 min
10/19/2025, 10:16:27 PM1 trades$40 min
10/20/2025, 2:02:45 AM1 trades$1550 min
10/20/2025, 3:50:11 AM11 trades$65813 min
10/20/2025, 2:47:05 PM1 trades$3100 min
10/20/2025, 3:51:29 PM1 trades$3200 min
10/20/2025, 4:13:25 PM1 trades$00 min
10/20/2025, 4:48:57 PM1 trades$510 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-25
10-17
11-22
01-09
03-07
05-02
06-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 93.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event