Polydata
kolo

@kolo

#186,97472

0xe08e1e7fd5bb9fee90eeee8a16df4f9a960e2162

595d· 44 markets · 121 tradesVol: $21,7692026-05-24T01:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

72
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 55%13/20
Profit Factor 1.97x15/15
Sharpe 0.1944/15
Sortino 0.9049/10
EV $+7.94610/10
HHI 20542/10
Profit Days 71%10/10
DD/Peak 18%10/10

Summary

Kolo is a moderately active trader on Polymarket with 121 trades spread over 508 days, placing them at rank #186,974 on the global PnL leaderboard. They have achieved a net profit of $131.65 from a total volume of $21,769 and maintain a solid win rate of 64.1%. Their smart score of 72/100 indicates very good trading skill, supported by a profit factor of 2.25, though their portfolio value currently stands at zero, and their equity trend is declining.

Kolo tends to trade across a diverse set of 44 markets, showing a preference for consistent, manual trading rather than automated strategies, as reflected by a low bot score of 10/100. Their sell percentage of 37% suggests a mix of holding and profit-taking behavior. The low Sharpe ratio of 0.19 and a zero-day max drawdown duration imply limited volatility in their returns but also modest risk exposure. Kolo’s trading style is steady, focusing on maintaining a cool head and capitalizing on winning streaks rather than aggressive risk-taking.

The key strengths of kolo include a very good win rate and profit factor, along with badges highlighting profitability and consistency. However, the downward equity trend and low Sharpe ratio indicate potential challenges in scaling gains or adapting to changing market conditions. Their reliance on manual trading requires continuous discipline, which may become a risk if market dynamics shift rapidly. Overall, kolo demonstrates solid performance on Polymarket with room to improve portfolio growth.

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+132
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
Consistent
17/24 days
Cool Head
DD 18%

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#49,909$148Vol: $17,857
📈 ECONOMICS#519,067$-3Vol: $1,933
CRYPTO#1,241,057$-37Vol: $1,116
💻 TECH#191,706$-4Vol: $693
SPORTS#189,815$24Vol: $157

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$132
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,769
Total Redeem
$262
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
44
total markets
Trades
76B / 45S
Daily Volume
$12
Account Age
595d
since Oct 6, 2024

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
63%
20W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$148
Win Rate
64%
25W / 13L
Profit Factor
2.25x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $211 (142.3% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$194
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-22?$10
NLDS: Padres vs. Dodgers Game 3$7
Broncos vs. Saints$7
Faithless elector in US election?$5
Blue Jays vs. Rockies$5
Pacers vs. Magic$4
Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October?$4
Phillies vs. Marlins$4
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$3

Top Losers

Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?$-59
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? $-21
Phillies vs. Mets Series Winner$-11
Will Berachain launch a token in December?$-9
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?$-4
US recession in 2025?$-3
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-3
Xi Jinping out in 2025?$-2
Will Solana reach $240 in October?$-2
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.194
Sortino
0.904
HHI
2055
Moderate
EV per $1
$7.946
Kelly %
54.7%
Half-Kelly
27.3%
Top-1 market
31.1%
Top-5 markets
87.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
22s
between trades
Avg Gap
29.4m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.26
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
35
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 22s — typical for humanSize CV 1.27 — diverse, typical for human17% at night — different timezone?19/24 hours — extended daySession CV 0.76 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.7
Single entry
<=1
37 entries
<=2
38 entries
<=5
42 entries
<=10
43 entries
<=20
44 entries
<=50
44 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.2%
Mid (20-55c)36.8%
High (>55c)53.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 45.2%

Other$148

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
32

Single bracket

<=1
27 brackets
<=2
31 brackets
<=3
31 brackets
<=4
31 brackets
<=5
31 brackets
<=8
31 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/6/2024, 11:33:36 PM1 trades$1040 min
10/6/2024, 11:39:30 PM33 trades$3,3299 min
10/7/2024, 12:11:34 AM2 trades$993 min
10/8/2024, 2:13:00 AM15 trades$1,2226 min
10/9/2024, 4:31:40 PM1 trades$790 min
10/17/2024, 3:08:40 AM1 trades$110 min
10/28/2024, 11:20:19 PM2 trades$221 min
11/9/2024, 4:26:38 PM1 trades$110 min
11/11/2024, 4:17:46 PM1 trades$110 min
11/16/2024, 10:13:45 PM1 trades$110 min
11/27/2024, 6:51:18 AM1 trades$110 min
12/2/2024, 2:02:52 AM1 trades$110 min
12/10/2024, 12:23:44 PM2 trades$332 min
12/22/2024, 7:26:56 AM3 trades$303 min
12/26/2024, 9:01:59 AM1 trades$10 min
4/21/2025, 10:16:09 AM1 trades$110 min
5/3/2025, 7:36:43 PM1 trades$110 min
5/7/2025, 5:02:20 PM1 trades$390 min
5/10/2025, 12:16:57 PM2 trades$1201 min
5/21/2025, 6:56:01 AM1 trades$2940 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-08
11-04
12-10
05-03
08-13
10-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event