Polydata
Data is 4 days old — refreshing in background...
kolo

@kolo

#202,98972

0xe08e1e7fd5bb9fee90eeee8a16df4f9a960e2162

641d· 44 markets · 120 tradesVol: $21,7692026-07-05T05:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

72
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 55%13/20
Profit Factor 1.97x15/15
Sharpe 0.1944/15
Sortino 0.9049/10
EV $+7.94610/10
HHI 20622/10
Profit Days 71%10/10
DD/Peak 18%10/10

Summary

Kolo is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 120 trades executed over 508 days across 43 markets. They hold a global PnL rank of #202989, having generated a net profit of $131.65 on a total volume of $21,769. Despite a relatively low portfolio value currently at zero, kolo maintains a very good Smart Score of 72/100, reflecting solid trading acumen.

Kolo’s strategy appears diversified with a preference for various markets excluding weather, as none of their trades involve that category. Their win rate of 63.2% and profit factor of 2.21 indicate a generally positive risk-reward approach with a moderate risk profile. The trader manually operates with a sell percentage of 38%, suggesting a balanced exit strategy. Timing-wise, kolo’s Sharpe ratio of 0.19 and no recorded drawdown duration hint at low volatility but a recent downward equity trend, implying some recent losses or stagnation.

Strengths for kolo include consistency and a cool-headed approach, supported by badges like Profitable and Win Streak. Their human-driven style allows for flexible decision-making. However, the ongoing downward equity trend and relatively low Sharpe ratio could signal potential risks if market conditions worsen. Maintaining performance and managing drawdowns will be key challenges for kolo moving forward on Polymarket.

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+132
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
Consistent
17/24 days
Cool Head
DD 18%

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#51,902$148Vol: $17,857
📈 ECONOMICS#535,808$-3Vol: $1,933
CRYPTO#1,311,380$-37Vol: $1,116
💻 TECH#203,388$-4Vol: $693
SPORTS#208,299$24Vol: $157

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$132
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,769
Total Redeem
$262
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
44
total markets
Trades
75B / 45S
Daily Volume
$12
Account Age
641d
since Oct 6, 2024

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
63%
20W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$148
Win Rate
63%
24W / 13L
Profit Factor
2.21x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $211 (146.3% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$194
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-22?$10
NLDS: Padres vs. Dodgers Game 3$7
Broncos vs. Saints$7
Faithless elector in US election?$5
Blue Jays vs. Rockies$5
Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October?$4
Phillies vs. Marlins$4
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$3
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$3

Top Losers

Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?$-59
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? $-21
Phillies vs. Mets Series Winner$-11
Will Berachain launch a token in December?$-9
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?$-4
US recession in 2025?$-3
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-3
Xi Jinping out in 2025?$-2
Will Solana reach $240 in October?$-2
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.194
Sortino
0.904
HHI
2062
Moderate
EV per $1
$7.946
Kelly %
53.4%
Half-Kelly
26.7%
Top-1 market
31.1%
Top-5 markets
87.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
22s
between trades
Avg Gap
29.7m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
35
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.4

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 22s — typical for humanSize CV 1.26 — diverse, typical for human17% at night — different timezone?19/24 hours — extended daySession CV 0.76 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.7
Single entry
<=1
36 entries
<=2
37 entries
<=5
41 entries
<=10
42 entries
<=20
43 entries
<=50
43 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.3%
Mid (20-55c)37.3%
High (>55c)53.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 45.2%

Other$144

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
31

Single bracket

<=1
26 brackets
<=2
30 brackets
<=3
30 brackets
<=4
30 brackets
<=5
30 brackets
<=8
30 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/6/2024, 11:33:36 PM1 trades$1040 min
10/6/2024, 11:39:30 PM33 trades$3,3299 min
10/7/2024, 12:11:34 AM2 trades$993 min
10/8/2024, 2:13:00 AM15 trades$1,2226 min
10/9/2024, 4:31:40 PM1 trades$790 min
10/17/2024, 3:08:40 AM1 trades$110 min
10/28/2024, 11:20:19 PM1 trades$110 min
11/9/2024, 4:26:38 PM1 trades$110 min
11/11/2024, 4:17:46 PM1 trades$110 min
11/16/2024, 10:13:45 PM1 trades$110 min
11/27/2024, 6:51:18 AM1 trades$110 min
12/2/2024, 2:02:52 AM1 trades$110 min
12/10/2024, 12:23:44 PM2 trades$332 min
12/22/2024, 7:26:56 AM3 trades$303 min
12/26/2024, 9:01:59 AM1 trades$10 min
4/21/2025, 10:16:09 AM1 trades$110 min
5/3/2025, 7:36:43 PM1 trades$110 min
5/7/2025, 5:02:20 PM1 trades$390 min
5/10/2025, 12:16:57 PM2 trades$1201 min
5/21/2025, 6:56:01 AM1 trades$2940 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-08
11-04
12-10
05-03
08-13
10-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event