Polydata
Data is 7 days old — refreshing in background...

@lil25689

#21,07466

0xeaca59cb5e10e0be128b005a0f84465d2ed80729

569d· 12321 markets · 15480 tradesVol: $2,767,5382026-06-30T14:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 7%0/20
Profit Factor 41.19x15/15
Sharpe 0.56711/15
Sortino 10.95710/10
EV $+39.10010/10
HHI 1010/10
Profit Days 33%1/10
DD/Peak 2%10/10

Summary

Lil25689 is an experienced and moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranking #21074 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 497 days, they have executed 15,480 trades across 5,501 markets, generating a net PnL of $5,863.64 on a total volume of $2.77 million. Their smart score of 66/100 indicates good trading performance, while a Sharpe ratio of 0.57 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns. Despite this activity, their current portfolio value stands at zero.

Lil25689 demonstrates a unique trading style characterized by a perfect win rate of 100%, though with a profit factor of 0.00, implying a strategy that may focus on many small wins rather than large profits. Their low sell percentage of 11% and zero max drawdown duration suggest a patient, steady approach. The trader is classified as semi-bot, blending automated and manual techniques. Notably, lil25689 avoids weather markets entirely and has earned badges indicating profitability, contrarian tactics, and emotional composure.

The strengths of lil25689 include consistent winning trades and an upward equity trend, reflecting disciplined risk management and adaptability on Polymarket. However, the zero portfolio value combined with a profit factor of zero raises questions about the sustainability and scalability of their gains. Additionally, reliance on semi-automated methods may expose them to model risk or sudden market shifts. Overall, lil25689’s steady approach shows promise but warrants monitoring for long-term robustness.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+5,864
Lottery Player
100% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
100% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
99 wins in a row
Cool Head
DD 2%

Categories

4
CRYPTO#7,999$5,872Vol: $2,765,988
🏛️ POLITICS#771,051$-0Vol: $557
SPORTS#1,201,452$-6Vol: $468
🎭 CULTURE#581,813$-2Vol: $289

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,864
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,767,538
Total Redeem
$78,006
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
12321
total markets
Trades
13708B / 1772S
Daily Volume
$4
Account Age
569d
since Dec 14, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$5,864
Vol: $2,767,538

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
7%
417W / 5213L events
Realized PnL
$65,567
Win Rate
100%
99W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$500
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,530 (3.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$510
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$510
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$510
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$509
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$509
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$508
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$506
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$506
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$505
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$505

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.567
Sortino
10.957
HHI
10
Diversified
EV per $1
$39.100
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.3%
Top-5 markets
1.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
31.1
Active
Markets / Day
11.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
10s
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.9

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 10s — suspiciously fastSize CV 2.31 — diverse, typical for human13% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.48 — human randomness31 trades/day — suspiciously high11 markets/day — mass coverage5652 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.5
Moderate DCA
<=1
1425 entries
<=2
3917 entries
<=5
5181 entries
<=10
5422 entries
<=20
5480 entries
<=50
5495 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)100%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)0%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 46.7%

Other$49,546

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
5501

Single bracket

<=1
5501 brackets
<=2
5501 brackets
<=3
5501 brackets
<=4
5501 brackets
<=5
5501 brackets
<=8
5501 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/23/2024, 1:49:29 PM1 trades$20 min
2/12/2026, 9:26:25 PM3 trades$02 min
2/12/2026, 9:37:05 PM4 trades$05 min
2/12/2026, 10:00:05 PM2 trades$00 min
2/12/2026, 10:15:03 PM3 trades$00 min
2/12/2026, 10:28:41 PM3 trades$01 min
2/12/2026, 10:43:33 PM3 trades$00 min
2/12/2026, 10:58:47 PM4 trades$01 min
2/12/2026, 11:15:03 PM2 trades$00 min
2/12/2026, 11:26:31 PM3 trades$03 min
2/12/2026, 11:44:55 PM1 trades$00 min
2/12/2026, 11:57:59 PM3 trades$02 min
2/13/2026, 12:15:03 AM2 trades$00 min
2/13/2026, 12:22:49 AM3 trades$03 min
2/13/2026, 12:44:41 AM3 trades$00 min
2/13/2026, 12:58:07 AM3 trades$02 min
2/13/2026, 1:07:01 AM3 trades$05 min
2/13/2026, 1:25:07 AM3 trades$03 min
2/13/2026, 1:39:35 AM3 trades$03 min
2/13/2026, 1:56:25 AM4 trades$02 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-27
02-26
03-15
03-26
04-10
04-22
05-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
11.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event