Polydata

@lisra

#8,80982

0xfc7612db87dc5d3b234fb673eda2858f9de00ad0

~80d· 58 markets · 1566 tradesVol: $341,6432026-07-31 15:26:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

65% (33/51)17.4/20
2.38x (win $33,183 / loss $13,954)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.87915/15
Sortino 5.87210/10
$+0.1049 per $1 invested5.2/10
HHI 636 (51 markets)9.3/10
17/26 profitable days (65%)8.8/10
Max DD 63% of peak ($12,362 / $19,590)1.4/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 65%
Profitable
PnL $+17,474
DCA Master
Avg 29.1 entries/market
Whale
$183,333 invested
Consistent
17/26 profitable days
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
💰 FINANCE#655,906$-4,197Vol: $198,815
💻 TECH#70$21,537Vol: $140,766
🏛️ POLITICS#97,751$42Vol: $737
🎭 CULTURE#31,774$47Vol: $500

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$17,495
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$341,643
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
58
total markets
Trades
921B / 645S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~80d

Periods

#2
Today
$37
Vol: $0
Week
$236
Vol: $0
Month
$535
Vol: $20,108
All Time
$17,495
Vol: $341,643

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
65%
33W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$17,474
Win Rate
65%
33W / 18L
Profit Factor
2.38x
Avg Win
$1,006
Avg Loss
$-821

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $17,546 (1.004129554470517% of PnL)

Top Winners

Grok 4.20 released by January 15?$9,941
Grok 4.20 released by February 28?$5,199
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?$2,407
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?$2,277
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?$1,941
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$1,638
Grok 4.20 released by January 9?$1,465
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?$1,401
Grok 4.4 released by July 31?$1,256
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?$949

Top Losers

Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$-10,691
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?$-1,561
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$-414
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$-250
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?$-234
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$-218
Grok 4.20 released by March 31?$-202
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$-111
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$-73
Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of February 2026?$-68

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.199
Sortino
0.173
HHI
550
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.111
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15%
Top-5 markets
39%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
34s
between trades
Avg Gap
54.9m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.18
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 34s — normal for humanCV 3.18 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
29.06
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.9%
Mid (20-55c)15.2%
High (>55c)72.9%

Sessions

#12
6/8/2026, 1:37:06 AM80 trades$34,58711 min
4/1/2026, 11:27:17 PM84 trades$14,9023 min
1/20/2026, 7:32:18 AM4 trades$13,1323 min
7/21/2026, 7:05:57 AM49 trades$9,3300 min
2/3/2026, 7:07:40 AM5 trades$9,1461 min
5/17/2026, 4:57:31 AM5 trades$8,5530 min
2/17/2026, 10:08:59 PM5 trades$6,7744 min
5/25/2026, 3:45:28 PM24 trades$6,6937 min
4/2/2026, 4:03:19 AM33 trades$5,4481 min
3/18/2026, 7:09:21 AM16 trades$4,2997 min
4/5/2026, 1:39:29 AM38 trades$3,6521 min
6/2/2026, 6:21:27 PM11 trades$3,1780 min
2/19/2026, 7:06:50 AM5 trades$3,1542 min
2/15/2026, 4:55:37 AM14 trades$3,0308 min
2/17/2026, 8:16:17 PM2 trades$2,9143 min
1/10/2026, 7:35:22 AM20 trades$2,6318 min
4/8/2026, 3:21:15 PM46 trades$2,6001 min
6/9/2026, 6:47:25 AM19 trades$2,4201 min
4/4/2026, 7:21:35 AM51 trades$2,4171 min
1/24/2026, 10:32:54 PM3 trades$2,3970 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-22
01-14
01-30
02-15
03-18
05-17
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 21 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 29.06/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.9 / M15.2 / H72.9