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@lo34567Taipe

#12858

0xf195721ad850377c96cd634457c70cd9e8308057

164d· 59 markets · 3833 tradesVol: $12,663,4822026-06-24T23:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

58
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 55%13/20
Profit Factor 1.45x8/15
Sharpe 0.2184/15
Sortino 0.5736/10
EV $+2.43010/10
HHI 26510/10
Profit Days 52%6/10
DD/Peak 62%2/10

Summary

Lo34567Taipe is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranking #128 globally by net profit and maintaining a positive net PnL of over $1.1 million. Over 160 days and 3,833 trades, this trader has engaged in 59 different markets with a total volume exceeding $12.6 million. Despite the high volume, lo34567Taipe’s portfolio currently holds no open positions, and their equity trend shows a recent decline.

This trader exhibits a contrarian and high-risk style, reflected in a relatively low win rate of 39.6% and a profit factor below 1 at 0.88. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.22 indicates modest risk-adjusted returns, while a minimal sell percentage (2%) and the "Diamond Hands" badge suggest a preference for holding positions rather than quick exits. Lo34567Taipe appears to focus on high-stakes bets rather than weather-related markets, with a semi-automated trading approach combining bot and manual inputs.

The strengths of lo34567Taipe include significant trading volume and the ability to generate substantial gross profits, supported by their whale and high roller status on Polymarket. However, the downward equity trend and relatively low profit factor highlight potential risks, including exposure to prolonged drawdowns and an overall contrarian strategy that may underperform in trending markets. The semi-bot trading style implies some automation but may lack consistency compared to fully algorithmic systems.

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+1,125,412
Contrarian
76% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
2% sell
Whale
$5,756,420
High Roller
$35,978/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#76$1,125,412Vol: $12,663,482

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,125,412
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,663,482
Total Redeem
$4,747,844
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
59
total markets
Trades
3771B / 62S
Daily Volume
$35,978
Account Age
164d
since Jan 20, 2026

Periods

#2
Month
$-15,697
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,125,412
Vol: $12,663,482

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
54%
31W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$1,588,476
Win Rate
40%
21W / 32L
Profit Factor
0.88x
Avg Win
$125,378
Avg Loss
$-93,395

Top Winners

Jets vs. Rangers$302,764
Flyers vs. Kings$264,506
Utah vs. Stars$245,161
Predators vs. Jets$232,581
Kings vs. Rangers$186,503
Golden Knights vs. Stars$163,755
Predators vs. Blackhawks$142,648
Ducks vs. Utah$141,381
Panthers vs. Oilers$140,519
Stars vs. Avalanche$124,023

Top Losers

Islanders vs. Flyers$-242,141
Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs$-239,148
Sharks vs. Flames$-206,259
Kings vs. Red Wings$-186,890
Sharks vs. Oilers$-185,689
Blues vs. Stars$-180,116
Ducks vs. Flames$-179,219
Golden Knights vs. Bruins$-168,017
Capitals vs. Kraken$-149,239
Lightning vs. Blue Jackets$-147,638

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.218
Sortino
0.573
HHI
266
Diversified
EV per $1
$2.430
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.9%
Top-5 markets
20.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
50.3
Very active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
16s
between trades
Avg Gap
9.6m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.6

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 16s — typical for humanSize CV 5.77 — diverse, typical for human13% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.15 — human randomness50 trades/day — mass trading

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
63.9
Heavy DCA
<=1
2 entries
<=2
3 entries
<=5
12 entries
<=10
15 entries
<=20
23 entries
<=50
36 entries
>50
23 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.9%
Mid (20-55c)90.9%
High (>55c)7.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 43.1%

Chicago$0
Other$-355,684

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
58

Single bracket

<=1
57 brackets
<=2
58 brackets
<=3
58 brackets
<=4
58 brackets
<=5
58 brackets
<=8
58 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/20/2026, 11:13:56 PM1 trades$21,7480 min
1/20/2026, 11:38:02 PM29 trades$110,1506 min
1/20/2026, 11:50:52 PM5 trades$2,8782 min
1/22/2026, 3:57:28 AM13 trades$1537 min
1/22/2026, 8:09:00 PM3 trades$59,0412 min
1/22/2026, 8:17:46 PM1 trades$7130 min
1/22/2026, 8:23:26 PM4 trades$3469 min
1/22/2026, 8:38:22 PM2 trades$350 min
1/22/2026, 8:44:22 PM1 trades$70 min
1/22/2026, 8:53:08 PM10 trades$35811 min
1/22/2026, 9:18:44 PM2 trades$522 min
1/22/2026, 9:28:18 PM2 trades$2803 min
1/22/2026, 9:38:40 PM10 trades$9816 min
1/22/2026, 10:21:18 PM4 trades$901 min
1/22/2026, 10:28:32 PM4 trades$2323 min
1/22/2026, 10:42:16 PM20 trades$66315 min
1/22/2026, 11:02:30 PM37 trades$46,88525 min
1/22/2026, 11:34:32 PM59 trades$59,21733 min
1/23/2026, 1:16:00 AM4 trades$8561 min
1/23/2026, 6:53:08 PM17 trades$105,7461 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-21
01-25
01-29
03-14
03-18
03-22
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 63.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event