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@luggi10

#2,865,88324

0x3a8342133656a0c1e16a6f5b6a44127081ba195b

368d· 205 markets · 300 tradesVol: $147,7532026-06-27T16:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 51%10/20
Profit Factor 0.76x0/15
HHI 10610/10
Profit Days 45%4/10
DD/Peak 227%0/10

Summary

Luggi10 is a moderately active Polymarket trader with 300 trades across 205 markets over nearly a year of activity. Despite a high win rate of 75.8% and a profit factor of 2.29, luggi10 currently holds a net loss of $2,306.18, placing them at rank #2,865,883 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their Smart Score of 24/100 indicates below-average trading effectiveness, and their equity trend is declining with a negative Sharpe ratio of -0.10.

Luggi10 appears to favor a high-volume, diversified approach, spreading trades across many markets rather than specializing. Their low sell percentage of 27% suggests a relatively patient trading style, though their zero exposure to weather markets indicates selective market preferences. With no automated bot activity, luggi10 relies on manual trading decisions. The short max drawdown duration of zero days may reflect quick risk management or frequent portfolio adjustments.

Key strengths for luggi10 include a strong win streak and a solid profit factor, suggesting disciplined trade selection despite losses. However, the negative overall PnL and declining equity highlight risks related to trade sizing or market timing. The below-average Smart and Bot Scores imply room for improvement in strategy optimization and execution on Polymarket.

Badges

2
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
Whale
$60,593

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,734,616$-1,898Vol: $146,880
CRYPTO#1,518,443$-401Vol: $806
🏛️ POLITICS#1,186,290$-7Vol: $67

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,306
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$147,753
Total Redeem
$36,456
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
205
total markets
Trades
219B / 81S
Daily Volume
$172
Account Age
368d
since Jul 9, 2025

Periods

#2
Week
$231
Vol: $5,464
Month
$1,227
Vol: $14,668
All Time
$-2,306
Vol: $147,753

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
51%
94W / 91L events
Realized PnL
$7,475
Win Rate
76%
113W / 36L
Profit Factor
2.29x
Avg Win
$179
Avg Loss
$-245

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,806 (24.7% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Egypt win on 2025-12-26?$1,039
Gabon vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5$901
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?$866
Benin vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5$563
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?$546
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?$544
Tanzania vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5$514
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-06?$448
Bucks vs. Pacers$426
Spread: France (-1.5)$413

Top Losers

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?$-2,448
Wizards vs. Bucks$-566
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-06?$-497
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?$-495
Will there be a safety car during the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Pri$-399
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?$-391
Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 216.5$-336
Saints vs. Titans$-293
Mavericks vs. Pelicans$-287
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?$-281

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.095
Sortino
-0.084
HHI
106
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.421
Kelly %
45.1%
Half-Kelly
22.6%
Top-1 market
5%
Top-5 markets
12.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6h
between trades
Avg Gap
3.8h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

4 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 5684s — typical for humanSize CV 1.13 — diverse, typical for human14% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clock

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.1
Single entry
<=1
195 entries
<=2
202 entries
<=5
205 entries
<=10
205 entries
<=20
205 entries
<=50
205 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.4%
Mid (20-55c)45.2%
High (>55c)53.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 98.7%

Other$10,823
Milan$595
Paris$136
Miami$37
Madrid$-57
Los Angeles$-161

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
203

Single bracket

<=1
201 brackets
<=2
203 brackets
<=3
203 brackets
<=4
203 brackets
<=5
203 brackets
<=8
203 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
7/9/2025, 8:16:57 AM1 trades$10 min
7/9/2025, 9:12:50 AM1 trades$80 min
7/10/2025, 9:15:22 AM1 trades$00 min
10/27/2025, 7:03:49 PM1 trades$1000 min
11/11/2025, 9:01:25 AM1 trades$90 min
11/12/2025, 9:38:33 AM1 trades$160 min
11/12/2025, 6:49:39 PM1 trades$90 min
11/13/2025, 8:40:08 AM1 trades$90 min
11/14/2025, 7:47:00 AM1 trades$140 min
12/6/2025, 3:09:53 AM1 trades$3000 min
12/6/2025, 10:06:03 AM1 trades$3360 min
12/6/2025, 2:34:03 PM1 trades$710 min
12/6/2025, 3:27:35 PM1 trades$5000 min
12/6/2025, 6:04:51 PM3 trades$1,3611 min
12/6/2025, 7:21:49 PM1 trades$8700 min
12/6/2025, 7:54:27 PM1 trades$6000 min
12/6/2025, 8:29:07 PM1 trades$1030 min
12/6/2025, 8:37:53 PM1 trades$7350 min
12/6/2025, 9:10:43 PM2 trades$1,1611 min
12/7/2025, 12:25:09 AM1 trades$5610 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-11
12-10
12-25
01-05
01-16
05-09
06-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event