Polydata

@magnus-trader2

#151,39894

0xbb2b5d94680cfdead2c3b5ce02ade27822f5aba3

83d· 1039 markets · 1232 tradesVol: $72,6742026-06-23T14:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

94
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 57.64x15/15
Sharpe 1.44315/15
Sortino 64278.18810/10
EV $+0.0864/10
HHI 1310/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Magnus-trader2 is an experienced and highly active trader on Polymarket, with 73 days of activity and a substantial total trading volume of $72,674 across 1,232 trades in 810 markets. Despite a modest net PnL of $243.68, they hold an elite Smart Score of 94/100, reflecting strong overall performance. Ranked #151,398 globally, magnus-trader2 maintains a consistent portfolio value of around $111 and demonstrates a solid Sharpe ratio of 1.44, indicating a reasonable risk-adjusted return.

Magnus-trader2 favors a low-risk, manual trading style with minimal sell activity (2%) and zero exposure to weather markets. Their win rate is exceptionally high at 99.4%, supported by a profit factor of 57.64, suggesting highly efficient trade selection and timing. The trader also exhibits a flat equity trend and zero days of max drawdown duration, highlighting disciplined risk management and consistent entry points. Their badges, including Sniper and Diamond Hands, further reinforce a strategic approach focused on precision and holding positions.

The key strengths of magnus-trader2 lie in their remarkable consistency and near-perfect win rate, which contribute to steady performance in Polymarket’s diverse environment. However, the relatively low net PnL compared to volume and rank indicates that while trades are mostly successful, profit margins per trade may be conservative. Additionally, the flat equity trend suggests limited portfolio growth, which could be a concern for scalability or capitalizing on larger market opportunities.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+244
Diamond Hands
2% sell
Win Streak
413 wins in a row
Consistent
56/56 days

Categories

1
CRYPTO#56,533$244Vol: $72,674

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$244
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$72,674
Total Redeem
$45,176
Portfolio
$111
Predictions
1039
total markets
Trades
1210B / 22S
Daily Volume
$575
Account Age
83d
since Apr 1, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$17
Vol: $223
Week
$55
Vol: $1,024
Month
$-30
Vol: $14,791
All Time
$244
Vol: $72,674

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
253W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$1,347
Win Rate
99%
800W / 5L
Profit Factor
57.64x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $100 (2.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$10

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$-11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.443
Sortino
inf
HHI
13
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.086
Kelly %
97.7%
Half-Kelly
48.8%
Top-1 market
0.2%
Top-5 markets
0.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
16.9
Active
Markets / Day
11.1
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
18.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 1118s — typical for humanSize CV 0.60 — diverse, typical for human0% at night — normal sleep pattern11/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 0.93 — human randomness17 trades/day — very active11 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.5
Single entry
<=1
610 entries
<=2
695 entries
<=5
807 entries
<=10
810 entries
<=20
810 entries
<=50
810 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 49.6%

Other$3,600

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
810

Single bracket

<=1
810 brackets
<=2
810 brackets
<=3
810 brackets
<=4
810 brackets
<=5
810 brackets
<=8
810 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/11/2026, 1:03:39 PM1 trades$270 min
4/11/2026, 1:19:55 PM1 trades$280 min
4/11/2026, 3:20:27 PM1 trades$280 min
4/11/2026, 3:54:41 PM1 trades$270 min
4/11/2026, 4:40:23 PM1 trades$270 min
4/11/2026, 5:24:49 PM2 trades$280 min
4/11/2026, 5:41:43 PM5 trades$280 min
4/11/2026, 5:54:59 PM1 trades$270 min
4/11/2026, 6:20:37 PM2 trades$280 min
4/11/2026, 6:35:11 PM5 trades$280 min
4/11/2026, 7:52:35 PM4 trades$473 min
4/11/2026, 8:03:49 PM1 trades$270 min
4/11/2026, 8:23:57 PM1 trades$270 min
4/11/2026, 9:07:35 PM1 trades$270 min
4/12/2026, 11:35:07 AM1 trades$270 min
4/12/2026, 12:05:39 PM1 trades$270 min
4/12/2026, 12:39:19 PM1 trades$260 min
4/12/2026, 12:53:01 PM3 trades$290 min
4/12/2026, 1:24:53 PM1 trades$270 min
4/13/2026, 11:05:59 AM1 trades$410 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-11
04-20
05-01
05-14
05-27
06-09
06-22
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event