Polydata
master-roshi

@master-roshi

#30,32225

0x5f8839f9b16c66d0c75f69d150e69a876e391d4d

~185d· 90 markets · 18057 tradesVol: $2,356,6342026-07-31 15:30:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (14/25)13/20
0.51x (win $5,226 / loss $10,282)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.5530/15
Sortino -4.5200/10
$-0.0131 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1290 (25 markets)6/10
9/17 profitable days (53%)5.7/10
Max DD 249% of peak ($9,012 / $3,620)0/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+3,990
Contrarian
56% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 234.6 entries/market
Whale
$386,349 invested
High Roller
$2,088/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
95% maker orders

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#8,309$3,319Vol: $2,245,576
📈 ECONOMICS#4,808$500Vol: $59,012
🎭 CULTURE#16,849$142Vol: $42,945
🌤️ WEATHER#17,593$17Vol: $8,089
💰 FINANCE#186,474$0Vol: $300
SPORTS#339,324$5Vol: $114
📢 MENTIONS#34,846$2Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,995
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,356,634
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
90
total markets
Trades
11340B / 6717S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~185d

Periods

#2
Today
$6
Vol: $476
Week
$31
Vol: $12,226
Month
$429
Vol: $77,257
All Time
$3,995
Vol: $2,356,634

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
56%
14W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$3,990
Win Rate
56%
14W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.51x
Avg Win
$373
Avg Loss
$-935

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,600 (1.152899044678569% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$3,242
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$981
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?$378
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$337
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?$108
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?$87
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$36
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$28
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?$22
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?$4

Top Losers

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-2,903
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-2,712
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?$-1,675
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$-1,444
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-1,141
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-159
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-119
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?$-92
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?$-27
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$-8

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.180
Sortino
-0.211
HHI
171
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.035
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.5%
Top-5 markets
26.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
97.6
Very active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
17.3m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
21 min
Avg Trades / Session
31.5

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 242s — normal for humanCV 1.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock98 trades/day — mass trading0.5 markets/day — normal95% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
234.56
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.7%
Mid (20-55c)33.9%
High (>55c)44.4%

Sessions

#12
4/9/2026, 11:43:55 AM111 trades$8,63625 min
4/15/2026, 12:43:06 AM72 trades$3,99845 min
4/14/2026, 4:35:28 PM107 trades$3,31699 min
4/15/2026, 1:36:10 AM62 trades$2,61549 min
4/5/2026, 9:09:07 PM31 trades$2,5360 min
4/13/2026, 4:57:17 PM34 trades$2,43215 min
4/13/2026, 10:00:57 AM54 trades$2,19038 min
4/15/2026, 4:34:32 PM48 trades$2,18415 min
4/14/2026, 10:13:00 PM45 trades$2,15847 min
4/14/2026, 2:55:29 PM31 trades$1,87526 min
4/13/2026, 1:56:55 AM55 trades$1,66855 min
3/7/2026, 9:18:47 PM39 trades$1,65227 min
4/14/2026, 2:05:03 PM73 trades$1,53244 min
4/14/2026, 7:36:50 PM30 trades$1,51722 min
3/17/2026, 1:26:55 PM41 trades$1,43913 min
4/15/2026, 11:30:34 AM34 trades$1,40320 min
3/20/2026, 9:50:31 AM10 trades$1,3760 min
4/13/2026, 11:11:21 PM48 trades$1,35335 min
4/26/2026, 11:56:58 PM17 trades$1,33813 min
4/8/2026, 11:32:27 AM18 trades$1,2720 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-28
03-20
04-20
04-29
05-15
05-31
06-05
06-08
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 17 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 234.56/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.7 / M33.9 / H44.4