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@mikatrade77

#2165

0x23786fdad0073692157c6d7dc81f281843a35fcb

616d· 7 markets · 2907 tradesVol: $10,884,7652026-06-30T11:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 86%20/20
Profit Factor 115.50x15/15
EV $+3.46210/10
HHI 24800/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Mikatrade77 is a highly active and successful trader on Polymarket, ranked #21 on the global PnL leaderboard. With a net profit of over $5.1 million from nearly 3,000 trades and a total trading volume close to $11 million, mikatrade77 demonstrates strong market engagement within just 7 days of activity. Their smart score of 65 out of 100 indicates good trading acumen, and their profit factor of 115.50 highlights exceptional profitability relative to losses.

This trader prefers a concentrated approach, having traded in only 7 markets, and maintains a very high win rate of 85.7%. Their style blends manual and automated trading, reflected in a 50/100 bot score, suggesting a semi-bot strategy. The trading pattern reveals disciplined execution with no recorded drawdowns or portfolio value at the time of analysis, which may indicate recent position closures. The absence of selling activity and the presence of badges like “Diamond Hands” and “DCA Master” suggest a risk-tolerant, long-term holding strategy complemented by careful scaling into positions.

Mikatrade77’s key strengths include their impressive win rate, strong profit factor, and consistent execution with minimal risk exposure to drawdowns. However, the very short active period of 7 days limits the assessment of long-term sustainability. The zero portfolio value and lack of sell transactions might imply exposure to sudden market changes or a pause in active positions, which could present risks if market conditions shift rapidly. Overall, mikatrade77 stands out on Polymarket for their efficient and profitable trading within a brief timeframe.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 86%
Profitable
PnL $+5,147,999
Contrarian
65% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 415.3 entries/market
Whale
$2,379,079
Consistent
1/1 days
High Roller
$328,245/day

Categories

1
🏛️ POLITICS#9$5,147,999Vol: $10,884,765

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,147,999
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,884,765
Total Redeem
$10,614,583
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
7
total markets
Trades
2907B / 0S
Daily Volume
$328,245
Account Age
616d
since Oct 27, 2024

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
4W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$5,147,999
Win Rate
86%
6W / 1L
Profit Factor
115.5x
Avg Win
$1,384,572
Avg Loss
$-71,926

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,524,370 (91.4% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$4,922,950
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$1,793,033
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential E$808,386
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? $656,197
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$70,067
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$56,797

Top Losers

Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Pre$-71,926

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.000
Sortino
0.000
HHI
2480
Moderate
EV per $1
$3.462
Kelly %
81.8%
Half-Kelly
40.9%
Top-1 market
37.5%
Top-5 markets
95.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
401.1
Very active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
10s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8m
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
27.1

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10s — suspiciously fastSize CV 5.82 — diverse, typical for human7% at night — normal sleep pattern23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.16 — human randomness401 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
415.3
Heavy DCA
<=1
0 entries
<=2
0 entries
<=5
0 entries
<=10
1 entries
<=20
1 entries
<=50
2 entries
>50
5 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)65.7%
High (>55c)34.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 60.2%

Other$8,235,504

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.8
Events covered
4

Single bracket

<=1
1 brackets
<=2
4 brackets
<=3
4 brackets
<=4
4 brackets
<=5
4 brackets
<=8
4 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/29/2024, 9:44:49 PM1 trades$1260 min
10/29/2024, 10:00:48 PM15 trades$85,38012 min
10/29/2024, 10:21:25 PM1 trades$2,3290 min
10/29/2024, 10:34:05 PM4 trades$21,0003 min
10/29/2024, 11:13:28 PM1 trades$7,9760 min
10/29/2024, 11:57:59 PM2 trades$2,0900 min
10/30/2024, 3:56:12 AM90 trades$37,53640 min
10/30/2024, 4:42:52 AM58 trades$23,14822 min
10/30/2024, 5:39:56 AM20 trades$8,7816 min
10/30/2024, 6:06:22 AM7 trades$9,55913 min
10/30/2024, 6:25:50 AM208 trades$92,10068 min
10/30/2024, 8:09:08 AM4 trades$1972 min
10/30/2024, 8:18:08 AM34 trades$4,56124 min
10/30/2024, 2:19:22 PM27 trades$4,80934 min
10/30/2024, 2:58:42 PM1 trades$5060 min
10/30/2024, 3:06:26 PM7 trades$6437 min
10/30/2024, 3:22:06 PM10 trades$4,5164 min
10/30/2024, 3:31:04 PM9 trades$1,8067 min
10/30/2024, 3:44:32 PM5 trades$20,5207 min
10/30/2024, 7:11:08 PM141 trades$40,70638 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 415.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.8 br/event