Polydata

@mythirdtry

#2,132,58626

0xde5dd972055ad98312554b647158cf3731d81417

23d· 169 markets · 170 tradesVol: $7072026-06-03T15:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 61%16/20
Profit Factor 0.72x0/15
HHI 8110/10
Profit Days 27%0/10
DD/Peak 2262%0/10

Summary

Mythirdtry is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having executed 170 trades across 169 markets in just 23 days. Despite a high win rate of 93.6% and a strong profit factor of 5.88, their net PnL stands at -$45.94, placing them at rank #2,132,586 on the global leaderboard. Their smart score of 26/100 suggests below-average overall trading performance, and their portfolio value is currently zero, indicating no open positions.

The trader’s style appears focused on short-term, high-frequency trades with a sniper-like precision, as reflected by badges like 🎯 Sniper and 🔥 Win Streak. Mythirdtry does not engage in weather markets and has a zero percent sell rate, implying a buy-and-hold approach or quick exits without selling. Their negative Sharpe ratio (-0.75) and downward equity trend suggest that despite frequent wins, the size of losses or volatility of returns may be undermining profitability. Their trading behavior indicates a high-risk profile with rapid decision-making, likely human-driven given the bot score.

Key strengths for mythirdtry include an impressive win rate and consistent trade activity, which reflect skill in selecting winning positions on Polymarket. However, the negative net PnL and declining equity raise concerns about risk management and sustainability. Without active risk controls, mythirdtry’s approach may incur eventual larger losses, limiting long-term success despite short-term winning streaks.

Badges

3
Sniper
Win Rate 61%
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
30 wins in a row

Categories

1
CRYPTO#1,283,123$-46Vol: $707

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-46
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$707
Total Redeem
$387
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
169
total markets
Trades
170B / 0S
Daily Volume
$19
Account Age
23d
since May 11, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $8
Week
$-5
Vol: $191
Month
$-5
Vol: $48
All Time
$-46
Vol: $707

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
61%
103W / 66L events
Realized PnL
$100
Win Rate
94%
103W / 7L
Profit Factor
5.88x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $15 (14.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$3

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.748
Sortino
-0.851
HHI
81
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.314
Kelly %
80.3%
Half-Kelly
40.1%
Top-1 market
1.2%
Top-5 markets
5.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
7.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
19.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

4 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1174s — typical for humanSize CV 0.62 — diverse, typical for human31% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1
Single entry
<=1
168 entries
<=2
169 entries
<=5
169 entries
<=10
169 entries
<=20
169 entries
<=50
169 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.8%
Mid (20-55c)16.5%
High (>55c)81.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 53.9%

Other$100

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
169

Single bracket

<=1
169 brackets
<=2
169 brackets
<=3
169 brackets
<=4
169 brackets
<=5
169 brackets
<=8
169 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/11/2026, 7:52:39 PM2 trades$24 min
5/15/2026, 10:29:59 PM1 trades$10 min
5/16/2026, 12:14:59 AM1 trades$10 min
5/16/2026, 6:05:01 AM1 trades$10 min
5/16/2026, 6:30:01 AM1 trades$10 min
5/16/2026, 2:30:02 PM1 trades$10 min
5/16/2026, 3:15:02 PM1 trades$10 min
5/17/2026, 8:34:48 AM1 trades$10 min
5/17/2026, 8:39:49 AM2 trades$25 min
5/17/2026, 8:49:48 AM1 trades$10 min
5/17/2026, 8:54:50 AM2 trades$25 min
5/17/2026, 9:19:47 AM1 trades$10 min
5/17/2026, 9:24:49 AM2 trades$25 min
5/17/2026, 10:39:50 AM2 trades$25 min
5/17/2026, 12:29:48 PM1 trades$10 min
5/17/2026, 12:39:46 PM1 trades$10 min
5/17/2026, 1:24:50 PM1 trades$10 min
5/17/2026, 9:27:12 PM1 trades$10 min
5/17/2026, 9:36:39 PM2 trades$25 min
5/17/2026, 9:46:30 PM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-11
05-15
05-16
05-17
05-18
05-27
05-29
05-30
05-31
06-01
06-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event