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@nobebot

#2,41823

0xa3e0985f2d0b3209a52f171660287863690d095d

114d· 27450 markets · 18814 tradesVol: $4,823,4062026-07-12T09:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 4%0/20
Profit Factor 1.12x4/15
Sharpe 0.0521/15
Sortino 0.2432/10
EV $+0.1186/10
HHI 510/10
Profit Days 26%0/10
DD/Peak 140%0/10

Summary

Nobebot is an automated trader on Polymarket, ranked #2418 globally on the profit and loss leaderboard. Over 110 active days, nobebot executed 18,814 trades across 6,427 markets, generating a net PnL of $74,379 on a total volume of approximately $4.8 million. Despite a respectable win rate of 74.7%, the trader’s smart score is below average at 23/100, and their Sharpe ratio is very low at 0.05, indicating limited risk-adjusted returns.

Nobebot’s trading style is characterized by high-frequency automated activity with a very low sell percentage of 1%, suggesting a tendency to hold positions rather than frequently exit. The trader appears to prefer a contrarian approach, as reflected by badges earned, and does not engage in weather-related markets. The high profit factor of 2.94 implies profitable trades outweigh losses significantly, but the equity trend is downward, showing recent declines in portfolio performance. Nobebot’s short maximum drawdown duration of zero days suggests quick recovery from losses or very short holding periods.

The main strengths of nobebot lie in consistent profitability and a robust automated strategy that achieves a solid win rate. However, the low Sharpe ratio and downward equity trend raise concerns about sustainability and risk management. The reliance on a contrarian style with limited selling could expose the trader to drawdown risks during volatile market shifts. Overall, nobebot demonstrates effective volume-based trading on Polymarket but faces challenges in maintaining long-term portfolio growth.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+74,379
Lottery Player
34% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
73% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
1% sell
Bot
Score 80/100
Win Streak
18 wins in a row
Whale
$155,245
High Roller
$1,411/day

Categories

2
CRYPTO#472$74,601Vol: $4,811,700
SPORTS#1,398,902$-15Vol: $28

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$74,379
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,823,406
Total Redeem
$35,971
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
27450
total markets
Trades
18585B / 229S
Daily Volume
$1,411
Account Age
114d
since Mar 24, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$401
Vol: $8,592
Week
$1,883
Vol: $8,592
Month
$2,254
Vol: $247,829
All Time
$74,379
Vol: $4,823,406

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
4%
255W / 6062L events
Realized PnL
$141,600
Win Rate
75%
278W / 94L
Profit Factor
2.94x
Avg Win
$35
Avg Loss
$-36

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $929 (14.3% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$358
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$306
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$265
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$199
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$197
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$196
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$184
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$180
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$164
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$164

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$-174
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$-158
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$-115
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$-115
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$-114
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$-105
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$-99
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$-99
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$-95

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.052
Sortino
0.243
HHI
5
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.118
Kelly %
57.7%
Half-Kelly
28.8%
Top-1 market
0.4%
Top-5 markets
1.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
172.3
Very active
Markets / Day
58.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
13.4m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.3

Bot Detection

#6
80
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 198s — typical for humanSize CV 1.58 — diverse, typical for human26% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.08 — human randomness172 trades/day — automation59 markets/day — mass coverage6322 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.9
Moderate DCA
<=1
2939 entries
<=2
4189 entries
<=5
5620 entries
<=10
6205 entries
<=20
6396 entries
<=50
6427 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)33.7%
Mid (20-55c)44.6%
High (>55c)21.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 49.5%

Other$6,513

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
6353

Single bracket

<=1
6350 brackets
<=2
6352 brackets
<=3
6353 brackets
<=4
6353 brackets
<=5
6353 brackets
<=8
6353 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/25/2026, 4:17:25 AM1 trades$80 min
3/25/2026, 4:36:51 AM1 trades$30 min
3/25/2026, 4:44:59 AM2 trades$60 min
3/25/2026, 5:38:17 AM1 trades$150 min
3/25/2026, 5:51:57 AM1 trades$10 min
3/25/2026, 6:06:47 AM3 trades$75 min
3/28/2026, 12:29:27 PM1 trades$80 min
3/28/2026, 12:50:11 PM25 trades$1733 min
3/28/2026, 1:31:23 PM20 trades$1258 min
3/28/2026, 1:55:17 PM22 trades$1995 min
3/28/2026, 2:21:43 PM9 trades$523 min
3/28/2026, 2:30:17 PM19 trades$1445 min
3/28/2026, 3:11:09 PM14 trades$1303 min
3/28/2026, 3:35:11 PM32 trades$1399 min
3/28/2026, 3:50:09 PM7 trades$245 min
3/28/2026, 4:07:21 PM70 trades$55823 min
3/28/2026, 5:00:13 PM12 trades$984 min
3/28/2026, 5:21:15 PM9 trades$403 min
3/28/2026, 5:31:49 PM11 trades$1443 min
3/28/2026, 5:46:21 PM7 trades$754 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-24
04-13
05-01
05-19
06-06
06-24
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event