Polydata

@nobebot

#2,67357

0xa3e0985f2d0b3209a52f171660287863690d095d

66d· 16192 markets · 11761 tradesVol: $2,480,5082026-05-28T16:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

57
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 7%0/20
Profit Factor 1.62x10/15
Sharpe 0.2455/15
Sortino 1.58310/10
EV $+0.62410/10
HHI 910/10
Profit Days 42%3/10
DD/Peak 23%9/10

Summary

Nobebot is an active trader on Polymarket, ranked #2673 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $55,928.56. Over 67 days, they executed 11,761 trades across 3,765 markets, generating a total volume of nearly $2.5 million. Despite a strong win rate of 69.3% and a profit factor of 2.44, nobebot's portfolio value has declined to $73.12, and their Sharpe ratio is modest at 0.24, indicating limited risk-adjusted returns.

Nobebot’s trading style is characterized by automated, high-frequency activity with a contrarian approach, as reflected by their badges. They rarely sell (only 2% sell rate) and hold positions with a diamond hands mentality. Their strategy does not involve weather markets, focusing instead on other event types. Nobebot appears to engage in frequent, smaller bets rather than large directional moves, suggesting a moderate risk profile with an emphasis on sustained incremental gains.

The key strengths for nobebot include a solid profit factor and consistent wins, supported by automated trading that limits drawdown duration. However, the declining equity trend and low portfolio value raise concerns about long-term sustainability. While nobebot’s contrarian and lottery player traits can yield occasional outsized profits, these also introduce volatility and potential for drawdowns not fully captured by current metrics.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Profitable
PnL $+55,929
Lottery Player
32% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
71% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
2% sell
Bot
Score 70/100
Win Streak
22 wins in a row
Whale
$86,481
High Roller
$1,291/day
Cool Head
DD 23%

Categories

2
CRYPTO#600$56,150Vol: $2,468,648
SPORTS#1,559,396$-222Vol: $11,706

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$55,929
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,480,508
Total Redeem
$26,906
Portfolio
$73
Predictions
16192
total markets
Trades
11532B / 229S
Daily Volume
$1,291
Account Age
66d
since Mar 24, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$136
Vol: $28,971
Week
$-182
Vol: $98,885
Month
$22,064
Vol: $860,175
All Time
$55,929
Vol: $2,480,508

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
7%
258W / 3382L events
Realized PnL
$100,238
Win Rate
69%
258W / 114L
Profit Factor
2.44x
Avg Win
$25
Avg Loss
$-23

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $869 (22.7% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$354
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$265
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$251
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$219
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$182
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$142
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$131
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$126
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$126
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$126

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$-233
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$-202
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$-126
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$-98
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$-91
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$-81
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$-73
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$-73

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.245
Sortino
1.583
HHI
10
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.624
Kelly %
47.9%
Half-Kelly
23.9%
Top-1 market
1.1%
Top-5 markets
3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
182.4
Very active
Markets / Day
58.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
12.1m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.3

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 116s — typical for humanSize CV 1.55 — diverse, typical for human25% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.14 — human randomness182 trades/day — automation58 markets/day — mass coverage3646 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.1
Moderate DCA
<=1
1663 entries
<=2
2394 entries
<=5
3244 entries
<=10
3605 entries
<=20
3741 entries
<=50
3765 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)32.2%
Mid (20-55c)43.1%
High (>55c)24.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 52.3%

Other$3,831

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
3761

Single bracket

<=1
3758 brackets
<=2
3760 brackets
<=3
3761 brackets
<=4
3761 brackets
<=5
3761 brackets
<=8
3761 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/25/2026, 4:17:25 AM1 trades$80 min
3/25/2026, 4:36:51 AM1 trades$30 min
3/25/2026, 4:44:59 AM2 trades$60 min
3/25/2026, 5:38:17 AM1 trades$150 min
3/25/2026, 5:51:57 AM1 trades$10 min
3/25/2026, 6:06:47 AM3 trades$75 min
3/28/2026, 12:29:27 PM1 trades$80 min
3/28/2026, 12:50:11 PM25 trades$1733 min
3/28/2026, 1:31:23 PM20 trades$1258 min
3/28/2026, 1:55:17 PM22 trades$1995 min
3/28/2026, 2:21:43 PM9 trades$523 min
3/28/2026, 2:30:17 PM19 trades$1445 min
3/28/2026, 3:11:09 PM14 trades$1303 min
3/28/2026, 3:35:11 PM32 trades$1399 min
3/28/2026, 3:50:09 PM7 trades$245 min
3/28/2026, 4:07:21 PM70 trades$55823 min
3/28/2026, 5:00:13 PM12 trades$984 min
3/28/2026, 5:21:15 PM9 trades$403 min
3/28/2026, 5:31:49 PM11 trades$1443 min
3/28/2026, 5:46:21 PM7 trades$754 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-24
04-05
04-15
04-25
05-05
05-15
05-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event