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@novoreto

#21242

0x19254b55e7c48e88baab9e62cc218223a6544654

102d· 199 markets · 17608 tradesVol: $21,626,3632026-07-03T05:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 47%9/20
Profit Factor 1.23x5/15
Sharpe 0.0982/15
Sortino 0.1762/10
EV $+2.37610/10
HHI 14110/10
Profit Days 48%5/10
DD/Peak 95%0/10

Summary

Novoreto is an experienced and moderately active trader on Polymarket, currently ranked #212 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 116 days, they have executed 17,608 trades across 199 markets, generating a total volume exceeding $21.6 million. Their net profit stands at $829,221.83, reflecting significant cumulative gains, though their portfolio value has recently been in decline. Novoreto holds a smart score of 42/100, indicating average trading effectiveness.

The trader’s style leans towards high volume and frequent trading with a low win rate of 13.4%, coupled with a profit factor of 0.29, suggesting many losses relative to gains. Novoreto engages in primarily manual and semi-automated strategies, as indicated by a bot score of 50/100. They avoid weather markets and show a low percentage of sell trades, preferring to hold positions (diamond hands), which aligns with their top badges such as contrarian and high roller. Their risk profile appears aggressive, demonstrated by a low Sharpe ratio of 0.10 and a downward equity trend.

Novoreto’s key strength lies in their ability to generate large total volume and maintain profitability despite a low win rate, possibly capitalizing on high-risk, high-reward opportunities. However, the declining portfolio value and low profit factor suggest sustainability risks. Their minimal drawdown duration is a positive sign, but the downward equity trend highlights potential vulnerability in current market conditions. Traders observing novoreto on Polymarket should consider both the trader’s volume-driven approach and the associated volatility.

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+829,222
Contrarian
60% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
8% sell
Whale
$8,146,113
High Roller
$70,225/day

Categories

4
SPORTS#120$898,670Vol: $20,671,297
💰 FINANCE#643,607$-19,696Vol: $298,061
🎭 CULTURE#792,243$-444Vol: $221,683
🏛️ POLITICS#1,609,986$-7,952Vol: $86,480

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$829,222
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,626,363
Total Redeem
$2,393,682
Portfolio
$199,513
Predictions
199
total markets
Trades
16212B / 1396S
Daily Volume
$70,225
Account Age
102d
since Mar 26, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$1,041
Vol: $0
Week
$-16,467
Vol: $151
Month
$-4,025
Vol: $151
All Time
$829,222
Vol: $21,626,363

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
47%
66W / 75L events
Realized PnL
$965,625
Win Rate
13%
25W / 161L
Profit Factor
0.29x
Avg Win
$66,788
Avg Loss
$-35,528

Top Winners

Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda$543,285
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas$323,677
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$152,290
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Miomir Kecmanovic$91,447
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$87,650
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5$76,985
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$64,946
Penguins vs. Devils$55,505
Flyers vs. Red Wings$44,831
Canadiens vs. Rangers$39,267

Top Losers

Rangers vs. Lightning$-247,055
Lightning vs. Sabres$-227,830
Blues vs. Utah$-203,988
Ducks vs. Predators$-203,798
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi$-201,530
Wild vs. Stars$-168,135
Devils vs. Rangers$-157,312
Golden Knights vs. Utah$-153,786
Canadiens vs. Sabres$-151,832
Red Wings vs. Panthers$-145,656

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.098
Sortino
0.176
HHI
141
Diversified
EV per $1
$2.377
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3%
Top-5 markets
13.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
181.7
Very active
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
22s
between trades
Avg Gap
5.3m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
8.12
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
13 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.2

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 22s — typical for humanSize CV 8.12 — diverse, typical for human15% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.02 — human randomness182 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
81.5
Heavy DCA
<=1
27 entries
<=2
42 entries
<=5
69 entries
<=10
89 entries
<=20
107 entries
<=50
128 entries
>50
71 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.1%
Mid (20-55c)56.3%
High (>55c)29.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 13.6%

Paris$152,290
Madrid$19,071
Los Angeles$-2,937
Dallas$-3,653
Other$-4,215,079

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
141

Single bracket

<=1
121 brackets
<=2
132 brackets
<=3
134 brackets
<=4
135 brackets
<=5
136 brackets
<=8
140 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/26/2026, 5:09:11 PM23 trades$16,7004 min
3/26/2026, 5:32:59 PM13 trades$6,40114 min
3/26/2026, 5:54:47 PM174 trades$13,05997 min
3/26/2026, 7:39:35 PM9 trades$479 min
3/26/2026, 7:54:41 PM9 trades$81714 min
3/26/2026, 11:35:33 PM1 trades$19,5860 min
3/27/2026, 5:28:07 AM45 trades$14,47512 min
3/27/2026, 2:54:15 PM58 trades$15,19913 min
3/27/2026, 3:19:01 PM2 trades$5762 min
3/27/2026, 3:41:57 PM29 trades$1,10627 min
3/27/2026, 4:14:45 PM25 trades$3,88635 min
3/27/2026, 4:54:35 PM118 trades$6,02591 min
3/27/2026, 6:34:07 PM3 trades$633 min
3/27/2026, 6:42:15 PM2 trades$42 min
3/27/2026, 6:58:03 PM3 trades$106 min
3/27/2026, 7:11:15 PM8 trades$1,93010 min
3/27/2026, 7:31:25 PM2 trades$10 min
3/27/2026, 7:37:59 PM1 trades$10 min
3/27/2026, 7:47:43 PM20 trades$72834 min
3/27/2026, 8:35:31 PM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-26
04-06
04-15
04-26
05-16
06-01
06-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 81.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event