Polydata

@novoreto

#1,28427

0x19254b55e7c48e88baab9e62cc218223a6544654

56d· 175 markets · 14472 tradesVol: $17,294,7592026-05-22T00:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 45%8/20
Profit Factor 1.04x3/15
Sharpe 0.0190/15
Sortino 0.0350/10
EV $+0.0422/10
HHI 17010/10
Profit Days 42%3/10
DD/Peak 628%0/10

Summary

Novoreto is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranked #1284 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $119,110.09 over 96 days. They have executed 14,472 trades across 175 markets, generating a total volume of over $17 million. Despite this activity, their Smart Score is below average at 27/100, and their portfolio value currently stands at $207,094.55.

The trading style of novoreto appears to be high-volume and contrarian, with a low win rate of 43% and a profit factor of 0.33, indicating that losses outweigh gains. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.02 suggests very low risk-adjusted returns, and the trader holds positions with a sell percentage of just 8%, consistent with a diamond hands approach. Novoreto does not engage in weather markets and shows signs of a semi-automated strategy, blending manual and bot-driven trades.

Novoreto’s strengths include strong conviction in their positions and the ability to maintain a large volume of trades, but the downward equity trend and low profit factor highlight risks of sustained losses. Their contrarian and whale badges suggest a willingness to take large, unconventional bets, which may amplify both upside and downside. Continued monitoring is advised due to the inconsistent performance metrics despite the overall profitable net PnL.

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+119,110
Contrarian
65% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
8% sell
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
Whale
$6,498,808
High Roller
$67,696/day

Categories

4
SPORTS#513$133,448Vol: $16,587,919
💰 FINANCE#609,693$-4,362Vol: $298,061
🎭 CULTURE#771,804$-444Vol: $221,683
🏛️ POLITICS#1,546,490$-6,169Vol: $86,480

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$119,110
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,294,759
Total Redeem
$1,102,709
Portfolio
$207,095
Predictions
175
total markets
Trades
13318B / 1154S
Daily Volume
$67,696
Account Age
56d
since Mar 26, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$24,801
Vol: $52,282
Week
$183,737
Vol: $857,150
Month
$373,327
Vol: $2,662,894
All Time
$119,110
Vol: $17,294,759

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
44%
55W / 69L events
Realized PnL
$2,596,880
Win Rate
43%
40W / 53L
Profit Factor
0.33x
Avg Win
$20,520
Avg Loss
$-47,418

Top Winners

Canadiens vs. Sabres$184,571
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina$104,709
Hurricanes vs. Senators$82,201
Penguins vs. Devils$55,505
Sabres vs. Canadiens$50,729
Flyers vs. Red Wings$44,831
Golden Knights vs. Utah$44,100
Canadiens vs. Rangers$39,267
Canadiens vs. Sabres$36,638
Panthers vs. Rangers$25,083

Top Losers

Rangers vs. Lightning$-247,055
Blues vs. Utah$-203,988
Ducks vs. Predators$-203,798
Red Wings vs. Panthers$-145,656
Utah vs. Flames$-141,426
Rangers vs. Panthers$-96,814
Penguins vs. Lightning$-95,646
Capitals vs. Penguins$-94,995
Blues vs. Sharks$-92,784
Senators vs. Devils$-88,781

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.018
Sortino
0.035
HHI
170
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.043
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.8%
Top-5 markets
16.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
257.2
Very active
Markets / Day
3.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
24s
between trades
Avg Gap
5.1m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
8.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
13 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.2

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 24s — typical for humanSize CV 8.15 — diverse, typical for human17% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.03 — human randomness257 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
76.1
Heavy DCA
<=1
27 entries
<=2
41 entries
<=5
64 entries
<=10
79 entries
<=20
93 entries
<=50
113 entries
>50
62 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.8%
Mid (20-55c)58.1%
High (>55c)25.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 30.7%

Madrid$19,071
Los Angeles$44
Dallas$-3,105
Other$-1,708,380

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
124

Single bracket

<=1
107 brackets
<=2
116 brackets
<=3
117 brackets
<=4
119 brackets
<=5
120 brackets
<=8
123 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/26/2026, 5:09:11 PM23 trades$16,7004 min
3/26/2026, 5:32:59 PM13 trades$6,40114 min
3/26/2026, 5:54:47 PM174 trades$13,05997 min
3/26/2026, 7:39:35 PM9 trades$479 min
3/26/2026, 7:54:41 PM9 trades$81714 min
3/26/2026, 11:35:33 PM1 trades$19,5860 min
3/27/2026, 5:28:07 AM45 trades$14,47512 min
3/27/2026, 2:54:15 PM58 trades$15,19913 min
3/27/2026, 3:19:01 PM2 trades$5762 min
3/27/2026, 3:41:57 PM29 trades$1,10627 min
3/27/2026, 4:14:45 PM25 trades$3,88635 min
3/27/2026, 4:54:35 PM118 trades$6,02591 min
3/27/2026, 6:34:07 PM3 trades$633 min
3/27/2026, 6:42:15 PM2 trades$42 min
3/27/2026, 6:58:03 PM3 trades$106 min
3/27/2026, 7:11:15 PM8 trades$1,93010 min
3/27/2026, 7:31:25 PM2 trades$10 min
3/27/2026, 7:37:59 PM1 trades$10 min
3/27/2026, 7:47:43 PM20 trades$72834 min
3/27/2026, 8:35:31 PM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-26
04-04
04-11
04-18
04-30
05-15
05-22
05-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 76.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event