Polydata

@oVyg7f

#78730

0x5f390e4b7d6f06d6756a6c92afdbf7b3176aa78c

898d· 74018 markets · 91268 tradesVol: $44,845,5782026-06-26T13:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.02x0/15
HHI 40610/10
Profit Days 27%0/10

Summary

Trader oVyg7f ranks #787 on Polymarket’s global profit and loss leaderboard with a net PnL of $235,862.53. Over 895 days, they have executed 91,268 trades across 3,027 markets, totaling nearly $45 million in volume. Despite this high activity, oVyg7f’s win rate is low at 5.5%, and their profit factor stands at 0.02, indicating limited profitability per winning trade. Their Smart Score of 30/100 is below average, while the Bot Score of 50/100 suggests a mixed automated and manual trading approach.

oVyg7f predominantly trades weather markets, which constitute 67% of their activity, revealing a specialized market preference. Their style involves a relatively high-risk profile, reflected in a low Sharpe ratio of -0.21 and a short maximum drawdown duration of zero days. The trader tends to hold positions rather than frequently selling, with only 29% of trades being sells. The equity trend is upward, indicating capital growth despite the modest win rate and profit factor.

The main strength of oVyg7f lies in high trading volume and consistent market engagement, which has enabled a substantial net profit. However, the low win rate and profit factor highlight potential inefficiencies in trade selection or timing. The mixed bot-manual strategy may provide flexibility but could also contribute to inconsistent performance. Traders observing oVyg7f should note the risk of drawdowns and the challenge of sustaining profitability given the current metrics.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+235,863
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
Whale
$4,186,767
High Roller
$4,678/day

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,643$28,002Vol: $14,545,261
SPORTS#459$173,833Vol: $13,667,145
🌤️ WEATHER#79$18,380Vol: $5,697,985
🎭 CULTURE#1,140$6,763Vol: $4,569,736
📈 ECONOMICS#1,197$3,509Vol: $1,949,473
CRYPTO#19,179$2,082Vol: $1,920,875
💰 FINANCE#623,729$-272Vol: $697,804
💻 TECH#2,000$541Vol: $328,958
📢 MENTIONS#1,202$1,043Vol: $11,409

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$235,863
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$44,845,578
Total Redeem
$102
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
74018
total markets
Trades
64628B / 26640S
Daily Volume
$4,678
Account Age
898d
since Jan 12, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-10
Vol: $0
Month
$21
Vol: $0
All Time
$235,863
Vol: $44,845,578

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
221W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$248,626
Win Rate
6%
158W / 2705L
Profit Factor
0.02x
Avg Win
$391
Avg Loss
$-1,458

Top Winners

Will Cádiz CF win on 2025-12-13?$14,254
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Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2025-12-13?$3,369
Will Oxford United FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?$2,926
Will Red Star FC win on 2025-12-13?$2,679
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a dr$2,287
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential electio$1,810
Will 'Smile 2' gross $21-24m opening weekend?$1,801
Will 'Terrifier 3' gross between $16-19m opening weekend?$993
Will Brackley Town FC vs. Notts County FC end in a draw?$979

Top Losers

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-667,021
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-350,034
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?$-143,111
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-136,223
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential E$-135,268
Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?$-132,308
Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?$-76,285
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be elected the next president of South Korea?$-59,872
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?$-53,526
Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Pre$-34,988

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.213
Sortino
-0.184
HHI
406
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.934
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.1%
Top-5 markets
34.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
145.1
Very active
Markets / Day
4.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
16s
between trades
Avg Gap
14.8m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 16s — typical for humanSize CV 3.56 — diverse, typical for human21% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.10 — human randomness145 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
21.7
Heavy DCA
<=1
551 entries
<=2
831 entries
<=5
1438 entries
<=10
1897 entries
<=20
2309 entries
<=50
2733 entries
>50
250 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.4%
Mid (20-55c)11.6%
High (>55c)77%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 28.6%

Kiel win$430
São Paulo$13
Busan$-412
Kuala Lumpur$-464
Jakarta$-552
Helsinki$-576
Chongqing$-1,289
Paris$-1,535
Amsterdam$-1,687
Moscow$-1,712
Warsaw$-1,936
Ankara$-2,154
Wuhan$-2,360
San Francisco$-2,368
Tel Aviv$-2,693
Istanbul$-2,914
Taipei$-2,914
Chengdu$-2,987

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
3
Events covered
1007

Multi-bracket hedger

<=1
467 brackets
<=2
612 brackets
<=3
687 brackets
<=4
757 brackets
<=5
847 brackets
<=8
977 brackets
>8
30 brackets

Sessions

#12
8/7/2024, 9:05:04 AM2 trades$671 min
8/7/2024, 9:10:44 AM2 trades$670 min
8/7/2024, 9:27:42 AM2 trades$680 min
8/7/2024, 9:36:36 AM2 trades$680 min
8/14/2024, 9:13:38 AM1 trades$10 min
8/14/2024, 7:58:01 PM1 trades$00 min
8/14/2024, 8:03:21 PM1 trades$00 min
8/14/2024, 8:26:43 PM1 trades$00 min
8/14/2024, 8:55:59 PM1 trades$00 min
8/15/2024, 6:54:04 AM1 trades$00 min
8/15/2024, 7:03:04 AM1 trades$10 min
8/15/2024, 7:11:00 AM1 trades$40 min
8/15/2024, 7:37:33 AM1 trades$90 min
8/15/2024, 8:28:53 AM2 trades$01 min
8/15/2024, 8:50:13 AM2 trades$12 min
8/15/2024, 8:55:09 PM1 trades$00 min
8/16/2024, 6:08:13 AM1 trades$10 min
8/16/2024, 8:29:53 AM1 trades$10 min
8/16/2024, 6:05:14 PM1 trades$00 min
8/16/2024, 9:14:08 PM1 trades$00 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
12-06
04-09
10-26
01-03
02-25
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
67% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 21.7/mkt
Hedging
MULTI
avg 3 br/event