Polydata

@ololololololololo

#3,065,79718

0x2c4ca29d332c67d3ad7bf22b3cfe9486e3b1cb39

~237d· 151 markets · 4504 tradesVol: $6,406,5442026-07-31 13:21:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (58/137)6.2/20
0.76x (win $292,385 / loss $382,367)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.2030/15
Sortino -2.6310/10
$-0.0532 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 726 (137 markets)8.9/10
29/69 profitable days (42%)3/10
Max DD 767% of peak ($106,793 / $13,916)0/10

Badges

5
Lottery Player
40% entries < $0.20
Whale
$1,691,838 invested
High Roller
$1,577/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
94% maker orders

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#8,080$3,484Vol: $3,678,794
📈 ECONOMICS#681,382$-11,917Vol: $1,705,873
CRYPTO#1,671,209$-42,852Vol: $905,942
💰 FINANCE#653,532$-1,398Vol: $58,635
🎭 CULTURE#796,228$-232Vol: $17,477
SPORTS#1,782,166$-402Vol: $3,035

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-52,073
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,406,544
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
151
total markets
Trades
4047B / 457S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~237d

Periods

#2
Today
$98
Vol: $0
Week
$4,168
Vol: $155,903
Month
$31,733
Vol: $171,137
All Time
$-52,073
Vol: $6,406,544

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
42%
58W / 79L events
Realized PnL
$-52,092
Win Rate
42%
58W / 79L
Profit Factor
0.76x
Avg Win
$5,041
Avg Loss
$-4,840

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $109,293 (2.0980806583452067% of PnL)

Top Winners

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$55,570
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$27,473
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$26,250
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$19,604
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$15,687
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$15,602
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$14,704
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$14,035
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$11,656
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$10,002

Top Losers

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-129,242
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?$-55,058
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$-21,352
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-19,262
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?$-17,351
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-16,921
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$-8,819
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$-7,489
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?$-7,083
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?$-6,900

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.115
Sortino
-0.120
HHI
337
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.080
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.4%
Top-5 markets
33.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
40.9m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
9.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.6

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 176s — normal for humanCV 9.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal94% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
28.47
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)39.8%
Mid (20-55c)32.2%
High (>55c)27.9%

Sessions

#12
6/29/2026, 12:35:56 PM1 trades$191,1110 min
7/29/2026, 5:47:56 PM3 trades$111,1110 min
6/28/2026, 4:32:50 AM1 trades$94,4750 min
3/21/2026, 9:55:43 PM20 trades$77,69917 min
6/28/2026, 6:27:55 AM2 trades$76,4440 min
2/28/2026, 2:42:07 AM26 trades$71,07230 min
2/28/2026, 12:55:09 AM79 trades$70,12558 min
1/14/2026, 7:19:58 PM13 trades$59,2894 min
6/27/2026, 4:01:50 PM1 trades$46,4140 min
1/14/2026, 5:50:42 PM159 trades$34,81567 min
4/8/2026, 2:23:45 AM1 trades$27,8040 min
6/30/2026, 12:43:02 PM1 trades$26,6670 min
10/15/2024, 1:02:24 PM6 trades$25,51613 min
2/15/2026, 7:37:39 PM3 trades$22,3154 min
10/17/2024, 7:37:26 PM2 trades$22,0890 min
3/11/2025, 8:20:24 PM5 trades$21,3333 min
4/12/2026, 1:52:09 AM19 trades$19,9704 min
3/20/2026, 9:10:49 PM1 trades$19,3330 min
7/28/2026, 10:37:02 PM8 trades$17,0393 min
10/13/2024, 11:33:49 PM5 trades$14,6926 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2023-08-25 00:00:00
2024-02-15 00:00:00
2024-09-30 12:00:00
2025-05-31 12:00:00
2025-12-31 12:00:00
2026-03-10 00:00:00
2026-06-30 00:00:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 28.47/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L39.8 / M32.2 / H27.9