Polydata

@pb7

#6,82467

0x0d2ea4f8d00f92e280b107e3c87f9dc9b05cf1a2

247d· 5638 markets · 5105 tradesVol: $8,608,9352026-06-22T12:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

67
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 90%20/20
Profit Factor 0.02x0/15
Sharpe 0.3737/15
Sortino 1.38610/10
HHI 4510/10
Profit Days 91%10/10
DD/Peak 2%10/10

Summary

Trader pb7 is moderately active on Polymarket, having participated in 5,105 trades across 856 markets over 429 days. They currently rank #6824 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $20,833.72 and a portfolio valued at $124,761.91. Their overall Smart Score of 67/100 indicates good trading acumen, supported by a win rate of 79.1%, though their profit factor is notably low at 0.02, suggesting limited profitability per amount risked.

Pb7 primarily focuses on weather-related markets, which make up 85% of their trading volume. Their approach appears conservative, with a low sell percentage of 6% and a stable equity trend indicating minimal volatility. The trader’s Sharpe ratio of 0.37 shows modest risk-adjusted returns, and the zero-day max drawdown duration points to effective risk management. Their semi-bot style suggests a mix of automated and manual trading, emphasizing precision and disciplined averaging down, as reflected in badges like Sniper and DCA Master.

The strengths of pb7 lie in their consistency and specialization in weather markets, leveraging a methodical strategy that maintains stable equity and high win rates. Potential risks include the low profit factor and relatively low Sharpe ratio, which may limit upside potential and suggest that large gains are rare despite frequent wins. Overall, pb7’s performance on Polymarket demonstrates disciplined trading with controlled risk but modest profitability per trade.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

10
Sniper
Win Rate 90%
Profitable
PnL $+20,834
Diamond Hands
6% sell
DCA Master
avg 5.6 entries/market
Weather Pro
85% weather
Win Streak
606 wins in a row
Whale
$2,466,579
Consistent
73/80 days
High Roller
$5,750/day
Cool Head
DD 2%

Categories

6
🌤️ WEATHER#202$8,013Vol: $7,087,377
CRYPTO#3,006$14,880Vol: $1,336,226
📈 ECONOMICS#2,861$932Vol: $98,169
💰 FINANCE#11,910$197Vol: $21,210
🏛️ POLITICS#32,458$354Vol: $14,248
SPORTS#71,979$248Vol: $11,845

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$20,834
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,608,935
Total Redeem
$935,563
Portfolio
$124,762
Predictions
5638
total markets
Trades
4799B / 306S
Daily Volume
$5,750
Account Age
247d
since Oct 17, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-669
Vol: $32,911
Week
$-669
Vol: $112,036
Month
$2,523
Vol: $2,923,327
All Time
$20,834
Vol: $8,608,935

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
89%
154W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$21,963
Win Rate
79%
636W / 168L
Profit Factor
0.02x
Avg Win
$34
Avg Loss
$-7,147

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 18?$11,019
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 15?$2,330
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?$784
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 18?$701
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?$656
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?$601
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F $503
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$427
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$306
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$302

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$-41,792
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?$-35,266
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on Ma$-24,526
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?$-23,502
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on May 3$-22,865
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14$-20,862
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 5?$-19,930
Aster all time high by December 31?$-18,711
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?$-18,320
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 29?$-17,791

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.373
Sortino
1.386
HHI
45
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.495
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
7.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.6
Active
Markets / Day
3.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
37.4m
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 86s — typical for humanSize CV 2.38 — diverse, typical for human5% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.87 — human randomness21 trades/day — suspiciously high304 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.6
Active DCA
<=1
344 entries
<=2
428 entries
<=5
578 entries
<=10
713 entries
<=20
818 entries
<=50
855 entries
>50
1 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.5%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)99.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 20.4%

Sao Paulo$2,331
New York City$515
Singapore$94
Lucknow$61
Istanbul$31
Cape Town$22
Mexico City$21
Amsterdam$19
Wuhan$13
Madrid$13
Tel Aviv$12
Chengdu$12
Jeddah$12
Kuala Lumpur$11
Toronto$10
Warsaw$10
Chongqing$10
Guangzhou$8

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.2
Events covered
396

Moderate coverage

<=1
181 brackets
<=2
284 brackets
<=3
333 brackets
<=4
365 brackets
<=5
382 brackets
<=8
392 brackets
>8
4 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/17/2025, 5:36:58 PM1 trades$50 min
10/17/2025, 6:06:32 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
10/17/2025, 6:12:06 PM1 trades$4,0000 min
10/17/2025, 6:19:16 PM1 trades$5,0000 min
10/18/2025, 5:18:50 PM3 trades$14,9921 min
10/21/2025, 12:35:27 PM3 trades$16,0926 min
10/27/2025, 7:04:23 AM3 trades$19,0005 min
10/27/2025, 7:17:53 AM1 trades$6,9920 min
10/30/2025, 10:27:05 AM2 trades$7,0271 min
11/1/2025, 10:51:12 AM1 trades$5,0590 min
11/1/2025, 6:49:40 PM2 trades$10,0003 min
11/2/2025, 5:51:43 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
11/4/2025, 4:54:45 PM1 trades$4,0870 min
11/5/2025, 2:00:41 PM6 trades$13,8668 min
11/5/2025, 2:21:43 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
11/6/2025, 1:58:21 PM1 trades$3,3430 min
11/6/2025, 2:05:13 PM2 trades$6531 min
11/7/2025, 7:58:59 AM2 trades$8,0653 min
11/7/2025, 8:14:35 AM2 trades$132 min
11/7/2025, 12:53:39 PM2 trades$1,8301 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
12-31
04-01
04-29
05-14
06-01
06-22
01-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
85.2% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.2 br/event