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pikachusplace

@pikachusplace

#2,927,91982

0x6adcccb0ea0b93a66e67f0d7b2b625b135a8beba

268d· 339 markets · 8198 tradesVol: $19,884,882 @PikachusPlace2026-06-27T14:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 48%9/20
Profit Factor 4.67x15/15
Sharpe 0.50710/15
Sortino 3.49510/10
EV $+9.48910/10
HHI 14610/10
Profit Days 66%9/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Pikachusplace is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 8,198 trades executed across 302 markets over 420 days. Despite a high total volume of nearly $20 million, their net profit and loss stands at a significant loss of $643,225.54, placing them at rank #2,927,919 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their portfolio value is currently $223,549.33, indicating that although they have sustained losses overall, they maintain a sizable position in the market.

This trader’s strategy appears contrarian with a low win rate of 24.3% and a profit factor below 1 at 0.87, suggesting that losses exceed gains on average. Pikachusplace focuses on a wide variety of markets but avoids weather markets entirely and has a low sell percentage of 10%, which could indicate a long-term holding style or limited exit activity. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.51 points to moderate risk-adjusted returns, and the lack of drawdown duration suggests an ability to avoid prolonged downturns despite the overall negative PnL.

Pikachusplace’s strengths include a high Smart Score of 82/100 and badges indicating consistency, persistence, and willingness to hold positions through volatility. However, the substantial net losses and low win rate pose risks to capital sustainability. Their contrarian style may capitalize on unique opportunities but also exposes them to frequent losses, requiring careful monitoring. Overall, their activity on Polymarket reflects a high-volume, high-risk approach with mixed results.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Contrarian
89% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
10% sell
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
Whale
$4,071,466
Consistent
65/99 days
High Roller
$9,694/day
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

6
SPORTS#1,761,587$-283,914Vol: $3,390,535
🏛️ POLITICS#811$61,862Vol: $2,525,942
CRYPTO#511$69,144Vol: $1,745,543
💰 FINANCE#12$193,987Vol: $733,650
📈 ECONOMICS#666,443$-47,862Vol: $708,001
🎭 CULTURE#799,398$-2,460Vol: $76,592

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-643,226
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,884,882
Total Redeem
$564,853
Portfolio
$223,549
Predictions
339
total markets
Trades
7404B / 794S
Daily Volume
$9,694
Account Age
268d
since Oct 16, 2025

Periods

#2
Week
$19,197
Vol: $563,233
Month
$-630,983
Vol: $3,550,015
All Time
$-643,226
Vol: $19,884,882

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
48%
105W / 115L events
Realized PnL
$1,872,564
Win Rate
24%
59W / 184L
Profit Factor
0.87x
Avg Win
$19,035
Avg Loss
$-7,020

Top Winners

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$169,331
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$105,967
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April $89,977
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group $67,315
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$54,654
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2$51,392
Will the government shutdown end November 13?$41,806
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In$40,612
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$36,759
Miami vs. Texas A&M$31,712

Top Losers

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$-70,465
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1$-50,433
Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?$-34,944
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1$-30,113
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?$-29,984
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-28,450
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)$-24,990
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?$-24,885
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group St$-20,376
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)$-20,001

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.507
Sortino
3.495
HHI
146
Diversified
EV per $1
$9.489
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.6%
Top-5 markets
20.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
32.8
Active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
28s
between trades
Avg Gap
17.4m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 28s — typical for humanSize CV 5.92 — diverse, typical for human15% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.07 — human randomness33 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
24.5
Heavy DCA
<=1
97 entries
<=2
121 entries
<=5
152 entries
<=10
175 entries
<=20
214 entries
<=50
273 entries
>50
29 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.1%
Mid (20-55c)70.3%
High (>55c)3.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 55%

Miami$31,712
Houston$8,525
Paris$2
Milan$-3,291
Atlanta$-27,135
Other$-178,430

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
275

Single bracket

<=1
258 brackets
<=2
271 brackets
<=3
273 brackets
<=4
273 brackets
<=5
274 brackets
<=8
275 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/16/2025, 11:46:29 PM4 trades$4847 min
10/17/2025, 1:45:59 AM1 trades$2020 min
10/17/2025, 2:45:39 AM1 trades$680 min
10/17/2025, 3:04:59 AM1 trades$90 min
10/17/2025, 8:10:52 AM4 trades$1,5503 min
10/17/2025, 8:22:46 AM1 trades$2990 min
10/17/2025, 9:06:14 AM1 trades$2240 min
10/17/2025, 9:31:36 AM2 trades$461 min
10/17/2025, 11:38:00 AM1 trades$110 min
10/17/2025, 11:49:14 AM1 trades$260 min
10/17/2025, 11:54:26 AM1 trades$30 min
10/17/2025, 12:03:18 PM2 trades$485 min
10/17/2025, 12:22:22 PM1 trades$10 min
10/17/2025, 12:34:22 PM1 trades$80 min
10/17/2025, 12:47:56 PM1 trades$2630 min
10/17/2025, 1:05:44 PM1 trades$410 min
10/17/2025, 1:15:18 PM2 trades$81 min
10/17/2025, 1:32:16 PM1 trades$10 min
10/17/2025, 1:55:36 PM5 trades$1,0845 min
10/17/2025, 2:08:12 PM1 trades$1990 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
12-03
01-09
02-03
02-21
04-17
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 24.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event