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@pplyone01

#2,538,86942

0x59805c9940d4bd3c642147d97fec663fe1c2b41f

164d· 1671 markets · 532 tradesVol: $18,2822026-07-09T03:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.99x2/15
HHI 3910/10
Profit Days 86%10/10

Summary

Pplyone01 is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 532 trades across 336 markets over 145 days. Despite a high win rate of 68.9%, their net PnL stands at -$116.47, placing them at rank #2,538,869 on the global PnL leaderboard. The trader has generated a total volume of $18,282, but their profit factor of 0.99 and Sharpe ratio near zero indicate minimal profitability and limited risk-adjusted returns.

This trader appears to favor a consistent, low-risk approach, as indicated by their average Smart Score of 42 and a sell percentage of 32%. Pplyone01 avoids weather markets entirely and seems to focus on timing trades to capture short-term gains, supported by badges such as Sniper and Win Streak. Their strategy likely involves entering positions with reasonable confidence and closing them quickly, as suggested by a maximum drawdown duration of zero days and an upward equity trend.

Pplyone01’s strengths lie in consistency and a disciplined, steady trading style that avoids prolonged losses. However, the nearly break-even profit factor and negative net PnL highlight potential challenges in achieving sustainable profitability on Polymarket. The low Bot Score implies human decision-making, which may benefit adaptability but also exposes the trader to emotional influences and missed optimization opportunities.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

3
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Win Streak
113 wins in a row
Consistent
51/59 days

Categories

1
CRYPTO#1,452,437$-116Vol: $18,282

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-116
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,282
Total Redeem
$421
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1671
total markets
Trades
364B / 168S
Daily Volume
$9
Account Age
164d
since Feb 1, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
250W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$660
Win Rate
69%
206W / 93L
Profit Factor
0.99x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-5

Top Winners

Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$5
Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$5
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$5
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$5
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$4
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$4
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$4
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$4
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$4

Top Losers

Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$-8
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$-8
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$-8
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$-8
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$-7
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$-7
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$-7
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$-7
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$-7
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$-7

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.001
Sortino
-0.001
HHI
39
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
17.4%
Half-Kelly
8.7%
Top-1 market
0.8%
Top-5 markets
4.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
27.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1618s — typical for humanSize CV 0.59 — diverse, typical for human28% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.98 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.1
Single entry
<=1
312 entries
<=2
333 entries
<=5
336 entries
<=10
336 entries
<=20
336 entries
<=50
336 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.9%
Mid (20-55c)35.2%
High (>55c)58%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 54.2%

Other$-3

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
336

Single bracket

<=1
336 brackets
<=2
336 brackets
<=3
336 brackets
<=4
336 brackets
<=5
336 brackets
<=8
336 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/3/2026, 11:20:06 AM1 trades$30 min
2/4/2026, 2:03:44 PM1 trades$30 min
2/4/2026, 3:05:28 PM1 trades$40 min
2/4/2026, 6:19:29 PM1 trades$40 min
2/4/2026, 8:05:07 PM1 trades$40 min
2/4/2026, 9:37:39 PM1 trades$40 min
2/5/2026, 12:05:09 AM1 trades$40 min
2/5/2026, 3:52:17 AM1 trades$50 min
2/5/2026, 4:19:15 AM1 trades$50 min
2/5/2026, 4:50:05 AM1 trades$50 min
2/5/2026, 6:20:41 AM1 trades$50 min
2/5/2026, 7:19:59 AM1 trades$60 min
2/5/2026, 8:04:07 AM1 trades$60 min
2/5/2026, 8:20:39 AM1 trades$60 min
2/5/2026, 8:39:07 AM1 trades$60 min
2/5/2026, 8:51:07 AM1 trades$60 min
2/5/2026, 9:05:13 AM1 trades$60 min
2/5/2026, 9:35:45 AM2 trades$60 min
2/5/2026, 9:51:19 AM1 trades$60 min
2/5/2026, 11:35:25 AM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-03
02-12
03-01
05-06
05-17
05-30
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.6% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event