Polydata
pugdev

@pugdev

#3,056,13138

0xb8a717fed80eab7258a9ff6ba9961908691d7674

~69d· 101 markets · 3058 tradesVol: $3,228,3222026-07-31 19:26:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (60/89)18.7/20
0.72x (win $168,521 / loss $235,478)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8970/15
Sortino -0.9230/10
$-0.0328 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 664 (89 markets)9.2/10
31/42 profitable days (74%)10/10
Max DD 154% of peak ($213,279 / $138,821)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 67%
DCA Master
Avg 29.8 entries/market
Whale
$2,041,893 invested
Consistent
31/42 profitable days
High Roller
$7,619/day
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,591,350$-460Vol: $2,770,280
📈 ECONOMICS#680,503$-3,781Vol: $333,404
💰 FINANCE#652,073$-933Vol: $12,190
SPORTS#1,838,936$-1,361Vol: $12,118
CRYPTO#1,394,605$-53Vol: $510

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-12,116
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,228,322
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
101
total markets
Trades
1013B / 2045S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~69d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-9,612
Vol: $280,131
All Time
$-12,116
Vol: $3,228,322

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
67%
60W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$-12,116
Win Rate
67%
60W / 29L
Profit Factor
0.72x
Avg Win
$2,809
Avg Loss
$-8,120

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $66,997 (5.529786194419132% of PnL)

Top Winners

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$30,761
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$19,196
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$17,040
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$16,168
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$10,852
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$9,746
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$8,931
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$8,754
Iran leadership change by April 30?$5,888
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5,186

Top Losers

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-213,279
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-9,717
Netanyahu out by June 30?$-3,625
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-1,535
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$-1,497
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-1,257
Government shutdown on Saturday?$-978
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-861
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$-812
Penguins vs. Flyers$-550

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.046
Sortino
-0.025
HHI
563
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.035
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.3%
Top-5 markets
45.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.4
Active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
56s
between trades
Avg Gap
38.1m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
35.7

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 56s — normal for humanCV 2.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active0.4 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
29.81
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.8%
Mid (20-55c)1.5%
High (>55c)93.7%

Sessions

#12
4/23/2026, 6:31:50 PM101 trades$161,85316 min
3/30/2026, 6:01:13 PM3 trades$141,8100 min
3/9/2026, 2:22:03 AM8 trades$132,8809 min
3/9/2026, 2:07:57 AM4 trades$122,5303 min
6/1/2026, 2:56:30 PM90 trades$121,13015 min
3/3/2026, 3:05:15 AM8 trades$118,0584 min
4/3/2026, 4:54:57 PM67 trades$114,0972 min
3/31/2026, 12:27:49 AM2 trades$106,4002 min
2/13/2026, 1:35:25 PM13 trades$101,03516 min
4/22/2026, 6:55:26 PM31 trades$99,8341 min
6/12/2026, 4:21:22 PM32 trades$97,9371 min
1/20/2026, 7:06:54 AM15 trades$97,56614 min
4/22/2026, 7:01:46 PM48 trades$93,0565 min
5/27/2026, 3:34:29 PM64 trades$83,4917 min
3/5/2026, 4:49:55 PM6 trades$76,6885 min
4/2/2026, 7:27:39 PM9 trades$66,5942 min
6/2/2026, 2:48:56 PM77 trades$66,35211 min
4/8/2026, 3:59:15 AM95 trades$64,12516 min
6/1/2026, 2:08:07 PM127 trades$62,81617 min
7/11/2026, 5:34:46 PM167 trades$60,1224 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-26
02-28
03-15
04-22
05-25
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
66.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 29.81/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.8 / M1.5 / H93.7