Polydata

@rajulu

#2,955,16595

0x1dd63a243da7c85c56fd88dd81a77fc144378577

221d· 2241 markets · 2322 tradesVol: $738,082 @Yokesh_K2026-07-03T00:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

95
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 90%20/20
Profit Factor 70.92x15/15
Sharpe 0.55410/15
Sortino 7.90910/10
EV $+69.36610/10
HHI 6310/10
Profit Days 90%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Rajulu is an active Polymarket trader with 2,322 trades across 960 markets over 400 days. Despite a high volume of $738,082, their net PnL stands at negative $20,630.44, placing them at rank #2,955,165 globally. Rajulu holds an elite Smart Score of 95/100, reflecting strong analytical skills and consistent performance metrics, but their portfolio value remains low at $8.64. The trader’s Sharpe ratio is moderate at 0.55, indicating modest risk-adjusted returns.

Rajulu favors a contrarian and sniper trading style, focusing on precision and timing rather than volume, as suggested by a 29% sell rate and no exposure to weather markets. Their 84.9% win rate and profit factor of 4.32 highlight effective trade selection and risk management. Rajulu’s strategy appears to emphasize steady, consistent returns rather than aggressive risk-taking, supported by a zero-day max drawdown duration and a flat equity trend. The low bot score of 20/100 suggests trades are executed manually with a fast interface.

Key strengths for Rajulu include a high win rate, strong profit factor, and consistent equity performance, which contribute to their elite Smart Score. However, the substantial net loss and very low portfolio value raise concerns about capital preservation and long-term profitability on Polymarket. Additionally, the limited diversification away from sell-side trades and weather markets might restrict upside potential amid market volatility.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 90%
Contrarian
56% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
38 wins in a row
Whale
$71,407
Consistent
64/71 days
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

8
CRYPTO#1,619,477$-13,722Vol: $461,794
SPORTS#1,782,492$-6,874Vol: $255,396
🌤️ WEATHER#267,563$-54Vol: $6,540
📈 ECONOMICS#622,191$-28Vol: $4,207
🏛️ POLITICS#30,442$400Vol: $1,795
💻 TECH#218,230$-11Vol: $1,223
💰 FINANCE#17,505$101Vol: $1,192
🎭 CULTURE#520,074$-1Vol: $400

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-20,630
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$738,082
Total Redeem
$1,381
Portfolio
$9
Predictions
2241
total markets
Trades
1640B / 682S
Daily Volume
$179
Account Age
221d
since Nov 26, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-166
Vol: $2,488
Week
$-393
Vol: $9,320
Month
$-184
Vol: $2,595
All Time
$-20,630
Vol: $738,082

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
91%
249W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$50,286
Win Rate
85%
213W / 38L
Profit Factor
4.32x
Avg Win
$166
Avg Loss
$-215

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,685 (13.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

Wizards vs. Nuggets$1,239
Duke Blue Devils vs. Louisville Cardinals$1,226
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 3)$1,220
Brisbane International: Marie Bouzkova vs Paula Badosa$1,078
Cavaliers vs. 76ers$989
ASB Classic: Eliot Spizzirri vs Fabian Marozsan$861
Brisbane International: Kamil Majchrzak vs Reilly Opelka$817
Santiago: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Gonzalo Bueno$757
Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$733
Suns vs. Pistons$711

Top Losers

Jazz vs. Mavericks$-1,247
Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$-528
Open Sud de France: Titouan Droguet vs Aleksandar Kovacevic$-463
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$-425
India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)$-346
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$-346
Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$-337
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$-315
Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$-309
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$-309

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.554
Sortino
7.909
HHI
63
Diversified
EV per $1
$69.366
Kelly %
71.7%
Half-Kelly
35.9%
Top-1 market
2.7%
Top-5 markets
10.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.1
Active
Markets / Day
4.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
34.4m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 242s — typical for humanSize CV 2.36 — diverse, typical for human11% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.84 — human randomness11 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.7
Single entry
<=1
702 entries
<=2
822 entries
<=5
918 entries
<=10
951 entries
<=20
958 entries
<=50
959 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.6%
Mid (20-55c)64%
High (>55c)28.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 67.4%

Other$27,105
Los Angeles$5
Toronto$0
Milan$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
957

Single bracket

<=1
956 brackets
<=2
956 brackets
<=3
956 brackets
<=4
957 brackets
<=5
957 brackets
<=8
957 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/4/2025, 9:00:45 AM8 trades$1130 min
12/4/2025, 9:08:11 AM7 trades$2110 min
12/4/2025, 11:46:43 AM4 trades$2400 min
12/4/2025, 11:53:13 AM3 trades$5116 min
12/4/2025, 12:11:03 PM12 trades$5172 min
12/4/2025, 12:30:07 PM19 trades$2495 min
12/4/2025, 12:41:59 PM8 trades$4420 min
12/4/2025, 1:10:23 PM1 trades$1040 min
12/4/2025, 1:17:15 PM1 trades$2000 min
12/4/2025, 1:24:35 PM21 trades$8249 min
12/4/2025, 1:41:39 PM8 trades$5310 min
12/4/2025, 1:55:59 PM6 trades$8624 min
12/4/2025, 2:24:43 PM4 trades$5333 min
12/4/2025, 2:58:33 PM2 trades$2583 min
12/4/2025, 3:12:03 PM1 trades$4750 min
12/4/2025, 3:30:43 PM7 trades$1700 min
12/4/2025, 3:39:33 PM5 trades$4950 min
12/4/2025, 5:00:37 PM13 trades$3373 min
12/4/2025, 5:44:37 PM10 trades$3822 min
12/4/2025, 5:55:27 PM2 trades$8254 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-26
12-11
01-18
03-13
04-05
05-29
07-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.4% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event