Polydata

@ramadamaramadam

#2,951,93917

0x5b4ec9c06b284ee52c41a761974d836992880232

55d· 44 markets · 1049 tradesVol: $10,488,1802026-07-01T11:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 38%4/20
Profit Factor 0.31x0/15
HHI 50210/10
Profit Days 41%3/10
DD/Peak 621%0/10

Summary

Ramadamaramadam is a relatively new and highly active trader on Polymarket, with 1,049 trades across 44 markets over 73 days. Despite a high win rate of 95.8% and a large total volume of over $10 million, their overall net PnL is significantly negative at -$746,973.30, placing them at rank #2,951,939 globally. Their portfolio value has declined to $4,397.46, and the equity trend shows a consistent downward trajectory.

Ramadamaramadam appears to favor a contrarian and dollar-cost averaging strategy, suggested by badges like Contrarian and DCA Master. Their trades exhibit a very low sell percentage of 1%, indicating a strong tendency to hold positions for extended periods, consistent with their Diamond Hands badge. The trader's approach suggests a high-risk profile, as reflected by the negative Sharpe ratio of -0.38 and a profit factor that may be skewed by the unusual combination of a high win rate but large losses. They do not engage with weather markets and are likely trading manually, given the bot score.

The main strength of ramadamaramadam lies in their volume and consistency in trading, as well as their ability to maintain long-term positions. However, their significant net losses and declining equity raise concerns about risk management and strategy effectiveness on Polymarket. The discrepancy between a high win rate and large overall losses suggests possible issues in trade sizing or market selection, which could jeopardize future performance if not addressed.

Badges

6
Contrarian
81% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
1% sell
DCA Master
avg 23.7 entries/market
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
Whale
$3,649,004
High Roller
$49,986/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,781,283$-746,973Vol: $10,488,180

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-746,973
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,488,180
Total Redeem
$2,751,290
Portfolio
$4,397
Predictions
44
total markets
Trades
1041B / 8S
Daily Volume
$49,986
Account Age
55d
since May 8, 2026

Periods

#2
Week
$-391,723
Vol: $778,731
All Time
$-746,973
Vol: $10,488,180

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
40%
14W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$579,292
Win Rate
96%
23W / 1L
Profit Factor
41.95x
Avg Win
$54,254
Avg Loss
$-29,748

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $461,562 (37.9% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will England win on 2026-06-17?$252,000
Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5$105,390
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5$104,172
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5$103,193
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)$98,000
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners$94,952
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$82,157
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5$65,633
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5$64,018
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5$55,810

Top Losers

Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5$-29,748

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.379
Sortino
-0.381
HHI
502
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.704
Kelly %
94.6%
Half-Kelly
47.3%
Top-1 market
10.4%
Top-5 markets
41.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.2
Active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
4s
between trades
Avg Gap
20.5m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.9

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
55% < 5s — fast clicker/botSize CV 6.14 — diverse, typical for human2% at night — normal sleep pattern13/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 0.89 — human randomness20 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
23.7
Heavy DCA
<=1
20 entries
<=2
26 entries
<=5
31 entries
<=10
36 entries
<=20
38 entries
<=50
42 entries
>50
2 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.4%
Mid (20-55c)91.2%
High (>55c)8.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 24.7%

Other$979,919
Chicago$159,144
Seattle$94,952
Houston$13,817
Miami$0
Atlanta$-29,748

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
43

Single bracket

<=1
43 brackets
<=2
43 brackets
<=3
43 brackets
<=4
43 brackets
<=5
43 brackets
<=8
43 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/8/2026, 8:22:44 PM1 trades$16,8920 min
5/8/2026, 8:57:39 PM1 trades$6,0050 min
5/8/2026, 10:23:41 PM4 trades$7,9054 min
5/8/2026, 10:33:12 PM3 trades$24,9553 min
5/9/2026, 12:51:16 AM1 trades$59,9830 min
5/9/2026, 12:57:41 AM1 trades$35,9890 min
5/9/2026, 1:43:53 AM9 trades$10,0033 min
5/10/2026, 1:04:04 AM1 trades$31,9150 min
5/10/2026, 11:34:27 PM1 trades$102,0000 min
5/12/2026, 4:37:15 PM3 trades$130,8151 min
5/14/2026, 9:29:41 PM1 trades$31,2780 min
5/14/2026, 10:16:54 PM41 trades$70027 min
5/14/2026, 11:05:03 PM1 trades$58,0880 min
5/15/2026, 8:03:52 PM1 trades$31,3150 min
5/15/2026, 10:29:21 PM27 trades$218,59211 min
5/15/2026, 11:42:30 PM1 trades$5,5690 min
5/15/2026, 11:50:45 PM1 trades$7,6500 min
5/18/2026, 6:58:31 PM1 trades$1,8000 min
5/20/2026, 6:12:04 PM3 trades$7,8273 min
5/20/2026, 6:23:37 PM25 trades$23,3497 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-08
05-14
05-20
05-25
06-02
06-18
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 23.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event