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@restart77

#39482

0xe40ea00e74059c76c0035c919ef6b99c3e25a94d

495d· 741 markets · 20811 tradesVol: $121,821,1212026-06-27T10:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 65%17/20
Profit Factor 7.76x15/15
Sharpe 0.1403/15
Sortino 40.30310/10
EV $+6.50510/10
HHI 11427/10
Profit Days 95%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Restart77 is an experienced Polymarket trader ranked #394 on the global PnL leaderboard, with a net profit of $457,657.48. Over 672 days, they have executed 20,811 trades across 283 markets, generating a total trading volume exceeding $121 million. Their smart score of 82/100 reflects very good trading performance, supported by a consistent upward equity trend and a portfolio value of approximately $104,000.

The trading style of restart77 leans towards a semi-automated approach, indicated by a bot score of 60/100, blending both algorithmic and manual decisions. They favor frequent selling, with 94% of trades being sells, and maintain a moderate risk profile as shown by a 58.8% win rate and profit factor of 3.71. Restart77 appears to use strategies such as dollar-cost averaging and hedging, as suggested by their badges, and they avoid weather markets entirely. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.14 implies modest risk-adjusted returns, and they show no prolonged drawdowns, indicating solid timing and risk management.

Restart77’s key strengths include high volume trading with a robust profit factor and a steady upward equity curve, supported by disciplined risk controls and a diversified market approach. However, the relatively low Sharpe ratio and semi-bot trading style may expose them to volatility or execution risks. Overall, restart77 demonstrates a strong, systematic approach on Polymarket but may face challenges managing market fluctuations under automated strategies.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 65%
Profitable
PnL $+457,657
DCA Master
avg 6.4 entries/market
Hedger
avg 6.9 brackets/event
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
Whale
$384,022
Consistent
53/56 days
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

3
SPORTS#235$412,547Vol: $119,256,246
CRYPTO#841$45,220Vol: $2,564,741
🏛️ POLITICS#1,500,322$-110Vol: $134

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$457,657
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$121,821,121
Total Redeem
$37,908
Portfolio
$103,799
Predictions
741
total markets
Trades
1256B / 19555S
Daily Volume
$571
Account Age
495d
since Feb 23, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-1,648
Vol: $64,850
Week
$-4,052
Vol: $2,159,792
Month
$-5,205
Vol: $5,378,807
All Time
$457,657
Vol: $121,821,121

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
85%
83W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$1,523,015
Win Rate
59%
77W / 54L
Profit Factor
3.71x
Avg Win
$4,823
Avg Loss
$-1,855

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $183,508 (67.7% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$92,439
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$46,804
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$44,266
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$42,739
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$36,307
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$28,682
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25,350
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$24,364
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8,216
Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 2 United States?$4,619

Top Losers

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-56,579
Exact Score: Egypt 3 - 3 IR Iran?$-1,479
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Canada?$-1,350
Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2 - 1 Qatar?$-1,335
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 1 Germany?$-1,335
Exact Score: Senegal 1 - 0 Iraq?$-1,335
Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 0 Spain?$-1,335
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 France?$-1,320
Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2 - 0 Qatar?$-1,320
Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 2 Spain?$-1,305

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.140
Sortino
40.303
HHI
1142
Moderate
EV per $1
$6.505
Kelly %
56.6%
Half-Kelly
28.3%
Top-1 market
23.1%
Top-5 markets
59.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
118.2
Very active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.9m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 67s — typical for humanSize CV 6.57 — diverse, typical for human18% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.86 — human randomness118 trades/day — automation515 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.4
Active DCA
<=1
49 entries
<=2
77 entries
<=5
124 entries
<=10
159 entries
<=20
184 entries
<=50
197 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1%
Mid (20-55c)0.2%
High (>55c)98.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 41.2%

Other$271,214

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
6.9
Events covered
41

Multi-bracket hedger

<=1
8 brackets
<=2
11 brackets
<=3
12 brackets
<=4
13 brackets
<=5
16 brackets
<=8
27 brackets
>8
14 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/2/2026, 10:26:37 AM1 trades$10 min
1/2/2026, 2:50:21 PM3 trades$200 min
1/3/2026, 4:32:15 PM1 trades$850 min
1/4/2026, 9:31:59 PM3 trades$2,2575 min
1/5/2026, 6:35:27 AM2 trades$5862 min
1/5/2026, 7:17:15 AM1 trades$2670 min
1/5/2026, 7:38:23 AM2 trades$102 min
1/7/2026, 6:43:11 PM1 trades$2830 min
1/9/2026, 4:22:24 PM1 trades$1100 min
1/10/2026, 7:05:02 AM1 trades$460 min
1/19/2026, 7:42:10 AM1 trades$40 min
1/21/2026, 5:03:24 PM4 trades$462 min
2/3/2026, 6:53:34 PM1 trades$480 min
2/5/2026, 8:15:57 AM1 trades$1370 min
3/7/2026, 2:35:29 PM2 trades$21 min
3/7/2026, 2:57:49 PM1 trades$00 min
3/7/2026, 3:24:41 PM3 trades$292 min
3/7/2026, 3:32:17 PM1 trades$1000 min
3/7/2026, 3:39:07 PM1 trades$30 min
3/7/2026, 4:07:11 PM1 trades$30 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
03-15
03-30
04-30
12-01
06-01
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
94% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.4/mkt
Hedging
MULTI
avg 6.9 br/event