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@rvmazal5

#2,820,73854

0x35fa1d234bb55c1100077d51f6ad7dba0f41e6a6

124d· 2108 markets · 3304 tradesVol: $377,7692026-06-18T01:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

54
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 96%20/20
Profit Factor 1.57x10/15
Sharpe 0.1433/15
Sortino 0.1391/10
EV $+0.0131/10
HHI 2310/10
Profit Days 67%9/10
DD/Peak 136%0/10

Summary

Trader rvmazal5 is moderately active on Polymarket, having made 3,304 trades across 1,153 markets over 195 days. Despite a high volume of $377,769, their net PnL currently stands at -$2,343.23, placing them at rank #2,820,738 on the global leaderboard. Their smart score is average at 54/100, and the portfolio value is relatively low at $21.20, reflecting a recent downward balance despite consistent activity.

Rvmazal5 favors weather-related markets, which constitute 25% of their trades, and exhibits a low sell percentage of 4%, indicating a tendency to hold positions for longer durations. Their risk profile appears moderate, with a profit factor of 1.57 and a win rate of 82.8%, suggesting consistent but modest gains. The trader shows a combination of manual and automated strategies, evidenced by a semi-bot score of 40/100 and badges like Sniper and Diamond Hands, implying disciplined timing and sustained position holding.

The key strengths of rvmazal5 include a strong win rate and consistent trading style, supported by an upward equity trend and minimal drawdown duration. However, their negative net PnL and low Sharpe ratio of 0.14 highlight challenges in converting wins into overall profitability. The semi-bot approach may introduce execution risks, and the relatively low portfolio value raises questions about capital allocation efficiency on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 96%
Diamond Hands
4% sell
Win Streak
623 wins in a row
Whale
$143,383
Consistent
38/57 days

Categories

8
CRYPTO#1,561,811$-1,969Vol: $258,695
🌤️ WEATHER#278,590$-605Vol: $77,153
🏛️ POLITICS#31,326$375Vol: $22,798
💰 FINANCE#610,439$-120Vol: $6,283
📈 ECONOMICS#67,614$3Vol: $4,522
SPORTS#94,343$131Vol: $2,602
🎭 CULTURE#770,297$-136Vol: $1,226
📢 MENTIONS#50,703$0Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,343
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$377,769
Total Redeem
$136,943
Portfolio
$21
Predictions
2108
total markets
Trades
3171B / 133S
Daily Volume
$735
Account Age
124d
since Mar 6, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-1,009
Vol: $29,994
Month
$-765
Vol: $81,162
All Time
$-2,343
Vol: $377,769

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
98%
244W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$3,466
Win Rate
83%
634W / 132L
Profit Factor
1.57x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-24

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,040 (57.4% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$449
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$402
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$190
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$184
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$130
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$129
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$127
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$94
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$93
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$83

Top Losers

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 20?$-157
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 20?$-157
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 202$-148
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-110
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$-75
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$-50

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.143
Sortino
0.139
HHI
23
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.5%
Top-5 markets
2.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
36.8
Active
Markets / Day
12.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
31.3m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 70s — typical for humanSize CV 1.85 — diverse, typical for human10% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.93 — human randomness37 trades/day — suspiciously high13 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.8
Moderate DCA
<=1
605 entries
<=2
765 entries
<=5
1014 entries
<=10
1116 entries
<=20
1151 entries
<=50
1153 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24.9%
Mid (20-55c)5.1%
High (>55c)69.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 96.6%

Other$1,753
Madrid$75
London$0
New York City$0
Los Angeles$0
Chicago$0
Dallas$0
Houston$0
Seattle$0
Denver$0
Paris$0
Tokyo$0
Beijing$0
Shanghai$0
Kuala Lumpur$0
Jakarta$0
Amsterdam$0
Warsaw$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
982

Single bracket

<=1
898 brackets
<=2
937 brackets
<=3
963 brackets
<=4
972 brackets
<=5
975 brackets
<=8
982 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/20/2026, 6:49:43 AM3 trades$1480 min
3/20/2026, 1:07:01 PM1 trades$1570 min
3/20/2026, 3:56:17 PM3 trades$1570 min
3/24/2026, 6:04:11 PM2 trades$60 min
3/24/2026, 7:07:17 PM18 trades$5210 min
3/25/2026, 7:48:55 AM2 trades$63 min
3/25/2026, 8:48:57 AM2 trades$82 min
3/25/2026, 8:56:07 AM1 trades$30 min
3/25/2026, 10:10:01 AM2 trades$61 min
3/25/2026, 10:49:05 AM2 trades$62 min
3/25/2026, 12:38:43 PM4 trades$130 min
3/25/2026, 12:46:35 PM3 trades$100 min
3/25/2026, 1:16:07 PM18 trades$751 min
3/25/2026, 7:11:21 PM3 trades$120 min
3/25/2026, 7:46:05 PM1 trades$100 min
3/26/2026, 6:51:39 AM2 trades$70 min
3/26/2026, 8:06:05 AM1 trades$70 min
3/26/2026, 8:22:05 AM1 trades$100 min
3/26/2026, 1:31:05 PM1 trades$70 min
3/26/2026, 2:26:07 PM3 trades$100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-20
04-13
04-22
05-13
05-22
06-01
06-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
25.1% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event