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@sep22

#3,006,04975

0xd179df5741623d36c931646d1778ccd7874774ad

244d· 1046 markets · 8434 tradesVol: $6,976,2312026-07-12T14:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 77%20/20
Profit Factor 0.07x0/15
Sharpe 1.10815/15
Sortino 4.07810/10
HHI 3910/10
Profit Days 90%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Trader sep22 is moderately active on Polymarket, with 8,434 trades over 199 days across 390 markets. Despite a very high trading volume of nearly $7 million, sep22 holds a negative net PnL of approximately $20,779, positioning them at rank #3,006,049 on the global leaderboard. The trader has a Smart Score of 75/100, indicating solid trading acumen, but a low profit factor of 0.07 reflects challenges in turning volume into consistent profits.

Sep22 exhibits a mixed trading style, favoring a broad range of markets rather than specializing in weather or niche areas. Their win rate of 47.3% suggests a nearly even split between winning and losing trades, complemented by a Sharpe Ratio of 1.11, indicating moderate risk-adjusted returns. The trader’s portfolio remains stable and flat, with minimal drawdown duration, hinting at disciplined risk management. Sep22’s low sell percentage (10%) and a Bot Score of 50/100 imply a hybrid approach combining automated and manual strategies, potentially using dollar-cost averaging techniques as highlighted by their badges.

Key strengths for sep22 include consistent trading activity and a stable equity trend, supported by badges like Sniper and DCA Master. However, the substantial net losses and low profit factor raise concerns about the overall effectiveness of their strategy on Polymarket. While the trader maintains control over drawdowns, the challenge remains converting high volume into profitability, which could limit long-term success without strategic adjustments.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 77%
DCA Master
avg 19.5 entries/market
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
Whale
$1,326,921
Consistent
113/126 days
High Roller
$6,668/day
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

5
SPORTS#1,836,572$-11,982Vol: $4,303,503
CRYPTO#1,610,900$-1,914Vol: $209,843
🎭 CULTURE#796,616$-528Vol: $44,732
🏛️ POLITICS#1,487,146$-82Vol: $11,099
💻 TECH#204,645$-3Vol: $1,414

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-20,779
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,976,231
Total Redeem
$351,744
Portfolio
$84
Predictions
1046
total markets
Trades
7586B / 848S
Daily Volume
$6,668
Account Age
244d
since Nov 19, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$144
Vol: $3,641
Week
$-1,371
Vol: $3,641
Month
$-1,193
Vol: $256,807
All Time
$-20,779
Vol: $6,976,231

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
78%
239W / 67L events
Realized PnL
$581,312
Win Rate
47%
157W / 175L
Profit Factor
0.07x
Avg Win
$226
Avg Loss
$-2,899

Top Winners

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?$1,982
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Jakub Mensik$1,440
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rott$1,259
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo$1,249
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B$984
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?$670
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?$650
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-25?$627
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx$613
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A$586

Top Losers

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?$-13,931
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoff$-12,175
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Pl$-9,852
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A$-9,776
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?$-9,655
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?$-9,490
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner$-9,441
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B$-9,238
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?$-8,715
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Grou$-8,414

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.108
Sortino
4.078
HHI
39
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.379
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.3%
Top-5 markets
5.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
77.3
Very active
Markets / Day
3.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
33s
between trades
Avg Gap
19.9m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 33s — typical for humanSize CV 2.88 — diverse, typical for human13% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.13 — human randomness77 trades/day — mass trading327 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
19.5
Heavy DCA
<=1
22 entries
<=2
66 entries
<=5
111 entries
<=10
191 entries
<=20
272 entries
<=50
354 entries
>50
36 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.3%
Mid (20-55c)50%
High (>55c)42.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 60.6%

Miami$-5,638
Atlanta$-7,306
Paris$-14,305
Madrid$-73,687
Other$-370,903

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
388

Single bracket

<=1
387 brackets
<=2
388 brackets
<=3
388 brackets
<=4
388 brackets
<=5
388 brackets
<=8
388 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/25/2026, 9:29:17 AM4 trades$2,0105 min
3/25/2026, 11:02:53 AM3 trades$9601 min
3/25/2026, 11:46:21 AM1 trades$2,0400 min
3/25/2026, 5:14:41 PM27 trades$4321 min
3/25/2026, 7:15:35 PM2 trades$1960 min
3/28/2026, 1:23:03 PM3 trades$1,6801 min
3/28/2026, 3:23:29 PM1 trades$650 min
3/28/2026, 3:30:17 PM1 trades$10 min
3/28/2026, 3:36:25 PM1 trades$10 min
3/28/2026, 3:43:15 PM1 trades$20 min
3/28/2026, 4:04:29 PM2 trades$961 min
3/28/2026, 4:25:41 PM1 trades$410 min
3/28/2026, 4:32:05 PM1 trades$550 min
3/28/2026, 5:00:17 PM3 trades$2035 min
3/28/2026, 5:35:53 PM2 trades$814 min
3/28/2026, 6:05:55 PM1 trades$550 min
3/28/2026, 6:12:19 PM5 trades$1,0594 min
3/28/2026, 6:23:21 PM2 trades$332 min
3/28/2026, 6:31:53 PM1 trades$930 min
3/28/2026, 9:10:00 PM2 trades$4894 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
03-18
04-09
05-03
05-27
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event