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sephirot

@sephirot

#72,91467

0x3ff3db55b6ed3b04d1ae25f164328a432d8b88e9

168d· 1649 markets · 2297 tradesVol: $38,3262026-07-23T16:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

67
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 41%5/20
Profit Factor 1.50x9/15
Sharpe 0.3947/15
Sortino 2.21910/10
EV $+0.50210/10
HHI 2810/10
Profit Days 52%5/10
DD/Peak 9%10/10

Summary

Sephirot is an active trader on Polymarket with a total of 2,297 trades spanning 777 markets over 151 days. Ranked #72,914 on the global PnL leaderboard, sephirot has generated a net profit of $1,184.30 from a total trading volume of $38,326. Their smart score of 67/100 indicates good overall trading performance, while a Sharpe ratio of 0.39 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns. The trader maintains a flat, stable equity trend and currently holds no open positions.

Sephirot’s trading style reflects a semi-automated approach, as indicated by their bot score of 60/100, blending bot algorithms with manual decisions. They exhibit a contrarian and patient strategy, holding positions without selling prematurely, supported by badges such as Diamond Hands and Cool Head. The 100% win rate is notable, though the profit factor of 0.00 may imply limited realized gains or an unusual calculation. Sephirot does not engage in weather markets and avoids selling, suggesting a focus on long-term outcomes rather than quick flips.

The strengths of sephirot include disciplined trade execution, a consistent win streak, and a low drawdown duration, which collectively reduce volatility risk. However, their flat portfolio value and absence of active selling could limit capital recycling and growth potential. Additionally, despite a high win rate, the low profit factor and modest Sharpe ratio highlight a need for improved risk-reward optimization. Overall, sephirot shows reliable, steady trading on Polymarket with room to enhance profitability.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+1,184
Contrarian
51% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
408 wins in a row
Cool Head
DD 9%

Categories

2
CRYPTO#27,482$1,185Vol: $38,321
SPORTS#767,294$-0Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,184
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$38,326
Total Redeem
$10,231
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1649
total markets
Trades
2297B / 0S
Daily Volume
$57
Account Age
168d
since Feb 9, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$7
Vol: $184
Week
$18
Vol: $1,344
Month
$250
Vol: $8,086
All Time
$1,184
Vol: $38,326

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
41%
250W / 365L events
Realized PnL
$5,874
Win Rate
100%
408W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $355 (6.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$137
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$114
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$104
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$89
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$86
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$84
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$82
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$81
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$78
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$77

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.394
Sortino
2.219
HHI
28
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.502
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.3%
Top-5 markets
4.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
25.9
Active
Markets / Day
8.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
11s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.6

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 11s — suspiciously fastSize CV 0.54 — diverse, typical for human27% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.30 — human randomness26 trades/day — suspiciously high615 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3
Moderate DCA
<=1
354 entries
<=2
503 entries
<=5
658 entries
<=10
747 entries
<=20
776 entries
<=50
777 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.6%
Mid (20-55c)47.7%
High (>55c)41.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 50.8%

Other$5,186

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
777

Single bracket

<=1
777 brackets
<=2
777 brackets
<=3
777 brackets
<=4
777 brackets
<=5
777 brackets
<=8
777 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/25/2026, 3:10:32 PM1 trades$50 min
4/25/2026, 11:57:06 PM1 trades$50 min
4/26/2026, 3:14:50 AM6 trades$130 min
4/26/2026, 3:55:52 AM8 trades$272 min
4/26/2026, 6:42:28 PM1 trades$40 min
4/29/2026, 12:14:22 AM3 trades$50 min
4/29/2026, 10:11:58 PM2 trades$110 min
5/5/2026, 1:43:54 AM4 trades$151 min
5/5/2026, 3:11:20 AM4 trades$50 min
5/5/2026, 5:11:16 AM9 trades$291 min
5/5/2026, 6:43:18 AM8 trades$202 min
5/5/2026, 8:13:08 AM2 trades$50 min
5/5/2026, 12:58:54 PM2 trades$50 min
5/5/2026, 2:13:48 PM6 trades$50 min
5/5/2026, 9:13:08 PM1 trades$30 min
5/5/2026, 11:57:40 PM10 trades$232 min
5/6/2026, 11:41:52 AM2 trades$50 min
5/6/2026, 6:13:48 PM2 trades$50 min
5/6/2026, 6:25:50 PM10 trades$204 min
5/6/2026, 8:28:13 PM9 trades$182 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-22
04-11
05-09
05-26
06-15
07-02
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event