Polydata

@sparklingwater123

#1065

0x664ce9fb97ae1bbd538d7381b2f4e92dab16f49c

25d· 4 markets · 928 tradesVol: $19,001,6992026-06-27T02:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 99.00x15/15
EV $+0.96710/10
HHI 56670/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

sparklingwater123 is a highly successful and moderately active trader on Polymarket, currently ranked #10 on the global PnL leaderboard. With a net profit of over $8.4 million and total trading volume of $19 million across 928 trades, this trader has demonstrated consistent profitability. Despite the large number of trades, sparklingwater123 has focused on only four markets, maintaining a perfect win rate of 100%, which is notably rare on the platform.

The trading style of sparklingwater123 appears selective and disciplined, favoring a concentrated approach by trading in very few markets. Their zero sell percentage and the presence of badges like Diamond Hands and DCA Master suggest a long-term, hold-oriented strategy combined with dollar-cost averaging. The semi-bot score indicates a blend of automated and manual decision-making, allowing for precise timing and risk management. The absence of weather market involvement points to a preference for other event categories.

Key strengths of sparklingwater123 include exceptional accuracy, consistent profitability, and effective risk control, as evidenced by no recorded drawdowns or losses. However, the limited number of markets traded could pose diversification risks. Additionally, the zero Sharpe ratio and profit factor data may indicate incomplete or unusual performance metrics, which warrant cautious interpretation. Overall, sparklingwater123’s proven track record makes them a standout trader to watch on Polymarket.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+8,474,966
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 232.0 entries/market
Whale
$9,432,521
Consistent
1/1 days
High Roller
$43,284,989/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#7$8,474,966Vol: $19,001,699

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$8,474,966
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,001,699
Total Redeem
$17,927,476
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4
total markets
Trades
928B / 0S
Daily Volume
$9,432,521
Account Age
25d
since Jun 2, 2026

Periods

#2
Week
$8,474,966
Vol: $19,001,699
Month
$8,474,966
Vol: $19,001,699
All Time
$8,474,966
Vol: $19,001,699

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
0%
0W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$0
Win Rate
100%
3W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$2,937,688
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,813,063 (100% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$4,718,639
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$2,242,011
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$1,852,413

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.000
Sortino
0.000
HHI
5667
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.967
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
72.7%
Top-5 markets
100%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
928.0
Very active
Markets / Day
4.0
Active Hours
6/24
Normal
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
2s
between trades
Avg Gap
43s
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
7
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
132.6

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
55% < 3s — suspicious speedSize CV 5.20 — diverse, typical for human0% at night — normal sleep pattern6/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.73 — human randomness928 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
232
Heavy DCA
<=1
0 entries
<=2
0 entries
<=5
0 entries
<=10
0 entries
<=20
1 entries
<=50
1 entries
>50
3 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)30.8%
High (>55c)69.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 8.8%

Other$8,813,063

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2
Events covered
2

Moderate coverage

<=1
0 brackets
<=2
2 brackets
<=3
2 brackets
<=4
2 brackets
<=5
2 brackets
<=8
2 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
6/25/2026, 5:46:31 PM1 trades$2,7640 min
6/25/2026, 7:29:38 PM13 trades$709,0817 min
6/25/2026, 7:42:40 PM2 trades$6,6580 min
6/25/2026, 7:50:49 PM164 trades$1,543,65011 min
6/25/2026, 8:20:34 PM2 trades$36,3720 min
6/25/2026, 9:01:11 PM30 trades$1,3416 min
6/25/2026, 10:19:49 PM716 trades$7,132,65541 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 232/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2 br/event