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@stingo43

#39080

0x0006af12cd4dacc450836a0e1ec6ce47365d8c63

77d· 3852 markets · 6059 tradesVol: $6,509,5832026-05-14T14:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

80
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 30%0/20
Profit Factor 8.29x15/15
Sharpe 0.88715/15
Sortino 12.27310/10
EV $+7.29010/10
HHI 5810/10
Profit Days 94%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Stingo43 is a highly active trader on Polymarket, holding the rank of #390 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $387,965.40. Over 50 days, they executed 6,059 trades across 971 markets, totaling a volume exceeding $6.5 million. Their Smart Score and Bot Score both stand at 80/100, indicating strong automated trading capabilities. Despite the high trading frequency, their portfolio value currently rests at zero, suggesting a focus on short-term positions or full liquidation.

This trader shows a distinctive approach characterized by an exceptionally high win rate of 97.8% and an impressive profit factor of 198.02, highlighting effective risk management and trade selection. Stingo43’s strategy avoids selling, reflecting a "Diamond Hands" style with a contrarian edge, and they do not engage in weather markets. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.89 points to moderate risk-adjusted returns, while the zero-day max drawdown duration implies consistent capital preservation. The equity trend remains flat, suggesting stable performance without significant volatility.

Stingo43’s strengths include strong automation, consistent profitability, and a disciplined contrarian approach, supported by badges such as Profitable and DCA Master. However, the lack of portfolio diversification and reliance on a zero sell percentage could pose risks if market conditions shift abruptly. Additionally, their lottery player badge hints at some exposure to high-variance trades, which may affect long-term stability despite current success. Overall, Stingo43 presents a robust Polymarket trading profile with both strategic advantages and potential vulnerabilities.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

11
Profitable
PnL $+387,965
Lottery Player
73% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
90% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 6.2 entries/market
Bot
Score 80/100
Win Streak
93 wins in a row
Whale
$63,768
Consistent
48/51 days
High Roller
$1,275/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

1
CRYPTO#54$387,965Vol: $6,509,583

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$387,965
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,509,583
Total Redeem
$60,986
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3852
total markets
Trades
6057B / 2S
Daily Volume
$1,275
Account Age
77d
since Mar 5, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
30%
250W / 597L events
Realized PnL
$440,766
Win Rate
98%
312W / 7L
Profit Factor
198.02x
Avg Win
$144
Avg Loss
$-32

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,350 (32.2% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$5,839
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$5,187
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$3,324
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$3,149
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$2,235
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$2,198
BNB Up or Down - April 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$1,566
BNB Up or Down - April 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$1,093
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$1,000
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$921

Top Losers

XRP Up or Down - April 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$-115
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$-66
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$-16
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$-16
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$-11
BNB Up or Down - April 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$-1
XRP Up or Down - April 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.887
Sortino
12.273
HHI
58
Diversified
EV per $1
$7.290
Kelly %
97.4%
Half-Kelly
48.7%
Top-1 market
2.2%
Top-5 markets
9.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
124.7
Very active
Markets / Day
20.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
47.6m
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.8

Bot Detection

#6
80
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 302s — typical for humanSize CV 3.16 — diverse, typical for human29% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.03 — human randomness125 trades/day — automation20 markets/day — mass coverage847 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.2
Active DCA
<=1
274 entries
<=2
436 entries
<=5
670 entries
<=10
842 entries
<=20
925 entries
<=50
964 entries
>50
7 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)72.7%
Mid (20-55c)18.5%
High (>55c)8.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 54.1%

Other$44,574

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
971

Single bracket

<=1
971 brackets
<=2
971 brackets
<=3
971 brackets
<=4
971 brackets
<=5
971 brackets
<=8
971 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/6/2026, 7:35:03 PM2 trades$1000 min
3/6/2026, 10:14:59 PM4 trades$70 min
3/7/2026, 1:10:01 AM3 trades$40 min
3/7/2026, 1:44:57 AM8 trades$60 min
3/7/2026, 4:59:59 PM3 trades$190 min
3/7/2026, 7:10:01 PM21 trades$540 min
3/7/2026, 9:05:01 PM14 trades$450 min
3/7/2026, 10:20:01 PM1 trades$1500 min
3/8/2026, 3:59:59 AM7 trades$100 min
3/8/2026, 6:20:01 AM2 trades$10 min
3/8/2026, 6:35:03 AM1 trades$130 min
3/8/2026, 7:49:57 AM36 trades$1460 min
3/8/2026, 8:14:49 AM8 trades$160 min
3/8/2026, 8:50:01 PM1 trades$150 min
3/8/2026, 11:00:05 PM1 trades$20 min
3/9/2026, 1:19:59 AM4 trades$60 min
3/9/2026, 6:34:51 PM6 trades$400 min
3/9/2026, 9:40:03 PM2 trades$40 min
3/9/2026, 10:00:01 PM1 trades$50 min
3/10/2026, 1:35:05 AM35 trades$2700 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-05
03-13
03-21
03-29
04-06
04-14
04-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event