Polydata

@strike123

#21380

0xf284ad6d607f777f34bc643cea587c33a886b9f9

30d· 469 markets · 12501 tradesVol: $27,256,5002026-06-04T02:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

80
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 61%15/20
Profit Factor 1.86x13/15
Sharpe 0.3597/15
Sortino 0.7007/10
EV $+0.81910/10
HHI 8738/10
Profit Days 67%9/10
DD/Peak 11%10/10

Summary

Strike123 is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked #213 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $686,742.74. Over 132 days, strike123 has executed 12,501 trades across 251 markets, generating a total volume of over $27 million. Their portfolio value currently stands near $190,000, reflecting consistent growth with an upward equity trend. The trader holds a strong Smart Score of 80/100, indicating robust performance and solid trading skill.

Strike123 favors a diversified approach, engaging in a wide range of markets with a moderate risk profile, as evidenced by a 57.9% win rate and a profit factor of 1.44. The low sell percentage of 8% and a Sharpe ratio of 0.36 suggest a preference for holding positions rather than frequent flipping, aligning with badges like Diamond Hands and DCA Master. Strike123’s trading style blends manual and automated strategies, supported by a Bot Score of 65/100, indicating a semi-bot approach that balances precision and adaptability.

The strengths of strike123 include disciplined risk management, reflected in a zero-day max drawdown duration and an upward equity curve. Their ability to maintain a win streak while trading numerous markets demonstrates consistency and scalability. However, the moderate Sharpe ratio and relatively low sell percentage might indicate exposure to longer-term volatility or slower profit realization, which could present risks during sudden market shifts. Overall, strike123’s performance on Polymarket highlights a skilled trader with a balanced, data-driven strategy.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 61%
Profitable
PnL $+686,743
Diamond Hands
8% sell
DCA Master
avg 45.6 entries/market
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
Whale
$5,448,782
Consistent
29/43 days
High Roller
$41,279/day
Cool Head
DD 11%

Categories

6
SPORTS#1,691,543$-105,767Vol: $18,837,040
CRYPTO#35$497,397Vol: $3,948,831
🏛️ POLITICS#181$259,657Vol: $3,490,999
📈 ECONOMICS#169$36,136Vol: $865,646
💰 FINANCE#1,281$3,547Vol: $109,581
🌤️ WEATHER#274,025$-4,227Vol: $4,404

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$686,743
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$27,256,500
Total Redeem
$1,405,088
Portfolio
$189,884
Predictions
469
total markets
Trades
11455B / 1046S
Daily Volume
$41,279
Account Age
30d
since May 5, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$31,950
Vol: $234,150
Week
$496,581
Vol: $7,954,248
Month
$496,581
Vol: $7,015,123
All Time
$686,743
Vol: $27,256,500

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
56%
140W / 110L events
Realized PnL
$3,511,152
Win Rate
58%
33W / 24L
Profit Factor
1.44x
Avg Win
$30,767
Avg Loss
$-29,397

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $822,957 (265.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$498,871
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli$187,809
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi$136,277
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca$32,367
Spurs vs. Timberwolves$25,219
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta$20,034
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$17,304
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys$14,684
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$12,616
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$11,821

Top Losers

Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo$-123,731
Spurs vs. Thunder$-104,777
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovic$-86,764
Roland Garros WTA: Hailey Baptiste vs Xiyu Wang$-61,572
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic$-49,868
Knicks vs. Spurs$-39,567
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong$-38,308
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek$-36,850
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta$-34,559
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutet$-25,557

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.359
Sortino
0.700
HHI
873
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.819
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
27.6%
Top-5 markets
42.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
416.4
Very active
Markets / Day
8.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
14s
between trades
Avg Gap
4.3m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.5

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 14s — suspiciously fastSize CV 6.91 — diverse, typical for human20% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.21 — human randomness416 trades/day — automation452 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
45.6
Heavy DCA
<=1
26 entries
<=2
39 entries
<=5
70 entries
<=10
98 entries
<=20
133 entries
<=50
192 entries
>50
59 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.2%
Mid (20-55c)50.9%
High (>55c)39.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 61.4%

Other$308,180
Madrid$1,623
Chicago$0
Paris$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
165

Single bracket

<=1
130 brackets
<=2
151 brackets
<=3
157 brackets
<=4
158 brackets
<=5
160 brackets
<=8
163 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/5/2026, 1:27:28 AM10 trades$3,2867 min
5/5/2026, 1:40:28 AM16 trades$1,5062 min
5/5/2026, 5:06:14 AM20 trades$26,96319 min
5/5/2026, 5:38:26 AM3 trades$12,3653 min
5/5/2026, 6:04:24 AM23 trades$1,18812 min
5/5/2026, 6:23:12 AM1 trades$1000 min
5/5/2026, 6:32:40 AM51 trades$8,88833 min
5/5/2026, 7:11:06 AM4 trades$4174 min
5/5/2026, 7:22:24 AM17 trades$5,32519 min
5/5/2026, 7:47:30 AM7 trades$1,4478 min
5/5/2026, 8:02:26 AM9 trades$9,1006 min
5/5/2026, 4:50:18 PM49 trades$4,6973 min
5/5/2026, 5:10:04 PM18 trades$4,8856 min
5/5/2026, 5:23:54 PM1 trades$4,2000 min
5/5/2026, 5:32:06 PM1 trades$1,2810 min
5/5/2026, 5:42:34 PM1 trades$40 min
5/5/2026, 6:01:18 PM37 trades$8,3424 min
5/5/2026, 6:11:04 PM2 trades$8281 min
5/5/2026, 6:17:22 PM7 trades$1,1417 min
5/5/2026, 7:07:30 PM1 trades$5,4600 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
05-09
05-16
05-23
05-30
06-04
06-07
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
8.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 45.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event