Polydata

@supraj

#2,205,27537

0xf4eb43cbff002dc6bea6d44bc226dd732262b3ca

103d· 94 markets · 165 tradesVol: $3,342 @baishya_yubaraj2026-05-21T15:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 66%18/20
Profit Factor 0.84x1/15
HHI 22410/10
Profit Days 63%8/10
DD/Peak 291%0/10

Summary

Supraj is a moderately active trader on Polymarket with 165 trades across 94 markets over 103 days. Despite a win rate of 67.7%, supraj currently holds a net PnL of negative $68.55 and ranks #2,205,275 globally. Their Smart Score of 37/100 and Profit Factor below 1 indicate below-average overall profitability. Supraj’s portfolio value stands at zero, reflecting recent losses or closed positions.

Supraj tends to take a contrarian, sniper-style approach, focusing on manual trading rather than bots. They avoid weather markets entirely and maintain a relatively low sell percentage of 27%, suggesting a preference for holding positions longer. The trader’s Sharpe Ratio of -0.07 signals that returns are inconsistent relative to risk. Supraj’s equity trend is upward, which may indicate gradual improvement despite the current negative PnL. Their trading style appears to emphasize consistency, aiming for steady wins rather than large gains.

The key strengths for supraj lie in their consistent win rate and ability to maintain an upward equity trend, reflecting potential for growth. However, the negative net PnL, low Smart Score, and suboptimal profit factor highlight risks related to inefficient capital management and risk control. Supraj’s below-average bot score confirms manual strategies that may benefit from refinement to improve profitability on Polymarket.

Badges

4
Sniper
Win Rate 66%
Contrarian
54% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
Consistent
32/51 days

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,478,497$-89Vol: $2,908
CRYPTO#165,822$20Vol: $434

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-69
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,342
Total Redeem
$943
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
94
total markets
Trades
120B / 45S
Daily Volume
$14
Account Age
103d
since Feb 7, 2026

Periods

#2
Week
$27
Vol: $310
Month
$26
Vol: $673
All Time
$-69
Vol: $3,342

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
67%
63W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$-47
Win Rate
68%
63W / 30L
Profit Factor
0.89x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-14

Top Winners

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals$43
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants$31
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad$27
T20 World Cup: England vs Pakistan$26
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indians$22
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Delhi Capitals$20
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capit$18
T20 World Cup: Italy vs West Indies (Game 1)$13
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad$13
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans$11

Top Losers

T20 World Cup: Australia vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)$-50
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Afri$-44
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangal$-34
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans$-31
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africa$-29
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengal$-29
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$-26
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Afri$-24
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitals$-20
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.066
Sortino
-0.087
HHI
224
Diversified
EV per $1
$-2.998
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.7%
Top-5 markets
21.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
58.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.8h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3488s — typical for humanSize CV 1.10 — diverse, typical for human4% at night — normal sleep pattern18/24 hours — extended daySession CV 0.56 — semi-mechanical

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.3
Single entry
<=1
77 entries
<=2
86 entries
<=5
94 entries
<=10
94 entries
<=20
94 entries
<=50
94 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.2%
Mid (20-55c)54.2%
High (>55c)41.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 43.9%

Lucknow$10
Other$-55

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
94

Single bracket

<=1
94 brackets
<=2
94 brackets
<=3
94 brackets
<=4
94 brackets
<=5
94 brackets
<=8
94 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/7/2026, 5:44:07 AM1 trades$10 min
2/7/2026, 9:53:59 AM1 trades$50 min
2/7/2026, 12:28:05 PM1 trades$10 min
2/7/2026, 1:40:09 PM1 trades$200 min
2/7/2026, 2:06:39 PM1 trades$190 min
2/7/2026, 2:17:47 PM1 trades$70 min
2/7/2026, 2:35:11 PM2 trades$161 min
2/8/2026, 11:36:41 AM2 trades$280 min
2/9/2026, 8:02:49 AM1 trades$640 min
2/10/2026, 10:20:03 AM1 trades$270 min
2/11/2026, 5:55:57 AM1 trades$70 min
2/11/2026, 9:02:07 AM1 trades$50 min
2/11/2026, 10:18:17 AM1 trades$680 min
2/13/2026, 6:11:55 AM1 trades$430 min
2/13/2026, 6:30:25 AM1 trades$80 min
2/13/2026, 7:16:01 PM5 trades$1310 min
2/14/2026, 1:37:43 AM1 trades$200 min
2/14/2026, 6:51:23 PM1 trades$200 min
2/16/2026, 2:11:59 PM1 trades$350 min
2/19/2026, 7:26:58 AM1 trades$510 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-13
03-01
04-01
04-13
04-27
05-08
05-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event