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@supraj

#2,326,88135

0xf4eb43cbff002dc6bea6d44bc226dd732262b3ca

149d· 98 markets · 169 tradesVol: $3,406 @baishya_yubaraj2026-06-29T14:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 64%17/20
Profit Factor 0.86x1/15
HHI 22210/10
Profit Days 60%7/10
DD/Peak 291%0/10

Summary

Supraj is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having executed 169 trades across 97 markets over 109 days. Despite maintaining a 67% win rate, supraj currently holds a net PnL of -$62.02 and ranks #2,326,881 on the global leaderboard. Their total trading volume stands at $3,406, while portfolio value is zero, indicating no open positions at present. The smart score of 35/100 and a negative Sharpe ratio of -0.06 suggest below-average performance and limited risk-adjusted returns to date.

Supraj's trading style leans toward manual, human-driven activity, as reflected in a low bot score of 15/100. They exhibit a contrarian and sniper approach, favoring selective entries rather than broad market exposure. With a sell percentage of 27%, supraj tends to hold positions more often than closing them quickly. The trader does not engage in weather markets and displays an upward equity trend, suggesting gradual improvement. However, the profit factor of 0.86 indicates that losses slightly outweigh gains, pointing to a cautious but risk-exposed strategy.

The strengths of supraj include a solid win rate and consistent activity across diverse markets on Polymarket. Their sniper badge implies precision in trade timing, while the upward equity trend shows potential growth. On the downside, the negative overall PnL and below-average smart score raise concerns about long-term profitability. The absence of open positions may indicate a temporary pause or risk aversion. Supraj’s contrarian style could yield high rewards, but it also carries the risk of losses if market momentum is misread.

Badges

3
Sniper
Win Rate 64%
Contrarian
54% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
12 wins in a row

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,567,888$-80Vol: $2,964
CRYPTO#182,449$18Vol: $442

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-62
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,406
Total Redeem
$977
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
98
total markets
Trades
123B / 46S
Daily Volume
$13
Account Age
149d
since Feb 7, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
65%
64W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$-35
Win Rate
67%
63W / 31L
Profit Factor
0.86x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-14

Top Winners

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals$43
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants$31
T20 World Cup: England vs Pakistan$26
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indians$22
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Delhi Capitals$20
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capit$18
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings$14
T20 World Cup: Italy vs West Indies (Game 1)$13
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad$13
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans$11

Top Losers

T20 World Cup: Australia vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)$-50
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Afri$-44
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangal$-34
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans$-31
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africa$-29
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengal$-29
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$-26
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Afri$-24
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitals$-20
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.057
Sortino
-0.071
HHI
222
Diversified
EV per $1
$-2.212
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.7%
Top-5 markets
21.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.7h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.12
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 4132s — typical for humanSize CV 1.12 — diverse, typical for human4% at night — normal sleep pattern18/24 hours — extended daySession CV 0.56 — semi-mechanical

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.3
Single entry
<=1
80 entries
<=2
89 entries
<=5
97 entries
<=10
97 entries
<=20
97 entries
<=50
97 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.1%
Mid (20-55c)54.5%
High (>55c)41.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 44.4%

Lucknow$24
Other$-84

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
97

Single bracket

<=1
97 brackets
<=2
97 brackets
<=3
97 brackets
<=4
97 brackets
<=5
97 brackets
<=8
97 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/7/2026, 5:44:07 AM1 trades$10 min
2/7/2026, 9:53:59 AM1 trades$50 min
2/7/2026, 12:28:05 PM1 trades$10 min
2/7/2026, 1:40:09 PM1 trades$200 min
2/7/2026, 2:06:39 PM1 trades$190 min
2/7/2026, 2:17:47 PM1 trades$70 min
2/7/2026, 2:35:11 PM2 trades$161 min
2/8/2026, 11:36:41 AM2 trades$280 min
2/9/2026, 8:02:49 AM1 trades$640 min
2/10/2026, 10:20:03 AM1 trades$270 min
2/11/2026, 5:55:57 AM1 trades$70 min
2/11/2026, 9:02:07 AM1 trades$50 min
2/11/2026, 10:18:17 AM1 trades$680 min
2/13/2026, 6:11:55 AM1 trades$430 min
2/13/2026, 6:30:25 AM1 trades$80 min
2/13/2026, 7:16:01 PM5 trades$1310 min
2/14/2026, 1:37:43 AM1 trades$200 min
2/14/2026, 6:51:23 PM1 trades$200 min
2/16/2026, 2:11:59 PM1 trades$350 min
2/19/2026, 7:26:58 AM1 trades$510 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-13
03-03
04-07
04-17
05-03
05-16
06-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event