Polydata

@surfandturf

#2830

0x9f2fe025f84839ca81dd8e0338892605702d2ca8

92d· 377 markets · 39373 tradesVol: $135,087,4782026-07-01T11:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 93%20/20
Profit Factor 0.18x0/15
HHI 15110/10
Profit Days 7%0/10

Summary

Surfandturf is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked 28th globally by net profit and boasting a substantial net PnL of over $4.1 million. With nearly 40,000 trades across 232 markets in just 102 days, surfandturf demonstrates significant market engagement, reflected in a total trading volume exceeding $135 million. Despite this high activity, the trader currently holds no portfolio value and has a below-average Smart Score of 30/100, indicating some room for improvement in trade quality or strategy refinement.

The trading style of surfandturf is characterized by automated bot-driven execution, as evidenced by a strong Bot Score of 70/100 and the use of sniper-like precision in trade timing. The trader appears to favor a high-frequency approach with a low win rate of 12.1% and a profit factor of 0.18, suggesting many small or losing trades offset by occasional large gains. Surfandturf’s risk profile seems aggressive, given the negative Sharpe ratio of -0.58 and a low sell percentage of 13%, potentially holding positions longer or accepting higher volatility.

Surfandturf’s key strength lies in consistent upward equity growth and a strong presence in Polymarket’s competitive environment, supported by badges such as Profitable and Whale. However, the below-average Smart Score and negative risk-adjusted returns highlight potential risks in trade selection and risk management. The trader’s heavy reliance on automated strategies could be both an advantage for speed and a vulnerability if market conditions shift unexpectedly.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 93%
Profitable
PnL $+4,109,899
Bot
Score 70/100
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Whale
$30,233,984
High Roller
$296,412/day

Categories

2
SPORTS#15$4,109,840Vol: $135,084,970
🏛️ POLITICS#82,365$59Vol: $2,508

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,109,899
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$135,087,478
Total Redeem
$5,356,687
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
377
total markets
Trades
34092B / 5281S
Daily Volume
$296,412
Account Age
92d
since Apr 1, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$562,550
Vol: $1,517,842
Week
$1,556,685
Vol: $11,427,303
Month
$562,550
Vol: $1,517,842
All Time
$4,109,899
Vol: $135,087,478

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
94%
184W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$13,112,486
Win Rate
12%
28W / 204L
Profit Factor
0.18x
Avg Win
$138,044
Avg Loss
$-107,442

Top Winners

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?$1,229,165
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance$562,423
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$464,836
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance$426,988
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$366,565
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$341,769
Will France win on 2026-06-30?$103,504
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?$74,008
Will England win on 2026-06-17?$69,111
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Ma$52,050

Top Losers

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$-900,662
Will France win on 2026-06-26?$-873,910
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?$-798,152
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$-731,380
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$-683,428
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$-662,956
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?$-598,426
76ers vs. Celtics$-556,331
Will France win on 2026-06-22?$-547,503
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$-531,971

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.577
Sortino
-0.661
HHI
151
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.597
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.8%
Top-5 markets
15.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
445.8
Very active
Markets / Day
2.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
6s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
10.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
59% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 10.56 — diverse, typical for human28% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.19 — human randomness446 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
147.6
Heavy DCA
<=1
24 entries
<=2
30 entries
<=5
43 entries
<=10
57 entries
<=20
77 entries
<=50
110 entries
>50
121 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.5%
Mid (20-55c)52.5%
High (>55c)42.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 77.9%

Los Angeles$-0
Atlanta$-500
Lucknow$-13,735
Milan$-18,977
Chicago$-19,680
Seattle$-88,464
Paris$-90,061
Madrid$-94,449
Other$-17,727,052

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
222

Single bracket

<=1
214 brackets
<=2
220 brackets
<=3
222 brackets
<=4
222 brackets
<=5
222 brackets
<=8
222 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/3/2026, 6:14:21 PM13 trades$47,2907 min
4/3/2026, 6:39:49 PM10 trades$1,3320 min
4/3/2026, 11:19:25 PM2 trades$5403 min
4/3/2026, 11:46:35 PM3 trades$25,3526 min
4/3/2026, 11:57:59 PM2 trades$1,2172 min
4/4/2026, 12:05:05 AM44 trades$75,07921 min
4/4/2026, 12:38:43 AM3 trades$1185 min
4/4/2026, 12:52:55 AM1 trades$6550 min
4/4/2026, 1:09:57 AM5 trades$8,2101 min
4/4/2026, 1:22:45 AM2 trades$161 min
4/4/2026, 2:15:11 AM3 trades$437 min
4/4/2026, 2:41:27 AM1 trades$960 min
4/4/2026, 2:59:31 AM2 trades$120 min
4/4/2026, 3:18:01 AM1 trades$310 min
4/4/2026, 3:30:37 AM1 trades$50 min
4/4/2026, 3:36:11 AM4 trades$144 min
4/4/2026, 3:53:03 AM1 trades$50 min
4/4/2026, 4:10:13 AM1 trades$5620 min
4/4/2026, 4:20:11 AM1 trades$30 min
4/4/2026, 4:30:07 AM4 trades$1645 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-21
04-15
04-29
05-18
06-06
06-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
13.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 147.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event