@surfandturf

#24164

0x9f2fe025f84839ca81dd8e0338892605702d2ca8

~124d· 364 markets · 72979 tradesVol: $185,753,9302026-10-07 18:07:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

64
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (182/356)10.6/20
1.23x (win $32,538,735 / loss $26,359,771)5.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.74015/15
Sortino 2.79910/10
$+0.1056 per $1 invested5.3/10
HHI 124 (356 markets)10/10
56/99 profitable days (57%)6.6/10
Max DD 65% of peak ($5,503,865 / $8,530,117)1.1/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+801,765
Contrarian
58% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 244.8 entries/market
Whale
$58,491,032 invested
High Roller
$309,476/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
90% maker orders

Categories

4
⚽ SPORTS#157$828,690Vol: $184,341,618
📈 ECONOMICS#700,707$-26,761Vol: $1,408,804
🏛️ POLITICS#85,318$58Vol: $2,508
₿ CRYPTO#685,189$-0Vol: $0

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$801,765
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$185,753,930
Total Redeem
$9,190,268
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
364
total markets
Trades
65383B / 7596S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~124d

Periods

#2
Today
$1,557
Vol: $1,694
Week
$-113,447
Vol: $3,314,630
Month
$28,421
Vol: $17,486,660
All Time
$801,765
Vol: $185,753,930

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
171W / 161L events
Realized PnL
$801,765
Win Rate
52%
171W / 161L
Profit Factor
1.23x
Avg Win
$178,784
Avg Loss
$-152,369

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,043,679 (7.537968406254492% of PnL)

Top Winners

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$2,372,870
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$2,041,451
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$1,629,358
Will England win on 2026-06-17?$1,210,005
Spurs vs. Knicks$1,133,333
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$1,099,416
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$1,058,570
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1,036,345
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?$1,004,323
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?$989,538

Top Losers

Will England win on 2026-06-23?$-2,074,123
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$-1,496,447
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$-1,243,460
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$-1,098,865
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-1,080,938
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-1,068,561
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$-949,661
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$-810,299
Lions vs. Panthers$-805,712
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$-740,000

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.091
Sortino
0.113
HHI
201
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.085
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.9%
Top-5 markets
18.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
386.1
Very active
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
8s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7m
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
10.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
43 min
Avg Trades / Session
336.5

Bot Detection

#6
85
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
54% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 10.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock386 trades/day — automation1.9 markets/day — normal90% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
244.81
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.3%
Mid (20-55c)43.1%
High (>55c)41.7%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 12:33:38 AM1012 trades$1,964,42326 min
6/14/2026, 3:40:36 AM25 trades$1,833,0558 min
7/11/2026, 11:26:17 PM971 trades$1,762,258203 min
6/19/2026, 6:11:38 PM251 trades$1,371,12435 min
6/25/2026, 10:28:32 PM711 trades$1,172,29730 min
6/22/2026, 12:15:25 AM579 trades$1,042,71416 min
6/26/2026, 4:50:40 PM321 trades$995,97616 min
6/20/2026, 4:30:10 PM877 trades$960,04030 min
6/20/2026, 5:34:10 PM493 trades$888,83359 min
6/27/2026, 5:23:02 PM1083 trades$887,388172 min
6/26/2026, 11:57:53 PM154 trades$852,1469 min
6/17/2026, 7:13:07 PM1319 trades$818,59945 min
6/24/2026, 9:39:37 PM245 trades$798,53590 min
10/4/2026, 11:42:40 PM170 trades$779,01841 min
4/11/2026, 11:42:29 PM766 trades$757,511184 min
6/23/2026, 7:29:56 PM32 trades$750,0146 min
6/13/2026, 12:43:31 AM14 trades$743,7837 min
6/22/2026, 9:00:17 AM144 trades$730,8120 min
6/27/2026, 1:45:58 AM525 trades$720,42675 min
6/26/2026, 10:56:25 PM111 trades$718,9923 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-02
04-28
05-18
06-17
07-12
09-07
10-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 244.81/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.3 / M43.1 / H41.7