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@tdrhrhhd

#5063

0xd7f85d0eb0fe0732ca38d9107ad0d4d01b1289e4

985d· 68 markets · 8407 tradesVol: $15,540,399 @fortaellinger2026-07-12T02:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

63
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 48%9/20
Profit Factor 13.78x15/15
Sharpe 0.2174/15
Sortino 7.92810/10
EV $+51.77510/10
HHI 41380/10
Profit Days 49%5/10
DD/Peak 3%10/10

Summary

Trader tdrhrhhd is a highly active participant on Polymarket, ranked #50 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 1,097 days, they executed 8,407 trades across 67 markets, generating a net profit of approximately $2.47 million on a total volume exceeding $15.5 million. Their portfolio value currently stands near $68,700, with a solid Smart Score of 63/100 indicating consistent performance.

tdrhrhhd’s trading style appears to be high-risk and high-reward, reflected in a relatively low win rate of 29.5% combined with an impressive profit factor of 8.94. This suggests they excel at identifying trades with large positive payoffs despite frequent losses. The trader tends to hold positions briefly, with zero max drawdown duration, and only sells 20% of their positions, implying a preference for letting profitable trades run. Their badge set, including “Lottery Player” and “Contrarian,” supports a contrarian, opportunistic approach rather than conservative or long-term investing.

The main strength of tdrhrhhd lies in their ability to generate outsized returns despite a challenging win rate, demonstrating disciplined risk management and sharp market insight. However, the low Sharpe ratio of 0.22 indicates volatility in returns, and their contrarian style could expose them to sudden market shifts. Overall, tdrhrhhd’s data on Polymarket highlights a skilled yet aggressive trader who thrives on selective, high-impact bets.

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+2,465,902
Lottery Player
59% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
90% entries <$0.50
Whale
$3,192,325
High Roller
$2,910/day
Cool Head
DD 3%

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#16$2,379,927Vol: $13,848,010
📈 ECONOMICS#73$90,395Vol: $856,167
CRYPTO#3,167$14,386Vol: $605,570
SPORTS#1,830,854$-6,080Vol: $105,192
💰 FINANCE#646,298$-8,016Vol: $92,839
🎭 CULTURE#4,831$1,046Vol: $12,064

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,465,902
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,540,399
Total Redeem
$1,027,611
Portfolio
$68,678
Predictions
68
total markets
Trades
6722B / 1685S
Daily Volume
$2,910
Account Age
985d
since Nov 3, 2023

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $0
Week
$3,799
Vol: $0
Month
$3,255
Vol: $3,756
All Time
$2,465,902
Vol: $15,540,399

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
46%
25W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$2,444,859
Win Rate
30%
18W / 43L
Profit Factor
8.94x
Avg Win
$142,437
Avg Loss
$-6,671

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,416,981 (106.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1,459,172
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$622,155
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential E$335,654
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$53,788
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$46,684
Fed rate hike in 2026?$20,075
Trump wins every swing state?$12,378
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$8,333
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nominati$2,271
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?$1,061

Top Losers

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meet$-99,980
Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?$-41,378
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$-29,275
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$-28,999
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$-17,197
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$-9,775
Netanyahu out by March 31?$-9,001
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?$-6,926
Netanyahu out by June 30?$-6,681
Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?$-6,412

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.217
Sortino
7.928
HHI
4138
Concentrated
EV per $1
$51.775
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
62.6%
Top-5 markets
86.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
19.0m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
15.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 116s — typical for humanSize CV 15.86 — diverse, typical for human21% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.04 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
101.8
Heavy DCA
<=1
23 entries
<=2
28 entries
<=5
31 entries
<=10
36 entries
<=20
38 entries
<=50
47 entries
>50
19 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)59.5%
Mid (20-55c)30.8%
High (>55c)9.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 90.6%

Other$2,277,043
ETFs$-20

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
53

Single bracket

<=1
43 brackets
<=2
50 brackets
<=3
52 brackets
<=4
53 brackets
<=5
53 brackets
<=8
53 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/3/2023, 6:27:03 PM1 trades$2740 min
11/4/2023, 11:38:04 AM1 trades$2,3780 min
11/14/2023, 7:16:50 PM1 trades$2310 min
11/14/2023, 7:22:26 PM1 trades$3820 min
11/14/2023, 7:56:27 PM1 trades$2010 min
11/14/2023, 8:29:45 PM1 trades$80 min
11/14/2023, 9:02:50 PM1 trades$580 min
11/14/2023, 10:54:32 PM3 trades$1122 min
11/15/2023, 1:04:00 AM1 trades$1,4580 min
11/15/2023, 3:25:04 AM2 trades$1,1702 min
11/15/2023, 10:36:44 PM1 trades$1,3180 min
11/22/2023, 10:06:25 PM1 trades$1,9800 min
11/24/2023, 9:38:44 AM1 trades$1,6600 min
11/24/2023, 2:04:38 PM2 trades$500 min
12/18/2023, 6:51:31 PM1 trades$4430 min
12/25/2023, 1:41:05 PM2 trades$6371 min
12/25/2023, 3:22:58 PM1 trades$100 min
12/26/2023, 3:39:23 AM1 trades$10 min
12/27/2023, 8:01:40 PM1 trades$10 min
12/28/2023, 1:36:25 PM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
07-20
10-31
12-29
12-02
01-31
09-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 101.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event